Diagnostics and therapeutics for cardiovascular disorders

ABSTRACT

The methods of the present invention relate to the diagnosis of cardiovascular disorders. In one aspect, the specification discloses methods for determining a subject&#39;s predisposition to increased risk for myocardial infarction.

RELATED U.S. APPLICATIONS

The present application is a divisional of U.S. application Ser. No.11/283,168, filed Nov. 17, 2005, the contents of which is herebyincorporated by reference in its entirety.

TECHNICAL FIELD

The present invention relates to kits and methods for the diagnosis andtreatment of cardiovascular disorders, and more specifically to kits andmethods related to diagnosis of disorders associated with IL-1 genotypepatterns.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

Atherosclerosis (or arteriosclerosis) is the term used to describeprogressive luminal narrowing and hardening of the arteries that canresult in an aneurysm, ischemia, thrombosis, embolism formation or othervascular insufficiency. The disease process can occur in any systemicartery in the human body. For example, atherosclerosis in the arteriesthat supply the brain (e.g. the carotids, intracerebral, etc.) canresult in stroke. Gangrene may occur when the peripheral arteries areblocked, and coronary artery disease occurs when the arteries thatsupply oxygen and nutrients to the myocardium are affected.

Coronary artery disease is a multifactorial disease that results in thedeposition of atheromatous plaque and progressive luminal narrowing ofthe arteries that supply the heart muscle. The atherosclerosis processinvolves lipid induced biological changes in the arterial wallsresulting in a disruption of homeostatic mechanisms that keeps the fluidphase of the blood compartment separate from the vessel wall. Since thenormal response to all injury is inflammation, the atheroscleroticlesion shows a complex chronic inflammatory response, includinginfiltration of mononuclear leukocytes, cell proliferation andmigration, reorganization of extracellular matrix, andneovascularization. In fact, the atheromatous plaque consists of amixture of inflammatory and immune cells, fibrous tissue, and fattymaterial such as low density lipids (LDL) and modifications thereof, andα-lipoprotein. The luminal narrowing or blockage results in reducedability to deliver oxygen and nutrients to the heart muscle, producingmyocardial infarction, angina, unstable angina, and sudden ischemicdeath as heart failure. Though occlusion usually progresses slowly,blood supply may be cut off suddenly when a portion of the built-uparterial plaque breaks off and lodges somewhere in an artery to block ittemporarily, or more usually, when thrombosis occurs within the arteriallumen. Rupture of the fibrous cap overlaying a vulnerable plaque is themost common cause of coronary thrombosis. Depending on the volume ofmuscle distal to the blockage during such an attack, a portion of themyocardial tissue may die, weakening the heart muscle and often leadingto the death of the individual.

For many years, the most common measure of imminent risk for a heartdisease “clinical event”, such as a myocardial infarction or death, wasphysical blockage of the coronary arteries, as assessed by techniquessuch as angiography. During the early 80's studies by DeWood andcoworkers (N. Engl. J. of Med. (1980) 303:1137-40), revealed thatocclusive thrombus was responsible for most cases of acute myocardialinfarction. At that time, the prevailing concept was that myocardialinfarction resulted from occlusion at a site of high grade stenosis. In1988, Little et al. (Circulation (1988) 78:1157-66), showed most of theinfarctions resulted from a coronary blockage that had previously showna stenosis of less than 50% on angiography. Therefore, the severity ofthe coronary stenosis did not accurately predict the location of asubsequent coronary blockage. With these studies the importance ofvulnerable atherosclerotic plaque became evident.

It is now clear that rupture at the site of a vulnerableartherosclerotic plaque is the most frequent cause of acute coronarysyndromes. Such plaque does not cause high grade stenosis, but mayresult in acute coronary syndrome, such as unstable angina, myocardialinfarction, or sudden death. No methods are currently available that canreliably identify plaques prone to rupture. In fact, development ofclinically useful imaging techniques for identifying vulnerable plaquesis an active area of research. Some of the methods are being used toidentify such plaques include for example, thermography (atheroscleroticplaques show thermal heterogeneity), spectroscopy (used to quantify theamount of cholesterol, cholesterol esters, triglycerides, phospholipidsand calcium salts present in small volumes of the coronary arterialtissue), radioisotope scintigraphy (various constituents of vulnerableplaques such as inflammatory cells may be imaged with radioisotopetechniques), and detection of inflammatory serum markers such asC-reactive protein levels.

Arterial sites that show acute plaque rupture are characterized bychronic inflammatory components that are not found, or are at much lowerlevels, in arterial plaques that are stable and unlikely to causeclinical events (Ross R. The pathogenesis of atherosclerosis: aperspective for the 1990s. Nature 1993; 362:801-809.) (Libby P.Molecular basis of the acute coronary syndromes. Circulation 1995;91:2844-2850). The current published clinical data from many sourcesclearly demonstrate that various components of inflammation are strongindependent influences on the severity and clinical outcomes of coronaryartery disease (Ross R. The pathogenesis of atherosclerosis: aperspective for the 1990s. Nature 1993; 362:801-809.) (Libby P.Molecular basis of the acute coronary syndromes. Circulation 1995;91:2844-2850). In addition, laboratory work has shown thatpro-inflammatory mediators are critical elements in the atherosclerosisprocess (Ross R. The pathogenesis of atherosclerosis: a perspective forthe 1990s. Nature 1993; 362:801-809.) (Libby P. Molecular basis of theacute coronary syndromes. Circulation 1995; 91:2844-2850).

The causes and mechanisms of the atheromatous plaque build-up are notcompletely understood, though many theories exist. One theory on thepathogenesis of atherosclerosis involves the following stages: (1)endothelial cell dysfunction and/or injury, (2) monocyte recruitment andmacrophage formation, (3) lipid deposition and modification, (4)vascular smooth muscle cell proliferation, and (5) synthesis ofextracellular matrix. According to this theory, the initiation ofatherosclerosis is potentially due to a form of injury, possibly frommechanical stress or from chemical stress. How the body responds to thisinjury then defines whether, and how rapidly, the injury deterioratesinto an atherosclerotic lesion. This, in turn, can result in arterialluminal narrowing and damage to the heart tissue which depends on theblood flow of oxygen and nutrients.

For many years, epidemiologic studies have indicated that anindividual's genetic composition is a significant risk factor fordevelopment of a vascular disease. For example, a family history ofheart disease is associated with an increased individual risk ofdeveloping coronary artery disease. Lipid and cholesterol metabolismhave historically been considered the primary genetic influence oncoronary artery disease. For example, deficiency in cell receptors forlow-density lipids (LDL), such as in familial hypercholesterolemia, isassociated with high levels of plasma LDL and premature development ofatherosclerosis (Brown & Goldstein, Sci., 191 (4223):150-4 (1976)).

Inflammation is now generally regarded as an important component of thepathogenic process of atherosclerosis (Munro, Lab Invest., 58:249-261(1988); Badimon, et al., Circulation, 87:3-16 (1993); Liuzzo, et al.,N.E.J.M., 331(7):417-24 (1994); Alexander, N.E.J.M., 331(7):468-9(1994)). Damage to endothelial cells that line the vessels leads to anaccumulation of inflammatory cytokines, including IL-1, TNFα, and therelease of prostanoids and growth factors such as prostaglandin I₂(PGI₂), platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF), basic fibroblast growthfactor (bFGF), and granulocyte-monocyte cell stimulating factor(GM-CSF). These factors lead to accumulation and regulation ofinflammatory cells, such as monocytes, that accumulate within the vesselwalls. The monocytes then release additional inflammatory mediators,including IL-1, TNF, prostaglandin E₂, (PGE₂), bFGF, and transforminggrowth factors α and β (TGFα, TGFβ). All of these inflammatory mediatorsrecruit more inflammatory cells to the damaged area, regulate thebehavior of endothelial and smooth muscle cells and lead to theaccumulation of atheromatous plaques.

Several inflammatory products, including IL-1β, have been identified inatherosclerotic lesions or in the endothelium of diseased coronaryarteries (Galea, et al., Ath. Thromb. Vasc. Biol., 16:1000-6 (1996)).Also, serum concentrations of IL-1β have been found to be elevated inpatients with coronary disease (Hasdai, et al., Heart, 76:24-8 (1996)).Although it was historically believed that the presence of inflammatoryagents was responsive to injury or monocyte activation, it is alsopossible that an abnormal inflammatory response may be causative ofcoronary artery disease or create an increased susceptibility to thedisease.

A key problem in treating vascular diseases is proper diagnosis. Oftenthe first sign of the disease is sudden death. For example,approximately half of all individuals who die of coronary artery diseasedie suddenly, Furthermore, for 40-60% of the patients who are eventuallydiagnosed as having coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction isthe first presentation of the disease. Unfortunately, approximately 40%of those initial events go unnoticed by the patient. It is now believedthat, identification and stabilization of vulnerable plaques is animportant element in the treatment of coronary atherosclerosis.Identification of the haplotype patterns in various subjects would allowin the management of cardiovascular disorders and treatment could beaimed at plaque stabilization rather than revascularization and othermore invasive methods. This is especially important, because, forvarious reasons, the perception of symptoms by the patient does notcorrelate well with the total burden of coronary artery disease(Anderson & Kin, Am. Heart J., 123(5):1312-23 (1992)).

Percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) is used to treatobstructive coronary artery disease by compressing atheromatous plaqueto the sides of the vessel wall. PTCA is widely used with an initialsuccess rate of over 90%. However, the long-term success of PTCA islimited by intraluminal renarrowing or restenosis at the site of theprocedure. This occurs within 6 months following the procedure inapproximately 30% to 40% of patients who undergo a single vesselprocedure and in more than 50% of those who undergo multivesselangioplasty.

Stent placement has largely supplanted balloon angioplasty because it isable to more widely restore intraluminal dimensions which has the effectof reducing restenosis by approximately 50%. Ironically, stent placementactually increases neointimal growth at the treatment site, but becausea larger lumen can be achieved with stent placement, the tissue growthis more readily accommodated, and sufficient luminal dimensions aremaintained, so that the restenosis rate is nearly halved by stentplacement compared with balloon angioplasty alone.

The pathophysiological mechanisms involved in restenosis are not fullyunderstood. While a number of clinical, anatomical and technical factorshave been linked to the development of restenosis, at least 50% of theprocess has yet to be explained. However, it is known that followingendothelial injury, a series of repair mechanisms are initiated. Withinminutes of the injury, a layer of platelets and fibrin is deposited overthe damaged endothelium. Within hours to days, inflammatory cells beginto infiltrate the injured area. Within 24 hours after an injury,vascular smooth muscle cells (SMCs) located in the vessel media commenceDNA synthesis. A few days later, these activated, synthetic SMCs migratethrough the internal elastic lamina towards the luminal surface. Aneointima is formed by these cells by their continued replication andtheir production of extracellular matrix. An increase in the intimalthickness occurs with ongoing cellular proliferation matrix deposition.When these processes of vascular healing progress excessively, thepathological condition is termed intimal hyperplasia or myointimialhyperplasia. The biology of vascular wall healing implicated inrestenosis therefore includes the general processes of wound healing andthe specific processes of myointimal hyperplasia. Inflammation isgenerally regarded as an important component in both these processes.(Munro and Cotran (1993) Lab. Investig. 58:249-261; and Badimon et al.(1993), Supp II 87:3-6). Understanding the effects of acute and chronicinflammation in the blood vessel wall can thus suggest methods fordiagnosing and treating restenosis and related conditions.

In its initial phase, inflammation is characterized by the adherence ofleukocytes to the vessel wall. Leukocyte adhesion to the surface ofdamaged endothelium is mediated by several complex glycoproteins on theendothelial and neutrophil surfaces. Two of these binding molecules havebeen well-characterized: the endothelial leukocyte adhesion molecule-1(ELAM-1) and the intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1). Duringinflammatory states, the attachment of neutrophils to the involved cellsurfaces is greatly increased, primarily due to the upregulation andenhanced expression of these binding molecules. Substances thought to beprimary mediators of the inflammatory response to tissue injury,including interleukin-1 (IL-1), tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF),lymphotoxin and bacterial endotoxins, all increase the production ofthese binding substances.

After binding to the damaged vessel wall, leukocytes migrate into it.Once in place within the vessel wall, the leukocytes, in particularactivated macrophages, then release additional inflammatory mediators,including IL-1, TNF, prostaglandin E₂, (PGE₂), bFGF, and transforminggrowth factors α and β (TGFα, TGFβ). All of these inflammatory mediatorsrecruit more inflammatory cells to the damaged area, and regulate thefurther proliferation and migration of smooth muscle. A well-knowngrowth factor elaborated by the monocyte-macrophage is monocyte- andmacrophage-derived growth factor (MDGF), a stimulant of smooth musclecell and fibroblast proliferation. MDGF is understood to be similar toplatelet-derived growth factor (PDGF); in fact, the two substances maybe identical. By stimulating smooth muscle cell proliferation,inflammation can contribute to the development and the progression ofmyointimal hyperplasia.

Leukocytes, attracted to the vessel wall by the abovementioned chemicalmediators of inflammation, produce substances that have direct effectson the vessel wall that may exacerbate the local injury and prolong thehealing response. First, leukocytes activated by the processes ofinflammation secrete lysosomal enzymes that can digest collagen andother structural proteins. Releasing these enzymes within the vesselwall can affect the integrity of its extracellular matrix, permittingSMCs and other migratory cells to pass through the wall more readily.Hence, the release of these lysosomal proteases can enhance theprocesses leading to myointimal hyperplasia. Second, activatedleukocytes produce free radicals by the action of the NADPH system ontheir cell membranes. These free radicals can damage cellular elementsdirectly, leading to an extension of a local injury or a prolongation ofthe cycle of injury-inflammation-healing.

It would be desirable to determine which patients would respond well toinvasive treatments for occlusive vascular disease such as angioplastyand intravascular stent placement. It would be further desirable toidentify those patients at increased risk for stenosis so that theycould be targeted with appropriate therapies to prevent, modulate orreverse the condition. It would be desirable, moreover, to identifythose individuals for whom PTCA and stent placement is a suboptimaltherapeutic choice because of the risk of restenosis. Those patientsmight become candidates at earlier stages for vascular reconstructiveprocedures, possibly combined with other pharmacological interventions.

Genetics of the IL-1 Gene Cluster

The IL-1 gene cluster is on the long arm of chromosome 2 (2q13) andcontains at least the genes for IL-1α (IL-1A), IL-1β (IL-1B), and theIL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RN), within a region of 430 Kb (Nicklin,et al. (1994) Genomics, 19: 382-4). The agonist molecules, IL-1α andIL-1β, have potent pro-inflammatory activity and are at the head of manyinflammatory cascades. Their actions, often via the induction of othercytokines such as IL-6 and IL-8, lead to activation and recruitment ofleukocytes into damaged tissue, local production of vasoactive agents,fever response in the brain and hepatic acute phase response. All threeIL-1 molecules bind to type I and to type II IL-1 receptors, but onlythe type I receptor transduces a signal to the interior of the cell. Incontrast, the type II receptor is shed from the cell membrane and actsas a decoy receptor. The receptor antagonist and the type II receptor,therefore, are both anti-inflammatory in their actions.

Inappropriate production of IL-1 plays a central role in the pathologyof many autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, including rheumatoidarthritis, inflammatory bowel disorder, psoriasis, and the like. Inaddition, there are stable inter-individual differences in the rates ofproduction of IL-1, and some of this variation may be accounted for bygenetic differences at IL-1 gene loci. Thus, the IL-1 genes arereasonable candidates for determining part of the genetic susceptibilityto inflammatory diseases, most of which have a multifactorial etiologywith a polygenic component.

Certain alleles from the IL-1 gene cluster are known to be associatedwith particular disease states. For example, IL-1RN (VNTR) allele 2 hasbeen shown to be associated with osteoporosis (U.S. Pat. No. 5,698,399),nephropathy in diabetes mellitus (Blakemore, et al. (1996) Hum. Genet.97(3): 369-74), alopecia greata (Cork, et al., (1995) J. Invest.Dermatol. 104(5 Supp.): 15S-16S; Cork et al. (1996) Dermatol Clin 14:671-8), Graves disease (Blakemore, et al. (1995) J. Clin. Endocrinol.80(1): 111-5), systemic lupus erythematosus (Blakemore, et al. (1994)Arthritis Rheum. 37: 1380-85), lichen sclerosis (Clay, et al. (1994)Hum. Genet. 94: 407-10), and ulcerative colitis (Mansfield, et al.(1994) Gastroenterol. 106(3): 637-42)).

In addition, the IL-1A allele 2 from marker −889 and IL-1B (TaqI) allele2 from marker +3954 have been found to be associated with periodontaldisease (U.S. Pat. No. 5,686,246; Kornman and diGiovine (1998) AnnPeriodont 3: 327-38; Hart and Kornman (1997) Periodontol 2000 14:202-15; Newman (1997) Compend Contin Educ Dent 18: 881-4; Kornman et al.(1997) J. Clin Periodontol 24: 72-77). The IL-1A allele 2 from marker−889 has also been found to be associated with juvenile chronicarthritis, particularly chronic iridocyclitis (McDowell, et al. (1995)Arthritis Rheum. 38: 221-28). The IL-1B (TaqI) allele 2 from marker+3954 of IL-1B has also been found to be associated with psoriasis andinsulin dependent diabetes in DR3/4 patients (di Giovine, et al. (1995)Cytokine 7: 606; Pociot, et al. (1992) Eur J. Clin. Invest. 22:396-402). Additionally, the IL-1RN (VNTR) allele 1 has been found to beassociated with diabetic retinopathy (see U.S. Ser. No. 09/037,472, andPCT/GB97/02790). Furthermore allele 2 of IL-1RN (VNTR) has been found tobe associated with ulcerative colitis in Caucasian populations fromNorth America and Europe (Mansfield, J. et al., (1994) Gastroenterology106: 637-42). Interestingly, this association is particularly strongwithin populations of ethnically related Ashkenazi Jews (PCTWO97/25445).

Genotype Screening

Traditional methods for the screening of heritable diseases havedepended on either the identification of abnormal gene products (e.g.,sickle cell anemia) or an abnormal phenotype (e.g., mental retardation).These methods are of limited utility for heritable diseases with lateonset and no easily identifiable phenotypes such as, for example,vascular disease. With the development of simple and inexpensive geneticscreening methodology, it is now possible to identify polymorphisms thatindicate a propensity to develop disease, even when the disease is ofpolygenic origin. The number of diseases that can be screened bymolecular biological methods continues to grow with increasedunderstanding of the genetic basis of multifactorial disorders.

Genetic screening (also called genotyping or molecular screening), canbe broadly defined as testing to determine if a patient has mutations(or alleles or polymorphisms) that either cause a disease state or are“linked” to the mutation causing a disease state. Linkage refers to thephenomenon wherein DNA sequences which are close together in the genomehave a tendency to be inherited together. Two sequences may be linkedbecause of some selective advantage of co-inheritance. More typically,however, two polymorphic sequences are co-inherited because of therelative infrequency with which meiotic recombination events occurwithin the region between the two polymorphisms. The co-inheritedpolymorphic alleles are said to be in linkage disequilibrium with oneanother because, in a given human population, they tend to either bothoccur together or else not occur at all in any particular member of thepopulation. Indeed, where multiple polymorphisms in a given chromosomalregion are found to be in linkage disequilibrium with one another, theydefine a quasi-stable genetic “haplotype.” In contrast, recombinationevents occurring between two polymorphic loci cause them to becomeseparated onto distinct homologous chromosomes. If meiotic recombinationbetween two physically linked polymorphisms occurs frequently enough,the two polymorphisms will appear to segregate independently and aresaid to be in linkage equilibrium.

While the frequency of meiotic recombination between two markers isgenerally proportional to the physical distance between them on thechromosome, the occurrence of “hot spots” as well as regions ofrepressed chromosomal recombination can result in discrepancies betweenthe physical and recombinational distance between two markers. Thus, incertain chromosomal regions, multiple polymorphic loci spanning a broadchromosomal domain may be in linkage disequilibrium with one another,and thereby define a broad-spanning genetic haplotype. Furthermore,where a disease-causing mutation is found within or in linkage with thishaplotype, one or more polymorphic alleles of the haplotype can be usedas a diagnostic or prognostic indicator of the likelihood of developingthe disease. This association between otherwise benign polymorphisms anda disease-causing polymorphism occurs if the disease mutation arose inthe recent past, so that sufficient time has not elapsed for equilibriumto be achieved through recombination events. Therefore identification ofa human haplotype which spans or is linked to a disease-causingmutational change, serves as a predictive measure of an individual'slikelihood of having inherited that disease-causing mutation.Importantly, such prognostic or diagnostic procedures can be utilizedwithout necessitating the identification and isolation of the actualdisease-causing lesion. This is significant because the precisedetermination of the molecular defect involved in a disease process canbe difficult and laborious, especially in the case of multifactorialdiseases such as inflammatory disorders.

Indeed, the statistical correlation between an inflammatory disorder andan IL-1 polymorphism does not necessarily indicate that the polymorphismdirectly causes the disorder. Rather the correlated polymorphism may bea benign allelic variant which is linked to (i.e. in linkagedisequilibrium with) a disorder-causing mutation which has occurred inthe recent human evolutionary past, so that sufficient time has notelapsed for equilibrium to be achieved through recombination events inthe intervening chromosomal segment. Thus, for the purposes ofdiagnostic and prognostic assays for a particular disease, detection ofa polymorphic allele associated with that disease can be utilizedwithout consideration of whether the polymorphism is directly involvedin the etiology of the disease. Furthermore, where a given benignpolymorphic locus is in linkage disequilibrium with an apparentdisease-causing polymorphic locus, still other polymorphic loci whichare in linkage disequilibrium with the benign polymorphic locus are alsolikely to be in linkage disequilibrium with the disease-causingpolymorphic locus. Thus these other polymorphic loci will also beprognostic or diagnostic of the likelihood of having inherited thedisease-causing polymorphic locus. Indeed, a broad-spanning humanhaplotype (describing the typical pattern of co-inheritance of allelesof a set of linked polymorphic markers) can be targeted for diagnosticpurposes once an association has been drawn between a particular diseaseor condition and a corresponding human haplotype. Thus, thedetermination of an individual's likelihood for developing a particulardisease of condition can be made by characterizing one or moredisease-associated polymorphic alleles (or even one or moredisease-associated haplotypes) without necessarily determining orcharacterizing the causative genetic variation.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

In one aspect, the present invention provides novel methods and kits fordetermining whether a subject has a cardiovascular disorder. In oneembodiment, the kits and methods of the present invention are directedto the diagnosis of fragile plaque disorder. Diagnosis of the presenceof fragile plaque disorder identifies those patients predisposed to thedevelopment of fragile plaque disease, characterized by clinical eventssuch as myocardial infarction and stroke. Diagnosing these individualspredisposed to the development of fragile plaque disease is especiallyimportant because the onset of the disease can be abrupt andcatastrophic, without premonitory signs and symptoms. Determining whichpatients are at risk for developing the disease because they have thedisorder thus opens the possibility of early diagnosis of diseaseconditions and treating the disorder and the disease through appropriatetherapeutics.

In another embodiment, the kits and methods of the present invention aredirected to the diagnosis of an occlusive disorder. Diagnosis of thepresence of an occlusive disorder identifies those patients predisposedto the development of occlusive disease, characterized by clinicalevents such as ischemia, angina, claudication, rest pain and gangrene.Determining which patients are at risk for developing the diseasebecause they have the disorder thus opens the possibility of earlydiagnosis and therapeutic intervention, at a stage before irreversibletissue changes have occurred in the tissues served by the affectedvessels.

In yet another embodiment, the kits and methods of the present inventionare directed to the diagnosis of a restenosis disorder. Diagnosis of thepresence of a restenosis disorder identifies those patients predisposedto the development of a restenosis disease, characterized by clinicalevents related to the recurrence of the initial vascular stenosis thatis being treated by the stent. Determining which patients are at riskfor developing the disease because they have the disorder thus opens thepossibility of selecting therapies for the initial vascular stenosismost likely to avoid subsequent stenoses. Such patients might becandidates for surgical revascularization rather than percutaneoustransluminal angioplasty, for example, or such patients may benefit frompharmacological or topical interventions at an early stage that couldaffect the progression of the restenosis disorder.

In another aspect, the methods of the present invention provide for thetreatment of a patient with a cardiovascular disorder of theabovementioned types. Treatment includes determining whether a patienthas an allelic pattern associated with a cardiovascular disorder andadministering to the patient a therapeutic adapted to the treatment ofthe cardiovascular disorder. In one embodiment, the method can includethe identification of a risk factor for the cardiovascular disorder andthe formulation of a treatment plan that reduces the effect of the riskfactor on the patient.

These and other embodiments of the present invention rely at least inpart upon the novel finding that there is an association of patterns ofalleles at four polymorphic loci in the IL-1 gene cluster withcardiovascular disorders. These patterns are referred to herein patterns1, 2 and 3. Pattern 1 comprises an allelic pattern including allele 2 ofIL-1A (+4845) or IL-1B (+3954) and allele 1 of IL-1B (−511) or IL-1RN(+2018), or an allele that is in linkage disequilibrium with one of theaforementioned allele. In a preferred embodiment, this allelic patternpermits the diagnosis of fragile plaque disorder. Pattern 2 comprises anallelic pattern including allele 2 of IL-1B (−511) or IL-1RN (+2018) andallele 1 of IL-1A (+4845) or IL-1B (+3954), or an allele that is inlinkage disequilibrium with one of the aforementioned alleles. In apreferred embodiment, this allelic pattern permits the diagnosis offragile plaque disorder. Pattern 3 comprises an allelic patternincluding allele 1 of IL-1A (+4845) or allele 1 of IL-1B (+3954), andallele 1 of IL-1B (−511) or allele 1 of IL-1RN (+2018), or an allelethat is in linkage disequilibrium with one of the aforementionedalleles. In a preferred embodiment, this allelic pattern permits thediagnosis of a restenosis disorder.

An allele associated with a cardiovascular disorder can be detected byany of a variety of available techniques, including: 1) performing ahybridization reaction between a nucleic acid sample and a probe that iscapable of hybridizing to the allele; 2) sequencing at least a portionof the allele; or 3) determining the electrophoretic mobility of theallele or fragments thereof (e.g., fragments generated by endonucleasedigestion). The allele can optionally be subjected to an amplificationstep prior to performance of the detection step. Preferred amplificationmethods are selected from the group consisting of: the polymerase chainreaction (PCR), the ligase chain reaction (LCR), strand displacementamplification (SDA), cloning, and variations of the above (e.g. RT-PCRand allele specific amplification). Oligonucleotides necessary foramplification may be selected for example, from within the IL-1 geneloci, either flanking the marker of interest (as required for PCRamplification) or directly overlapping the marker (as in ASOhybridization). In a particularly preferred embodiment, the sample ishybridized with a set of primers, which hybridize 5′ and 3′ in a senseor antisense sequence to the vascular disease associated allele, and issubjected to a PCR amplification.

An allele associated with a cardiovascular disorder may also be detectedindirectly, e.g. by analyzing the protein product encoded by the DNA.For example, where the marker in question results in the translation ofa mutant protein, the protein can be detected by any of a variety ofprotein detection methods. Such methods include immunodetection andbiochemical tests, such as size fractionation, where the protein has achange in apparent molecular weight either through truncation,elongation, altered folding or altered post-translational modifications.

In another aspect, the invention features kits for performing theabove-described assays. The kit can include a nucleic acid samplecollection means and a means for determining whether a subject carries acardiovascular disorder associated allele. The kit may also contain acontrol sample either positive or negative or a standard and/or analgorithmic device for assessing the results and additional reagents andcomponents including: DNA amplification reagents, DNA polymerase,nucleic acid amplification reagents, restrictive enzymes, buffers, anucleic acid sampling device, DNA purification device, deoxynucleotides,oligonucleotides (e.g. probes and primers) etc.

As described above, the control samples may be positive or negativecontrols. Further, the control sample may contain the positive (ornegative) products of the allele detection technique employed. Forexample, where the allele detection technique is PCR amplification,followed by size fractionation, the control sample may comprise DNAfragments of the appropriate size. Likewise, where the allele detectiontechnique involves detection of a mutated protein, the control samplemay comprise a sample of mutated protein. However, it is preferred thatthe control sample comprises the material to be tested. For example, thecontrols may be a sample of genomic DNA or a cloned portion of the IL-1gene cluster. Preferably, however, the control sample is a highlypurified sample of genomic DNA where the sample to be tested is genomicDNA.

The oligonucleotides present in said kit may be used for amplificationof the region of interest or for direct allele specific oligonucleotide(ASO) hybridization to the markers in question. Thus, theoligonucleotides may either flank the marker of interest (as requiredfor PCR amplification) or directly overlap the marker (as in ASOhybridization).

Information obtained using the assays and kits described herein (aloneor in conjunction with information on a risk factor, such as aconcurrent disease, a genetic defect or environmental factor whichcontributes to a vascular disorder) is useful for determining whether anon-symptomatic subject has a cardiovascular disorder or is likely todevelop a cardiovascular disease. In addition, the information can allowa more customized approach and allow one to determine whether the courseof action should involve the use of more invasive procedures or whethertreatment should be aimed at plaque stabilization. This information canenable a clinician to more effectively prescribe a therapy that willaddress the molecular or genetic basis of the disorder.

In a further aspect, the invention features methods for treating orpreventing the development of a cardiovascular disorder in a subject byadministering to the subject an appropriate therapeutic of theinvention. In still another aspect, the invention provides in vitro orin vivo assays for screening test compounds to identify therapeutics fortreating or preventing a cardio-vascular disorder. In one embodiment,the assay comprises contacting a cell transfected with a causativemutation that is operably linked to an appropriate promoter with a testcompound and determining the level of expression of a protein in thecell in the presence and in the absence of the test compound. In oneembodiment, the causative mutation affects the systemic levels of IL-1receptor antagonist, and is associated with increased serum levels ofIL-1RA, so that the therapeutic efficacy of a particular compound can begauged by whether serum levels of IL-1RA fall in its presence. Inanother preferred embodiment, if the cardiovascular disorder causativemutation results in increased production of IL-1α or IL-1β, anddecreased production of IL-1α or IL-1β in the presence of the testcompound indicates that the compound is an antagonist of IL-1α or IL-1βactivity. In another embodiment, the invention features transgenicnon-human animals and their use in identifying antagonists of IL-1α orIL-1β activity or agonists of IL-1Ra activity.

Other features and advantages of the invention are set forth in thefollowing detailed description and claims.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE FIGURES

FIG. 1 depicts schematically a position of genes on Chromosome 2.

FIG. 2 shows a table of disequilibrium values within the IL-1 genecluster.

FIG. 3 presents a bar graph showing frequencies of haplotype patterns.

FIG. 4 presents a schematic depiction of the alleles in IL-1 GenotypePattern 2 and certain of their clinical correlations.

FIG. 5 shows features of a clinical trial related to genetic markers.

FIG. 6 presents a bar graph of the association between an IL-1 genotypeand coronary artery stenosis.

FIG. 7 presents a bar graph showing associations between IL-1 genotypepatterns and restenosis.

FIG. 8 presents a bar graph showing associations between homozygous andheterozygous allelic patterns at IL-1RN(+2018) locus and restenosis andtarget vessel revascularization (TVR).

FIG. 9 presents a schematic flow chart of the relations betweencholesterol levels, IL-1 patterns and clinical events.

FIG. 10 presents a bar graph showing relationship between IL-1polymorphisms and risk for fragile plaque type clinical events withdifferent total cholesterol levels.

FIG. 11 presents a schematic depiction of the alleles in IL-1 GenotypePattern 1 and certain of their clinical correlations.

FIG. 12 shows a bar graph relating IL-1 genotype pattern 2 with Lp(a)levels.

FIG. 13 shows a bar graph relating IL-1 genotype pattern 2 with LDLlevels.

FIG. 14 shows a bar graph illustrating relationships between IL-1genotypes and levels of C-reactive protein.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION 4.1 Definitions

For convenience, the meaning of certain terms and phrases employed inthe specification, examples, and appended claims are provided below.

The term “aberrant activity”, as applied to an activity of a polypeptidesuch as IL-1, refers to an activity which differs from the activity of anative polypeptide or which differs from the activity of the polypeptidein a healthy subject. An activity of a polypeptide can be aberrantbecause it is stronger than the activity of its native counterpart.Alternatively, an activity can be aberrant because it is weaker orabsent relative to the activity of its native counterpart. An aberrantactivity can also be a change in an activity. For example an aberrantpolypeptide can interact with a different target peptide. A cell canhave an aberrant IL-1 activity due to overexpression or underexpressionof an IL-1 locus gene encoding an IL-1 locus polypeptide.

The term “allele” refers to the different sequence variants found atdifferent polymorphic regions. For example, IL-1RN (VNTR) has at leastfive different alleles. The sequence variants may be single or multiplebase changes, including without limitation insertions, deletions, orsubstitutions, or may be a variable number of sequence repeats.

The term “allelic pattern” refers to the identity of an allele oralleles at one or more polymorphic regions. For example, an allelicpattern may consist of a single allele at a polymorphic site, as forIL-1RN (VNTR) allele 1, which is an allelic pattern having at least onecopy of IL-1RN allele 1 at the VNTR of the IL-1RN gene loci.Alternatively, an allelic pattern may consist of either a homozygous orheterozygous state at a single polymorphic site. For example, IL1-RN(VNTR) allele 2,2 is an allelic pattern in which there are two copies ofthe second allele at the VNTR marker of IL-1RN and that corresponds tothe homozygous IL-R/N (VNTR) allele 2 state. Alternatively, an allelicpattern may consist of the identity of alleles at more than onepolymorphic site.

The term “antibody” as used herein is intended to refer to a bindingagent including a whole antibody or a binding fragment thereof which isspecifically reactive with an IL-1B polypeptide. Antibodies can befragmented using conventional techniques and the fragments screened forutility in the same manner as described above for whole antibodies. Forexample, F(ab)₂ fragments can be generated by treating an antibody withpepsin. The resulting F(ab)₂ fragment can be treated to reduce disulfidebridges to produce Fab fragments. The antibody of the present inventionis further intended to include bispecific, single-chain, and chimericand humanized molecules having affinity for an IL-1B polypeptideconferred by at least one CDR region of the antibody.

“Biological activity” or “bioactivity” or “activity” or “biologicalfunction”, which are used interchangeably, for the purposes herein whenapplied to IL-1 means an effector or antigenic function that is directlyor indirectly performed by an IL-1 polypeptide (whether in its native ordenatured conformation), or by any subsequence (fragment) thereof. Abiological activity can include binding, effecting signal transductionfrom a receptor, modulation of gene expression or an antigenic effectorfunction.

As used herein the term “bioactive fragment of an IL-1 polypeptide”refers to a fragment of a full-length IL-1 polypeptide, wherein thefragment specifically mimics or antagonizes the activity of a wild-typeIL-1 polypeptide. The bioactive fragment preferably is a fragmentcapable of interacting with an interleukin receptor.

“Cells”, “host cells” or “recombinant host cells” are terms usedinterchangeably herein to refer not only to the particular subject cell,but to the progeny or potential progeny of such a cell. Because certainmodifications may occur in succeeding generations due to either mutationor environmental influences, such progeny may not, in fact be identicalto the parent cell, but is still included within the scope of the termas used herein.

A “chimera,” “mosaic,” “chimeric mammal” and the like, refers to atransgenic mammal with a knock-out or knock-in construct in at leastsome of its genome-containing cells.

The terms “control” or “control sample” refer to any sample appropriateto the detection technique employed. The control sample may contain theproducts of the allele detection technique employed or the material tobe tested. Further, the controls may be positive or negative controls.By way of example, where the allele detection technique is PCRamplification, followed by size fractionation, the control sample maycomprise DNA fragments of an appropriate size. Likewise, where theallele detection technique involves detection of a mutated protein, thecontrol sample may comprise a sample of a mutant protein. However, it ispreferred that the control sample comprises the material to be tested.For example, the controls may be a sample of genomic DNA or a clonedportion of the IL-1 gene cluster. However, where the sample to be testedis genomic DNA, the control sample is preferably a highly purifiedsample of genomic DNA.

A “cardiovascular disease” is a cardiovascular disorder, as definedherein, characterized by clinical events including clinical symptoms andclinical signs. Clinical symptoms are those experiences reported by apatient that indicate to the clinician the presence of pathology.Clinical signs are those objective findings on physical or laboratoryexamination that indicate to the clinician the presence of pathology.“Cardiovascular disease” includes both “coronary artery disease” and“peripheral vascular disease,” both terms being defined below. Clinicalsymptoms in cardiovascular disease include chest pain, shortness ofbreath, weakness, fainting spells, alterations in consciousness,extremity pain, paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnea, transient ischemic attacksand other such phenomena experienced by the patient. Clinical signs incardiovascular disease include such findings as EKG abnormalities,altered peripheral pulses, arterial bruits, abnormal heart sounds, ralesand wheezes, jugular venous distention, neurological alterations andother such findings discerned by the clinician. Clinical symptoms andclinical signs can combine in a cardiovascular disease such as amyocardial infarction (MI) or a stroke (also termed a “cerebrovascularaccident” or “CVA”), where the patient will report certain phenomena(symptoms) and the clinician will perceive other phenomena (signs) allindicative of an underlying pathology. “Cardiovascular disease” includesthose diseases related to the cardiovascular disorders of fragile plaquedisorder, occlusive disorder and stenosis. For example, a cardiovasculardisease resulting from a fragile plaque disorder, as that term isdefined below, can be termed a “fragile plaque disease.” Clinical eventsassociated with fragile plaque disease include those signs and symptomswhere the rupture of a fragile plaque with subsequent acute thrombosisor with distal embolization are hallmarks. Examples of fragile plaquedisease include certain strokes and myocardial infarctions. As anotherexample, a cardiovascular disease resulting from an occlusive disordercan be termed an “occlusive disease.” Clinical events associated withocclusive disease include those signs and symptoms where the progressiveocclusion of an artery affects the amount of circulation that reaches atarget tissue. Progressive arterial occlusion may result in progressiveischemia that may ultimately progress to tissue death if the amount ofcirculation is insufficient to maintain the tissues. Signs and symptomsof occlusive disease include claudication, rest pain, angina, andgangrene, as well as physical and laboratory findings indicative ofvessel stenosis and decreased distal perfusion. As yet another example,a cardiovascular disease resulting from restenosis can be termed anin-stent stenosis disease. In-stent stenosis disease includes the signsand symptoms resulting from the progressive blockage of an arterialstent that has been positioned as part of a procedure like apercutaneous transluminal angioplasty, where the presence of the stentis intended to help hold the vessel in its newly expanded configuration.The clinical events that accompany in-stent stenosis disease are thoseattributable to the restenosis of the reconstructed artery.

A “cardiovascular disorder” refers broadly to both to coronary arterydisorders and peripheral arterial disorders. The term “cardiovasculardisorder” can apply to any abnormality of an artery, whether structural,histological, biochemical or any other abnormality. This term includesthose disorders characterized by fragile plaque (termed herein “fragileplaque disorders”), those disorders characterized by vaso-occlusion(termed herein “occlusive disorders”), and those disorders characterizedby restenosis. A “cardiovascular disorder” can occur in an arteryprimarily, that is, prior to any medical or surgical intervention.Primary cardiovascular disorders include, among others, atherosclerosis,arterial occlusion, aneurysm formation and thrombosis. A “cardiovasculardisorder” can occur in an artery secondarily, that is, following amedical or surgical intervention. Secondary cardiovascular disordersinclude, among others, post-traumatic aneurysm formation, restenosis,and post-operative graft occlusion.

A “cardiovascular disorder causative functional mutation” refers to amutation which causes or contributes to the development of acardiovascular disorder in a subject. Preferred mutations occur withinthe IL-1 complex. A cardiovascular disorder causative functionalmutation occurring within an IL-1 gene (e.g. IL-1A, IL-1B or IL-1RN) ora gene locus, which is linked thereto, may alter, for example, the openreading frame or splicing pattern of the gene, thereby resulting in theformation of an inactive or hypoactive gene product. For example, amutation which occurs in intron 6 of the IL-1A locus corresponds to avariable number of tandem repeat 46 bp sequences corresponding to fromfive to 18 repeat units (Bailly, et al. (1993) Eur. J. Immunol. 23:1240-45). These repeat sequences contain three potential binding sitesfor transcriptional factors: an SP1 site, a viral enhancer element, anda glucocorticoid-responsive element; therefore individuals carryingIL-1A intron 6 VNTR alleles with large numbers of repeat units may besubject to altered transcriptional regulation of the IL-1A gene andconsequent perturbations of inflammatory cytokine production. Indeed,there is evidence that increased repeat number at this polymorphic IL-1Alocus leads to decreased IL-1α synthesis (Bailly et al. (1996) MolImmunol 33: 999-1006). Alternatively, a mutation can result in ahyperactive gene product. For example, allele 2 of the IL-1B (G at+6912) polymorphism occurs in the 3′ UTR (untranslated region) of theIL-1B mRNA and is associated with an approximately four-fold increase inthe steady state levels of both IL-1B mRNA and IL-1B protein compared tothose levels associated with allele 1 of the IL-1B gene at +6912).Further, an IL-1B (−511) mutation occurs near a promoter binding sitefor a negative glucocorticoid response element (Zhang et al. (1997) DNACell Biol 16: 145-52). This element potentiates a four-fold repressionof IL-1B expression by dexamethosone and a deletion of this negativeresponse elements causes a 2.5-fold increase in IL-1B promoter activity.The IL-1B (−511) polymorphism may thus directly affect cytokineproduction and inflammatory responses. These examples demonstrate thatgenetic variants occurring in the IL-1A or IL-1B gene can directly leadto the altered production or regulation of IL-1 cytokine activity.

A “cardiovascular disorder therapeutic” refers to any agent ortherapeutic regimen (including pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals andsurgical means) that prevents or postpones the development of or reducesthe extent of an abnormality constitutive of a cardiovascular disorderin a subject. Cardiovascular disorder therapeutics can be directed tothe treatment of any cardiovascular disorder, including fragile plaquedisorder, occlusive disorder and restenosis. Examples of therapeuticagents directed to each category of cardiovascular disorder are providedherein. It is understood that a therapeutic agent may be useful for morethan one category of cardiovascular disorder. The therapeutic can be apolypeptide, peptidomimetic, nucleic acid or other inorganic or organicmolecule, preferably a “small molecule” including vitamins, minerals andother nutrients. Preferably the therapeutic can modulate at least oneactivity of an IL-1 polypeptide, e.g., interaction with a receptor, bymimicking or potentiating (agonizing) or inhibiting (antagonizing) theeffects of a naturally-occurring polypeptide. An IL-1 agonist can be awild-type protein or derivative thereof having at least one bioactivityof the wild-type, e.g., receptor binding activity. An IL-1 agonist canalso be a compound that upregulates expression of a gene or whichincreases at least one bioactivity of a protein. An IL-1 agonist canalso be a compound which increases the interaction of a polypeptide withanother molecule, e.g., a receptor. An IL-1 antagonist can be a compoundwhich inhibits or decreases the interaction between a protein andanother molecule, e.g., a receptor or an agent that blocks signaltransduction or post-translation processing (e.g., IL-1 convertingenzyme (ICE) inhibitor). Accordingly, a preferred antagonist is acompound which inhibits or decreases binding to a receptor and therebyblocks subsequent activation of the receptor. An IL-1 antagonist canalso be a compound that downregulates expression of a gene or whichreduces the amount of a protein present. The antagonist can be adominant negative form of a polypeptide, e.g., a form of a polypeptidewhich is capable of interacting with a target peptide, e.g., a receptor,but which does not promote the activation of the receptor. Theantagonist can also be a nucleic acid encoding a dominant negative formof a polypeptide, an antisense nucleic acid, or a ribozyme capable ofinteracting specifically with an RNA. Yet other antagonists aremolecules which bind to a polypeptide and inhibit its action. Suchmolecules include peptides, e.g., forms of target peptides which do nothave biological activity, and which inhibit binding to receptors. Thus,such peptides will bind to the active site of a protein and prevent itfrom interacting with target peptides. Yet other antagonists includeantibodies that specifically interact with an epitope of a molecule,such that binding interferes with the biological function of thepolypeptide. In yet another preferred embodiment, the antagonist is asmall molecule, such as a molecule capable of inhibiting the interactionbetween a polypeptide and a target receptor. Alternatively, the smallmolecule can function as an antagonist by interacting with sites otherthan the receptor binding site. Preferred therapeutics include lipidlowering drugs, antiplatelet agents, anti-inflammatory agents andantihypertensive agents.

“Cerebrovascular disease,” as used herein, is a type of peripheralvascular disease (as defined below) where the peripheral vessel blockedis part of the cerebral circulation. The cerebral circulation includesthe carotid and the vertebral arterial systems. This definition ofcerebrovascular disease is intended specifically to include intracranialhemorrhage that does not occur as a manifestation of an arterialblockage. Blockage can occur suddenly, by mechanisms such as plaquerupture or embolization. Blockage can occur progressively, withnarrowing of the artery via myointimal hyperplasia and plaque formation.Blockage can be complete or partial. Certain degrees and durations ofblockage result in cerebral ischemia, a reduction of blood flow thatlasts for several seconds to minutes. The prolongation of cerebralischemia can result in cerebral infarction. Ischemia and infarction canbe focal or widespread. Cerebral ischemia or infarction can result inthe abrupt onset of a non-convulsive focal neurological defect, aclinical event termed a “stroke” or a “cerebrovascular accident (CVA)”.Cerebrovascular disease has two broad categories of pathologies:thrombosis and embolism. Thrombotic strokes occur without warningsymptoms in 80-90% of patients; between 10 and 20% of thrombotic strokesare heralded by transient ischemic attacks. A cerebrovascular diseasecan be associated with a fragile plaque disorder. The signs and symptomsof this type of cerebrovascular disease are those associated withfragile plaque, including stroke due to sudden arterial blockage withthrombus or embolus formation. A cerebrovascular disease can beassociated with occlusive disorder. The signs and symptoms of this typeof cerebrovascular disease relate to progressive blockage of blood flowwith global or local cerebral ischemia. In this setting, neurologicalchanges can be seen, including stroke.

A “clinical event” is an occurrence of clinically discernible signs of adisease or of clinically reportable symptoms of a disease. “Clinicallydiscernible” indicates that the sign can be appreciated by a health careprovider. “Clinically reportable” indicates that the symptom is the typeof phenomenon that can be described to a health care provider. Aclinical event may comprise clinically reportable symptoms even if theparticular patient cannot himself or herself report them, as long asthese are the types of phenomena that are generally capable ofdescription by a patient to a health care provider.

A “coronary artery disease” (“CAD”) refers to a vascular disorderrelating to the blockage of arteries serving the heart. Blockage canoccur suddenly, by mechanisms such as plaque rupture or embolization.Blockage can occur progressively, with narrowing of the artery viamyointimal hyperplasia and plaque formation. Those clinical signs andsymptoms resulting from the blockage of arteries serving the heart aremanifestations of coronary artery disease. Manifestations of coronaryartery disease include angina, ischemia, myocardial infarction,cardiomyopathy, congestive heart failure, arrhythmias and aneurysmformation. It is understood that fragile plaque disease in the coronarycirculation is associated with arterial thrombosis or distalembolization that manifests itself as a myocardial infarction. It isunderstood that occlusive disease in the coronary circulation isassociated with arterial stenosis accompanied by anginal symptoms, acondition commonly treated with pharmacological interventions and withangioplasty.

A “disease” is a disorder characterized by clinical events includingclinical signs and clinical symptoms. The diseases discussed hereininclude cardiovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease, CAD,cerebrovascular disease, and those diseases in any anatomic locationassociated with fragile plaque disorder, with occlusive disorder or withrestenosis.

A “disorder associated allele” or “an allele associated with a disorder”refers to an allele whose presence in a subject indicates that thesubject has or is susceptible to developing a particular disorder. Onetype of disorder associated allele is a “cardiovascular disorderassociated allele,” the presence of which in a subject indicates thatthe subject has or is susceptible to developing a cardiovasculardisorder. These include broadly within their scope alleles which areassociated with “fragile plaque disorders,” alleles associated with“occlusive disorders,” and alleles associated with restenosis. Examplesof alleles associated with “fragile plaque disorders” include allele 2of the IL-1A +4825; allele 2 of the +3954 marker of IL-1B; and allele 1of the +2018 marker of IL-1RN; and allele 1 of the (−511) marker of theIL-1B gene or an allele that is in linkage disequilibrium with one ofthe aforementioned alleles. Examples of alleles associated with“occlusive disorders” include allele 1 of the IL-1A+4825; allele 1 ofthe +3954 marker of IL-1B; and allele 2 of the +2018 marker of IL-1RN;and allele 2 of the (−511) marker of the IL-1B gene or an allele that isin linkage disequilibrium with one of the aforementioned alleles.Examples of alleles associated with restenosis include the combinationof either allele 1 of the +4825 marker of IL-1A or allele 1 of the +3954marker as combined with either allele 1 of the −511 marker of IL-1B orallele 1 of the +2018 marker of IL-1RN, or an allele that is in linkagedisequilibrium with one of the aforementioned alleles. A “periodontaldisorder associated allele” refers to an allele whose presence in asubject indicates that the subject has or is susceptible to developing aperiodontal disorders.

The phrases “disruption of the gene” and “targeted disruption” or anysimilar phrase refers to the site specific interruption of a native DNAsequence so as to prevent expression of that gene in the cell ascompared to the wild-type copy of the gene. The interruption may becaused by deletions, insertions or modifications to the gene, or anycombination thereof.

As used herein, the terms “embolus,” “embolism” or “embolization” referto artery-to-artery embolism or embolization.

“Fragile plaque disorder” refers to that cardiovascular disordercharacterized by the formation of fragile plaque as part of thearteriosclerotic process within an artery. The fragile plaque is proneto fracture, thrombosis or rupture. When the integrity of the plaque isaltered, it can mechanically block the vessel locally or it can sendfragments or associated clot downstream in the vessel to cause blockagemore distally. If the plaque cracks, it can be a nidus for a localthrombus to form. Fragile plaque disorder is associated with allelepattern 1 at the IL-1 locus.

A “fragile plaque disorder therapeutic” refers to any agent ortherapeutic regimen (including pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals andsurgical means) that prevents or postpones the development of or reducesthe extent of an abnormality constitutive of a fragile plaque disorderin a subject. This term includes certain agents that operate bystabilizing fragile plaque, certain agents with anti-thrombotic oranti-platelet effect, and certain agents with antioxidant effect.Examples of fragile plaque disorder associated therapeutics includestatin drugs, anti-inflammatory agents with anti-prostaglandin effect,anti-inflammatory agents and cytokine inhibitors directed against IL-1and TNF-alpha such as Tenidap, matrix metalloproteanase (MMP) inhibitorsincluding tetracycline and related agents and specific MMP inhibitors,and recombinant IL-1 receptor antagonists. Furthermore, this termincludes those nutriceuticals that block IL-1, agents such as fish oils,omega-3 fatty acids, polyunsaturated fatty acids, and thosenutriceuticals with antioxidant effect such as butylated hydroxyanisol(BHA).

The term “haplotype” as used herein is intended to refer to a set ofalleles that are inherited together as a group (are in linkagedisequilibrium) at statistically significant levels (p_(corr)<0.05). Asused herein, the phrase “an IL-1 haplotype” refers to a haplotype in theIL-1 loci.

An “IL-1 agonist” as used herein refers to an agent that mimics,upregulates (potentiates or supplements) or otherwise increases an IL-1bioactivity or a bioactivity of a gene in an IL-1 biological pathway.IL-1 agonists may act on any of a variety of different levels, includingregulation of IL-1 gene expression at the promoter region, regulation ofmRNA splicing mechanisms, stabilization of mRNA, phosphorylation ofproteins for translation, conversion of proIL-1 to mature IL-1 andsecretion of IL-1. Agonists that increase IL-1 synthesis include:lipopolysaccharides, IL-1B, cAMP inducing agents, NfκB activatingagents, AP-1 activating agents, TNF-α, oxidized LDL, advancedglycosylation end products (AGE), sheer stress, hypoxia, hyperoxia,ischemia reperfusion injury, histamine, prostaglandin E 2 (PGE2), IL-2,IL-3, IL-12, granulocyte macrophage-colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF),monocyte colony stimulating factor (M-CSF), stem cell factor, plateletderived growth factor (PDGF), complement C5A, complement C5b9, fibrindegradation products, plasmin, thrombin, 9-hydroxyoctadecaenoic acid,13-hydroxyoctadecaenoic acid, platelet activating factor (PAF), factorH, retinoic acid, uric acid, calcium pyrophosphate, polynucleosides,c-reactive protein, α-antitrypsin, tobacco antigen, collagen, β-1integrins, LFA-3, anti-HLA-DR, anti-IgM, anti-CD3, phytohemagglutinin(CD2), sCD23, ultraviolet B radiation, gamma radiation, substance P,isoproterenol, methamphetamine and melatonin. Agonists that stabilizeIL-1 mRNA include bacterial endotoxin and IL-1. Other agonists, thatfunction by increasing the number of IL-1 type 1 receptors available,include IL-1, PKC activators, dexamethasone, IL-2, IL-4 and PGE2. Otherpreferred antagonists interfere or inhibit signal transduction factorsactivated by IL-1 or utilized in an IL-1 signal transduction pathway(e.g NF□B and AP-1, PI3 kinase, phospholipase A2, protein kinase C,JNK-1,5-lipoxygenase, cyclooxygenase 2, tyrosine phosphorylation, iNOSpathway, Rac, Ras, TRAF). Still other agonists increase the bioactivityof genes whose expression is induced by IL-1, including: IL-1, IL-1Ra,TNF, IL-2, IL-3, IL-6, IL-12, GM-CSF, G-CSF, TGF-β, fibrinogen,urokinase plasminogen inhibitor, Type 1 and type 2 plasminogen activatorinhibitor, p-selectin (CD62), fibrinogen receptor, CD-11/CD18, proteasenexin-1, CD44, Matrix metalloproteinase-1 (MMP-1), MMP-3, Elastase,Collagenases, Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-1 (TIMP-1),Collagen, Triglyceride increasing Apo CIII, Apolipoprotein, ICAM-1,ELAM-1, VCAM-1, L-selectin, Decorin, stem cell factor, Leukemiainhibiting factor, IFN□, □□ L-8, IL-2 receptor, IL-3 receptor, IL-5receptor, c-kit receptor, GM-CSF receptor, Cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2),Type 2 phospholipase A2, Inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS),Endothelin-1,3, Gamma glutamyl transferase, Mn superoxide dismutase,C-reactive protein, Fibrinogen, Serum amyloid A, Metallothioneins,Ceruloplasmin, Lysozyme, Xanthine dehydrogenase, Xanthine oxidase,Platelet derived growth factor A chain (PDGF), Melanoma growthstimulatory activity (gro-□, □□), Insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1),Activin A, Pro-opiomelanocortiotropin, corticotropin releasing factor, Bamyloid precursor, Basement membrane protein-40, Laminin B1 and B2,Constitutive heat shock protein p70, P42 mitogen, activating proteinkinase, ornithine decarboxylase, heme oxygenase and G-protein □subunit).

An “IL-1 antagonist” as used herein refers to an agent thatdownregulates or otherwise decreases an IL-1 bioactivity. IL-1antagonists may act on any of a variety of different levels, includingregulation of IL-1 gene expression at the promoter region, regulation ofmRNA splicing mechanisms, stabilization of mRNA, phosphorylation ofproteins for translation, conversion of proIL-1 to mature IL-1 andsecretion of IL-1. Antagonists of IL-1 production include:corticosteroids, lipoxygenase inhibitors, cyclooxygenase inhibitors,γ-interferon, IL-4, IL-10, IL-13, transforming growth factor β (TGF-β),ACE inhibitors, n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, antioxidants and lipidreducing agents. Antagonists that destabilize IL-1mRNA include agentsthat promote deadenylation. Antagonists that inhibit or preventphosphorylation of IL-1 proteins for translation includepyridinyl-imadazole compounds, such as tebufelone and compounds thatinhibit microtubule formation (e.g. colchicine, vinblastine andvincristine). Antagonists that inhibit or prevent the conversion ofproIL-1 to mature IL-1 include interleukin converting enzyme (ICE)inhibitors, such as RICE isoforms, ICE α, β, and γ isoform antibodies,CXrm-A, transcript X, endogenous tetrapeptide competitive substrateinhibitor, trypsin, elastase, chymotrypsin, chymase, and othernonspecific proteases. Antagonists that prevent or inhibit the secretionof IL-1 include agents that block anion transport. Antagonists thatinterfere with IL-1 receptor interactions, include: agents that inhibitglycosylation of the type I IL-1 receptor, antisense oligonucleotidesagainst IL-1RI, antibodies to IL-1RI and antisense oligonucleotidesagainst IL-1RacP. Other antagonists, that function by decreasing thenumber of IL-1 type 1 receptors available, include TGF-β, COXinhibitors, factors that increase IL-1 type II receptors, dexamethasone,PGE2, IL-1 and IL-4. Other preferred antagonists interfere or inhibitsignal transduction factors activated by IL-1 or utilized in an IL-1signal transduction pathway (e.g NF□B and AP-1, PI3 kinase,phospholipase A2, protein kinase C, JNK-1,5-lipoxygenase, cyclooxygenase2, tyrosine phosphorylation, iNOS pathway, Rac, Ras, TRAF). Still otherantagonists interfere with the bioactivity of genes whose expression isinduced by IL-1, including: IL-1, IL-1Ra, TNF, IL-2, IL-3, IL-6, IL-12,GM-CSF, G-CSF, TGF-β, fibrinogen, urokinase plasminogen inhibitor, Type1 and type 2 plasminogen activator inhibitor, p-selectin (CD62),fibrinogen receptor, CD-11/CD18, protease nexin-1, CD44, Matrixmetalloproteinase-1 (MMP-1), MMP-3, Elastase, Collagenases, Tissueinhibitor of metalloproteinases-1 (TIMP-1), Collagen, Triglycerideincreasing Apo CIII, Apolipoprotein, ICAM-1, ELAM-1, VCAM-1, L-selectin,Decorin, stem cell factor, Leukemia inhibiting factor, IFN□, □□ L-8,IL-2 receptor, IL-3 receptor, IL-5 receptor, c-kit receptor, GM-CSFreceptor, Cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2), Type 2 phospholipase A2, Induciblenitric oxide synthase (iNOS), Endothelin-1,3, Gamma glutamyltransferase, Mn superoxide dismutase, C-reactive protein, Fibrinogen,Serum amyloid A, Metallothioneins, Ceruloplasmin, Lysozyme, Xanthinedehydrogenase, Xanthine oxidase, Platelet derived growth factor A chain(PDGF), Melanoma growth stimulatory activity (gro-□, □□), Insulin-likegrowth factor-1 (IGF-1), Activin A, Pro-opiomelanocortiotropin,corticotropin releasing factor, B amyloid precursor, Basement membraneprotein-40, Laminin B1 and B2, Constitutive heat shock protein p70, P42mitogen, activating protein kinase, ornithine decarboxylase, hemeoxygenase and G-protein□subunit). Other preferred antagonists include:hymenialdisine, herbimycines (e.g. herbamycin A), CK-103A and itsderivatives (e.g. 4,6-dihydropyridazino[4,5-c]pyridazin-5 (1H)-one),CK-119, CK-122, iodomethacin, aflatoxin B1, leptin, heparin, bicyclicimidazoles (e.g SB203580), PD15306 HCl, podocarpic acid derivatives,M-20, Human [Gly2] Glucagon-like peptide-2, FR167653, Steroidderivatives, glucocorticoids, Quercetin, Theophylline, NO-synthetaseinhibitors, RWJ 68354, Euclyptol (1.8-cineole), Magnosalin,N-Acetylcysteine, Alpha-Melatonin-Stimulating Hormone (□-MSH), Triclosan(2,4,4′-trichloro-2′-hydroxyldiphenyl ether), Prostaglandin E2 and4-aminopyridine Ethacrynic acid and4,4′-diisothiocyanatostilbene-2,2′-disulfonic acid (DIDS), Glucose,Lipophosphoglycan, aspirin, Catabolism-blocking agents, Diacerhein,Thiol-modulating agents, Zinc, Morphine, Leukotriene biosynthesisinhibitors (e.g. MK886), Platelet-activating factor receptor antagonists(e.g. WEB 2086), Amiodarone, Tranilast, S-methyl-L-thiocitrulline,Beta-adrenoreceptor agonists (e.g. Procaterol, Clenbuterol, Fenoterol,Terbutaline, Hyaluronic acid, anti-TNF-□ antibodies, anti-IL-1□autoantibodies, IL-1 receptor antagonist, IL-1R-associated kinase,soluble TNF receptors and antiinflammatory cytokines (e.g IL-4, IL-13,IL-10, IL-6, TGF-□, angiotensin II, Soluble IL-1 type II receptor,Soluble IL-1 type I receptor, Tissue plasminogen activator, Zinc fingerprotein A20 IL-1 Peptides (e.g (Thr-Lys-Pro-Arg) (Tuftsin),(Ile-Thr-Gly-Ser-Glu) IL-1-alpha, Val-Thr-Lys-Phe-Tyr-Phe,Val-Thr-Asp-Phe-Tyr-Phe, Interferon alpha2b, Interferon beta, IL-1-betaanalogues (e.g. IL-1-beta tripeptide: Lys-D-Pro-Thr), glycosylatedIL-1-alpha, and IL-1ra peptides.

The terms “IL-1 gene cluster” and “IL-1 loci” as used herein include allthe nucleic acid at or near the 2q13 region of chromosome 2, includingat least the IL-1A, IL-1B and IL-1RN genes and any other linkedsequences. (Nicklin et al, Genomics 19: 382-84, 1994). The terms“IL-1A”, “IL-1B”, and “IL-1RN” as used herein refer to the genes codingfor IL-1α, IL-1β, and IL-1 receptor antagonist, respectively. The geneaccession number for IL-1A, IL-1B, and IL-1RN are X03833, X04500, andX64532, respectively.

“IL-1 functional mutation” refers to a mutation within the IL-1 genecluster that results in an altered phenotype (i.e. affects the functionof an IL-1 gene or protein). Examples include: IL-1A(+4845) allele 2,IL-1B (+3954) allele 2, IL-1B (−511) allele 1 and IL-1RN (+2018) allele1.

“IL-1X (Z) allele Y” refers to a particular allelic form, designated Y,occurring at an IL-1 locus polymorphic site in gene X, wherein X isIL-1A, B, or R/N or some other gene in the IL-1 gene loci, andpositioned at or near nucleotide Z, wherein nucleotide Z is numberedrelative to the major transcriptional start site, which is nucleotide+1, of the particular IL-1 gene X. As further used herein, the term“IL-1X allele (Z)” refers to all alleles of an IL-1 polymorphic site ingene X positioned at or near nucleotide Z. For example, the term “IL-1RN(+2018) allele” refers to alternative forms of the IL-1RN gene at marker+2018. “IL-1RN (+2018) allele 1” refers to a form of the IL-1RN genewhich contains a cytosine (C) at position +2018 of the sense strand.Clay et al., Hum. Genet. 97:723-26, 1996. “IL-1RN (+2018) allele 2”refers to a form of the IL-1RN gene which contains a thymine (T) atposition +2018 of the plus strand. When a subject has two identicalIL-1RN alleles, the subject is said to be homozygous, or to have thehomozygous state. When a subject has two different IL-1RN alleles, thesubject is said to be heterozygous, or to have the heterozygous state.The term “IL-1RN (+2018) allele 2,2” refers to the homozygous IL-1 RN(+2018) allele 2 state. Conversely, the term “IL-1RN (+2018) allele 1,1”refers to the homozygous IL-1 RN (+2018) allele 1 state. The term“IL-1RN (+2018) allele 1,2” refers to the heterozygous allele 1 and 2state.

“IL-1 related” as used herein is meant to include all genes related tothe human IL-1 locus genes on human chromosome 2 (2q 12-14). Theseinclude IL-1 genes of the human IL-1 gene cluster located at chromosome2 (2q 13-14) which include: the IL-1A gene which encodes interleukin-1α,the IL-1B gene which encodes interleukin-1β, and the IL-1RN (or IL-1ra)gene which encodes the interleukin-1 receptor antagonist. Furthermorethese IL-1 related genes include the type I and type II human IL-1receptor genes located on human chromosome 2 (2q12) and their mousehomologs located on mouse chromosome 1 at position 19.5 cM.Interleukin-1α, interleukin-1β, and interleukin-1RN are related in somuch as they all bind to IL-1 type I receptors, however onlyinterleukin-1α and interleukin-1β are agonist ligands which activateIL-1 type I receptors, while interleukin-1RN is a naturally occurringantagonist ligand. Where the term “IL-1” is used in reference to a geneproduct or polypeptide, it is meant to refer to all gene productsencoded by the interleukin-1 locus on human chromosome 2 (2q 12-14) andtheir corresponding homologs from other species or functional variantsthereof. The term IL-1 thus includes secreted polypeptides which promotean inflammatory response, such as IL-1α and IL-1β, as well as a secretedpolypeptide which antagonize inflammatory responses, such as IL-1receptor antagonist and the IL-1 type II (decoy) receptor.

An “IL-1 receptor” or “IL-1R” refers to various cell membrane boundprotein receptors capable of binding to and/or transducing a signal fromIL-1 locus-encoded ligand. The term applies to any of the proteins whichare capable of binding interleukin-1 (IL-1) molecules and, in theirnative configuration as mammalian plasma membrane proteins, presumablyplay a role in transducing the signal provided by IL-1 to a cell. Asused herein, the term includes analogs of native proteins withIL-1-binding or signal transducing activity. Examples include the humanand murine IL-1 receptors described in U.S. Pat. No. 4,968,607. The term“IL-1 nucleic acid” refers to a nucleic acid encoding an IL-1 protein.

An “IL-1 polypeptide” and “IL-1 protein” are intended to encompasspolypeptides comprising the amino acid sequence encoded by the IL-1genomic DNA sequences for IL-1α, IL-1β and IL-1RN, or fragments thereof,and homologs thereof and include agonist and antagonist polypeptides.

“In-stent stenosis” refers to the progressive occlusion within a stentthat has been placed during angioplasty. In-stent stenosis is a form ofrestenosis that takes place within an arterial stent.

“Increased risk” refers to a statistically higher frequency ofoccurrence of the disease or disorder in an individual in comparison tothe frequency of occurrence of the disease or disorder in a population.A factor identified to be associated with increased risk is termed a“risk factor.” Carrying a particular polymorphic allele is a risk factorfor a particular cardiovascular disease, and is associated with anincreased risk of the particular disease.

The term “interact” as used herein is meant to include detectablerelationships or associations (e.g. biochemical interactions) betweenmolecules, such as interactions between protein-protein, protein-nucleicacid, nucleic acid-nucleic acid and protein-small molecule or nucleicacid-small molecule in nature.

The term “isolated” as used herein with respect to nucleic acids, suchas DNA or RNA, refers to molecules separated from other DNAs, or RNAs,respectively, that are present in the natural source of themacromolecule. For example, an isolated nucleic acid encoding one of thesubject IL-1 polypeptides preferably includes no more than 10 kilobases(kb) of nucleic acid sequence which naturally immediately flanks theIL-1 gene in genomic DNA, more preferably no more than 5 kb of suchnaturally occurring flanking sequences, and most preferably less than1.5 kb of such naturally occurring flanking sequence. The term isolatedas used herein also refers to a nucleic acid or peptide that issubstantially free of cellular material, viral material, or culturemedium when produced by recombinant DNA techniques, or chemicalprecursors or other chemicals when chemically synthesized. Moreover, an“isolated nucleic acid” is meant to include nucleic acid fragments whichare not naturally occurring as fragments and would not be found in thenatural state. The term “isolated” is also used herein to refer topolypeptides which are isolated from other cellular proteins and ismeant to encompass both purified and recombinant polypeptides.

A “knock-in” transgenic animal refers to an animal that has had amodified gene introduced into its genome and the modified gene can be ofexogenous or endogenous origin.

A “knock-out” transgenic animal refers to an animal in which there ispartial or complete suppression of the expression of an endogenous gene(e.g, based on deletion of at least a portion of the gene, replacementof at least a portion of the gene with a second sequence, introductionof stop codons, the mutation of bases encoding critical amino acids, orthe removal of an intron junction, etc.).

A “knock-out construct” refers to a nucleic acid sequence that can beused to decrease or suppress expression of a protein encoded byendogenous DNA sequences in a cell. In a simple example, the knock-outconstruct is comprised of a gene, such as the IL-1RN gene, with adeletion in a critical portion of the gene so that active protein cannotbe expressed therefrom. Alternatively, a number of termination codonscan be added to the native gene to cause early termination of theprotein or an intron junction can be inactivated. In a typical knock-outconstruct, some portion of the gene is replaced with a selectable marker(such as the neo gene) so that the gene can be represented as follows:IL-1RN 5′/neo/IL-1RN 3′, where IL-1RN5′ and IL-1RN 3′, refer to genomicor cDNA sequences which are, respectively, upstream and downstreamrelative to a portion of the IL-1RN gene and where neo refers to aneomycin resistance gene. In another knock-out construct, a secondselectable marker is added in a flanking position so that the gene canbe represented as: IL-1RN/neo/IL-1RN/TK, where TK is a thymidine kinasegene which can be added to either the IL-1RN5′ or the IL-1RN3′ sequenceof the preceding construct and which further can be selected against(i.e. is a negative selectable marker) in appropriate media. Thistwo-marker construct allows the selection of homologous recombinationevents, which removes the flanking TK marker, from non-homologousrecombination events which typically retain the TK sequences. The genedeletion and/or replacement can be from the exons, introns, especiallyintron junctions, and/or the regulatory regions such as promoters.

“Linkage disequilibrium” refers to co-inheritance of two alleles atfrequencies greater than would be expected from the separate frequenciesof occurrence of each allele in a given control population. The expectedfrequency of occurrence of two alleles that are inherited independentlyis the frequency of the first allele multiplied by the frequency of thesecond allele. Alleles that co-occur at expected frequencies are said tobe in “linkage disequilibrium”. The cause of linkage disequilibrium isoften unclear. It can be due to selection for certain allelecombinations or to recent admixture of genetically heterogeneouspopulations. In addition, in the case of markers that are very tightlylinked to a disease gene, an association of an allele (or group oflinked alleles) with the disease gene is expected if the diseasemutation occurred in the recent past, so that sufficient time has notelapsed for equilibrium to be achieved through recombination events inthe specific chromosomal region. When referring to allelic patterns thatare comprised of more than one allele, a first allelic pattern is inlinkage disequilibrium with a second allelic pattern if all the allelesthat comprise the first allelic pattern are in linkage disequilibriumwith at least one of the alleles of the second allelic pattern. Anexample of linkage disequilibrium is that which occurs between thealleles at the IL-1RN (+2018) and IL-1RN (VNTR) polymorphic sites. Thetwo alleles at IL-1RN (+2018) are 100% in linkage disequilibrium withthe two most frequent alleles of IL-1RN (VNTR), which are allele 1 andallele 2.

The term “marker” refers to a sequence in the genome that is known tovary among individuals. For example, the IL-1RN gene has a marker thatconsists of a variable number of tandem repeats (VNTR).

“Modulate” refers to the ability of a substance to regulate bioactivity.When applied to an IL-1 bioactivity, an agonist or antagonist canmodulate bioactivity for example by agonizing or antagonizing an IL-1synthesis, receptor interaction, or IL-1 mediated signal transductionmechanism.

A “mutated gene” or “mutation” or “functional mutation” refers to anallelic form of a gene, which is capable of altering the phenotype of asubject having the mutated gene relative to a subject which does nothave the mutated gene. The altered phenotype caused by a mutation can becorrected or compensated for by certain agents. If a subject must behomozygous for this mutation to have an altered phenotype, the mutationis said to be recessive. If one copy of the mutated gene is sufficientto alter the phenotype of the subject, the mutation is said to bedominant. If a subject has one copy of the mutated gene and has aphenotype that is intermediate between that of a homozygous and that ofa heterozygous subject (for that gene), the mutation is said to beco-dominant.

A “non-human animal” of the invention includes mammals such as rodents,non-human primates, sheep, dogs, cows, goats, etc. amphibians, such asmembers of the Xenopus genus, and transgenic avians (e.g. chickens,birds, etc.). The term “chimeric animal” is used herein to refer toanimals in which the recombinant gene is found, or in which therecombinant gene is expressed in some but not all cells of the animal.The term “tissue-specific chimeric animal” indicates that one of therecombinant IL-1 genes is present and/or expressed or disrupted in sometissues but not others. The term “non-human mammal” refers to any memberof the class Mammalia, except for humans.

As used herein, the term “nucleic acid” refers to polynucleotides oroligonucleotides such as deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA), and, whereappropriate, ribonucleic acid (RNA). The term should also be understoodto include, as equivalents, analogs of either RNA or DNA made fromnucleotide analogs (e.g. peptide nucleic acids) and as applicable to theembodiment being described, single (sense or antisense) anddouble-stranded polynucleotides.

“Occlusive disorder” refers to that cardiovascular disordercharacterized by the progressive thickening of an arterial wall,associated with the presence of an atherosclerotic intimal lesion withinan artery. Occlusive disorder leads to progressive blockage of theartery. With sufficient progression, the occlusive disorder can reduceflow in the artery to the point that clinical signs and symptoms areproduced in the tissues perfused by the artery. These clinical eventsrelate to ischemia of the perfused tissues. When severe, ischemia isaccompanied by tissue death, called infarction or gangrene. Occlusivedisorder is associated with the allele pattern 2s at the IL-1 locus.

An “occlusive disorder therapeutic” refers to any agent or therapeuticregimen (including pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals and surgical means)that prevents or postpones the development of or reduces the extent ofan abnormality constitutive of an occlusive disorder in a subject.Examples of occlusive disorder therapeutics include those agents thatare anti-oxidants, those that lower serum lipids, those that block theaction of oxidized lipids and other agents that influence lipidmetabolism or otherwise have lipid-active effects.

A “peripheral vascular disease” (“PVD”) is a cardiovascular diseaseresulting from the blockage of the peripheral (i.e., non-coronary)arteries. Blockage can occur suddenly, by mechanisms such as plaquerupture or embolization, as occurs in fragile plaque disease. Blockagecan occur progressively, with narrowing of the artery via myointimalhyperplasia and plaque formation, as in occlusive disease. Blockage canbe complete or partial. Those clinical signs and symptoms resulting fromthe blockage of peripheral arteries are manifestations of peripheralvascular disease. Manifestations of peripheral vascular diseasesinclude, inter alia, claudication, ischemia, intestinal angina,vascular-based renal insufficiency, transient ischemic attacks, aneurysmformation, peripheral embolization and stroke. Ischemic cerebrovasculardisease is a type of peripheral vascular disease.

The term “polymorphism” refers to the coexistence of more than one formof a gene or portion (e.g., allelic variant) thereof. A portion of agene of which there are at least two different forms, i.e., twodifferent nucleotide sequences, is referred to as a “polymorphic regionof a gene”. A specific genetic sequence at a polymorphic region of agene is an allele. A polymorphic region can be a single nucleotide, theidentity of which differs in different alleles. A polymorphic region canalso be several nucleotides long.

The term “propensity to disease,” also “predisposition” or“susceptibility” to disease or any similar phrase, means that certainalleles are hereby discovered to be associated with or predictive of asubject's incidence of developing a particular disease (herein, acardiovascular disease). The alleles are thus over-represented infrequency in individuals with disease as compared to healthyindividuals. Thus, these alleles can be used to predict disease even inpre-symptomatic or pre-diseased individuals. These alleles areunderstood to relate to the disorder underlying the disease.

The term “restenosis” refers to any preocclusive lesion that developsfollowing a reconstructive procedure in a diseased blood vessel. Theterm is not only applied to the recurrence of a pre-existing stenosis,but also to previously normal vessels such as vein grafts that becomepartially occluded following vascular bypass. Restenosis refers to anyluminal narrowing that occurs following a therapeutic interventiondirected to an artery. Injuries resulting in restenosis can thereforeinclude trauma to an atherosclerotic lesion (as seen with angioplasty),a resection of a lesion (as seen with endarterectomy), an externaltrauma (e.g., a cross-clamping injury), or a surgical anastomosis.Restenosis can occur as the result of any time of vascularreconstruction, whether in the coronary vasculature or in the periphery(Colburn and Moore (1998) Myointimal Hyperplasia pp. 690-709 in VascularSurgery: A Comprehensive Review (Philadelphia: Saunders, 1998)). Forexample, studies have reported symptomatic restenosis rates of 30-50%following coronary angioplasties (see Berk and Harris (1995) Adv.Intern. Med. 40:455-501). After carotid endarterectomies, as a furtherexample, 20% of patients studied had a luminal narrowing greater than50% (Clagett et al. (1986) J. Vasc. Surg. 3:10-23). Yet another exampleof restenosis is seen in infrainguinal vascular bypasses, where 40-60%of prosthetic grafts and 20-40% of the vein grafts are occluded at threeyears (Dalman and Taylor (1990) Ann. Vasc. Surg. 3:109-312, Szilagyi etal. (1973) Ann. Surg. 178:232-246). Different degrees of symptomatologyaccompany preocclusive lesions in different anatomical locations, due toa combination of factors including the different calibers of the vesselsinvolved, the extent of residual disease and local hemodynamics.In-stent stenosis is a type of restenosis.

A “restenosis disorder therapeutic” refers to any agent or therapeuticregimen (including pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals and surgical means)that prevents or postpones the development of or reduces the extent ofan abnormality constitutive of a restenosis disorder in a patient.Restenosis is understood to comprise three phases. The first phase ischaracterized by an inflammatory response involving the recruitment ofleukocytes to the site of injury and by the formation of thrombus duringthe first forty-eight hours. The endothelium is activated with theexpression of adhesion molecules ICAM-1, E-selectin, P-selectin andVCAM-1. At the same time, macrophages and fibroblasts begin to migrateinto the injury site by means of upregulation of integrins. The secondphase is characterized by the proliferation of smooth muscle cells inthe vessel wall media and the migration of these cells into the intimawhere they migrate. Growth factors and cytokines that regulate theproliferation and migration of smooth muscle cells are released from theplatelets, leukocytes and smooth muscle cells. The last phase includesthe secretory phase of extracellular matrix from smooth muscle cells. Arestenosis disorder therapeutics may act to affect any of theseprocesses in modulating the course of restenosis. Restenosis disordertherapeutics may include those agents that influence the processes of NOsynthesis, such as troglitazone and tranilast. Restenosis disordertherapeutics include physical interventions such as radiation therapiesthat influence the progression of restenosis or of in-stent restenosis.Restenosis disorder therapeutics include stent modification techniquessuch as seeding stents with genetically modified endothelial cells,coating stents with heparin or related agents, providing drug-loadedpolymer stents, constructing polymer-coated stents eluting plateletglycoprotein receptor antibodies or other stent modifications.Restenosis disorder therapeutics include genetic engineering techniques,for example, those that involve transfer of therapeutic genes or andthose that involve incorporation of plasmid DNA in hydrogel coatedmedical devices. Restenosis disorder therapeutics also include surgicalmanipulations or parts of surgical treatment plans intended to minimizethe incidence of restenosis or to avoid it. Restenosis disorders areunderstood to occur in all native arteries subjected to endovascularmanipulation and in autogenous veins used as vascular grafts. Intimalhyperplasia of either the proximal or the distal anastomosis or of thevein graft itself continues to be the leading cause of late failures ofinfrainguinal vascular reconstructions, for example. In prosthetic graftreconstructions, such problems are extremely unusual. Diagnosing apropensity for an occlusive disorder might guide the surgeon inselecting the type of graft material to be used for a vascularreconstruction, or might influence the choice of pharmacological agentsto be used as adjuncts to the procedure.

A “risk factor” is a factor identified to be associated with anincreased risk. A risk factor for a cardiovascular disorder or acardiovascular disease is any factor identified to be associated with anincreased risk of developing those conditions or of worsening thoseconditions. A risk factor can also be associated with an increased riskof an adverse clinical event or an adverse clinical outcome in a patientwith a cardiovascular disorder. Risk factors for cardiovascular diseaseinclude smoking, adverse lipid profiles, elevated lipids or cholesterol,diabetes, hypertension, hypercoagulable states, elevated homocysteinelevels, and lack of exercise. Carrying a particular polymorphic alleleis a risk factor for a particular cardiovascular disorder, and isassociated with an increased risk of the particular disorder.

“Small molecule” as used herein, is meant to refer to a composition,which has a molecular weight of less than about 5 kD and most preferablyless than about 4 kD. Small molecules can be nucleic acids, peptides,peptidomimetics, carbohydrates, lipids or other organic or inorganicmolecules.

As used herein, the term “specifically hybridizes” or “specificallydetects” refers to the ability of a nucleic acid molecule to hybridizeto at least approximately 6 consecutive nucleotides of a sample nucleicacid.

“Stenosis,” as understood herein refers to a narrowing of an artery asseen in occlusive disorder or in restenosis. Stenosis can be accompaniedby those symptoms reflecting a decrease in blood flow past the narrowedarterial segment, in which case the disorder giving rise to the stenosisis termed a disease (i.e., occlusive disease or restenosis disease).Stenosis can exist asymptomatically in a vessel, to be detected only bya diagnostic intervention such as an angiography or a vascular labstudy.

“Transcriptional regulatory sequence” is a generic term used throughoutthe specification to refer to DNA sequences, such as initiation signals,enhancers, and promoters, which induce or control transcription ofprotein coding sequences with which they are operably linked.

As used herein, the term “transgene” means a nucleic acid sequence(encoding, e.g., one of the IL-1 polypeptides, or an antisensetranscript thereto) which has been introduced into a cell. A transgenecould be partly or entirely heterologous, i.e., foreign, to thetransgenic animal or cell into which it is introduced, or, is homologousto an endogenous gene of the transgenic animal or cell into which it isintroduced, but which is designed to be inserted, or is inserted, intothe animal's genome in such a way as to alter the genome of the cellinto which it is inserted (e.g., it is inserted at a location whichdiffers from that of the natural gene or its insertion results in aknockout). A transgene can also be present in a cell in the form of anepisome. A transgene can include one or more transcriptional regulatorysequences and any other nucleic acid, such as introns, that may benecessary for optimal expression of a selected nucleic acid.

A “transgenic animal” refers to any animal, preferably a non-humanmammal, bird or an amphibian, in which one or more of the cells of theanimal contain heterologous nucleic acid introduced by way of humanintervention, such as by transgenic techniques well known in the art.The nucleic acid is introduced into the cell, directly or indirectly byintroduction into a precursor of the cell, by way of deliberate geneticmanipulation, such as by microinjection or by infection with arecombinant virus. The term genetic manipulation does not includeclassical cross-breeding, or in vitro fertilization, but rather isdirected to the introduction of a recombinant DNA molecule. Thismolecule may be integrated within a chromosome, or it may beextrachromosomally replicating DNA. In the typical transgenic animalsdescribed herein, the transgene causes cells to express a recombinantform of one of an IL-1 polypeptide, e.g. either agonistic orantagonistic forms. However, transgenic animals in which the recombinantgene is silent are also contemplated, as for example, the FLP or CRErecombinase dependent constructs described below. Moreover, “transgenicanimal” also includes those recombinant animals in which gene disruptionof one or more genes is caused by human intervention, including bothrecombination and antisense techniques. The term is intended to includeall progeny generations. Thus, the founder animal and all F1, F2, F3,and so on, progeny thereof are included.

The term “treating” as used herein is intended to encompass curing aswell as ameliorating at least one symptom of a disease or at least oneabnormality associated with a disorder. Treating a cardiovasculardisorder can take place by administering a cardiovascular disordertherapeutic. Treating a cardiovascular disorder can also take place bymodifying risk factors that are related to the cardiovascular disorder.

A “treatment plan” refers to at least one intervention undertaken tomodify the effect of a risk factor upon a patient. A treatment plan fora cardiovascular disorder or disease can address those risk factors thatpertain to cardiovascular disorders or diseases. A treatment plan caninclude an intervention that focuses on changing patient behavior, suchas stopping smoking. A treatment plan can include an interventionwhereby a therapeutic agent is administered to a patient. As examples,cholesterol levels can be lowered with proper medication, and diabetescan be controlled with insulin. Nicotine addiction can be treated bywithdrawal medications. A treatment plan can include an interventionthat is diagnostic. The presence of the risk factor of hypertension, forexample, can give rise to a diagnostic intervention whereby the etiologyof the hypertension is determined. After the reason for the hypertensionis identified, further treatments may be administered.

The term “vector” refers to a nucleic acid molecule, which is capable oftransporting another nucleic acid to which it has been linked. One typeof preferred vector is an episome, i.e., a nucleic acid capable ofextra-chromosomal replication. Preferred vectors are those capable ofautonomous replication and/or expression of nucleic acids to which theyare linked. Vectors capable of directing the expression of genes towhich they are operatively linked are referred to herein as “expressionvectors”. In general, expression vectors of utility in recombinant DNAtechniques are often in the form of “plasmids” which refer generally tocircular double stranded DNA loops which, in their vector form are notbound to the chromosome. In the present specification, “plasmid” and“vector” are used interchangeably as the plasmid is the most commonlyused form of vector. However, the invention is intended to include suchother forms of expression vectors which serve equivalent functions andwhich become known in the art subsequently hereto.

The term “wild-type allele” refers to an allele of a gene which, whenpresent in two copies in a subject results in a wild-type phenotype.There can be several different wild-type alleles of a specific gene,since certain nucleotide changes in a gene may not affect the phenotypeof a subject having two copies of the gene with the nucleotide changes.

4.2 General

The kits and methods of the present invention rely at least in part uponthe novel finding that there is an association of patterns of alleles atfour polymorphic loci in the IL-1 gene cluster with cardiovasculardisorders. These patterns are referred to herein patterns 1, 2 and 3.Pattern 1 comprises an allelic pattern including allele 2 of IL-1A(+4845) or IL-1B (+3954) and allele 1 of IL-1B (−511) or IL-1RN (+2018),or an allele that is in linkage disequilibrium with one of theaforementioned allele. In a preferred embodiment, this allelic patternpermits the diagnosis of fragile plaque disorder. Pattern 2 comprises anallelic pattern including allele 2 of IL-1B (−511) or IL-1RN (+2018) andallele 1 of IL-1A (+4845) or IL-1B (+3954), or an allele that is inlinkage disequilibrium with one of the aforementioned alleles. In apreferred embodiment, this allelic pattern permits the diagnosis offragile plaque disorder. Pattern 3 comprises an allelic patternincluding allele 1 of IL-1A (+4845) or allele 1 of IL-1B (+3954), andallele 1 of IL-1B (−511) or allele 1 of IL-1RN (+2018), or an allelethat is in linkage disequilibrium with one of the aforementionedalleles. In a preferred embodiment, this allelic pattern permits thediagnosis of a restenosis disorder. In one aspect, the present inventionprovides novel methods and kits for determining whether a subject has acardiovascular disorder. In one aspect, the invention discloses a methodand a kit for determining whether a subject has a fragile plaquedisorder. In one aspect, the invention discloses a method and a kit fordetermining whether a subject has an occlusive disorder. In one aspect,the invention discloses a method and a kit for determining whether asubject has a restenosis disorder.

Genes for IL-1α, IL-1β and IL-1RN are located in a cluster on chromosome2, as shown in FIG. 1. Certain genes at the IL-1 locus are understood tobe in linkage disequilibrium, as shown in FIG. 2. Furthermore, as FIG. 3illustrates, patterns of haplotypes can be identified, and theirfrequencies in populations can be ascertained. The three haplotypepatterns, patterns 1, 2 and 3, may be defined by four polymorphic lociin the IL-1 gene cluster as shown in Table 1.

TABLE 1 IL-1A IL-1RN Haplotypes (+4845) IL-1B (+3954) IL-1B (−511)(+2018) Pattern 1 Allele 2 Allele 2 Allele 1 Allele 1 Pattern 2 Allele 1Allele 1 Allele 2 Allele 2 Pattern 3 Allele 1 Allele 1 Allele 1 Allele 1

Haplotype pattern 1 is associated with fragile plaque disorders.Haplotype pattern 2 is associated with occlusive disorders. Haplotypepattern 3 is associated with restenosis disorders. As discussed above,because these alleles are in linkage disequilibrium with other alleles,the detection of such other linked alleles can also indicate that thesubject has or is predisposed to the development of a cardiovasculardisorder.

Atherosclerotic plaque that is prone to rupture (fragile plaque, as seenin fragile plaque disorders) has certain structural, cellular, andmolecular features. Rupture of the fibrous cap overlaying a vulnerableplaque is the most common cause of coronary thrombosis. Typicallyfragile plaque has a large lipid core and a thin fibrous cap that isoften infiltrated by inflammatory cells. The nature of the lipid formingthe core is also of significance; for instance, lipid in the form ofcholesterol ester softens the plaque and crystalline cholesterol mayhave the opposite effect. Furthermore, it is seen that an inflammatorycell infiltrate is a marker of plaque vulnerability. Several factorssuch as oxidized lipoproteins, infectious agents, or autoantigens, suchas heat shock proteins may incite a chronic inflammatory response in anatherosclerotic plaque. Influx of activated macrophages and Tlymphocytes into the plaque follows, with subsequent influx of cytokinesand matrix-degrading proteins, leading to the weakening of theconnective tissue framework of the plaque. Matrix mettaloproteinases andcertain cytokines are important factors in the pathogenesis of plaquevulnerability. Following the diagnosis of a fragile plaque disorder,therapeutics can be devised to address features of the fragile plaquelike the abovementioned.

In one embodiment, the present invention discloses the associationbetween significant coronary artery stenosis, increased carotid arterywall intimal-medial thickness and the IL-1 genotype pattern 2. Thepresence of Pattern 2 can be measured to determine a risk factor for thedevelopment of CAD. This pattern, and its pathophysiological correlates,is illustrated in FIG. 4. A clinical trial, whose findings aresynopsized on FIG. 5, was conducted to determine the association betweena genetic marker and the presence of symptomatic coronary arterystenosis. The results of this clinical trial are depicted in FIG. 6,where about 75% of those patients homozygous for allele 2 at an IL-1RNlocus were determined to have significant coronary artery stenosis.

In one embodiment, the present invention discloses the relation betweenrestenosis and the pattern 3 genotype at the IL-1 locus. As shown inFIG. 7, a study shows that the pattern 3 genotype is associated withabout a three-fold increase in the risk for restenosis, while the riskis 0.5 for the pattern 2 genotype and 1.0 for the pattern 1 genotype.FIG. 8, depicting data from the same study, shows that about 40% ofthose subjects homozygous for allele 1 at IL1RN(+2018) have significantrestenosis, and 25% have required target vessel revascularization.

It is understood that there may be a relation between the effects ofcertain risk factors on a patient afflicted with one of theabovementioned cardiovascular disorders and the development of therelated disease, and there may be a relation between the effects of riskfactors and the progression of the related disease. Diagnosis of theunderlying haplotype pattern can guide the clinician in makingrecommendations or in designing interventions to decrease the impact ofthe risk factors on the particular disorder or disease.

For example, the IL-1 genotype pattern in a patient can be related tothe effect of total cholesterol levels on cardiovascular disorders anddiseases. The presence of a certain serum cholesterol level in thepresence of a certain IL-1 genotype pattern is associated with astatistically determinable risk for coronary occlusive disease andfragile plaque disease. These associations are illustrated schematicallyin FIG. 9. FIG. 10 summarizes some of the data supporting theassociations. The data indicate that the presence of Pattern 1, even inthe presence of low serum cholesterol, is a strong predictor of the riskfor fragile plaque type events. Fragile plaque type events are alsoobserved in patients with Pattern 2, although there is a strongcorrelation with the serum cholesterol level. General associations ofthe Il-1 genotype pattern 2 are summarized schematically in FIG. 11.

Using the methods and kits of the present invention, the Il-1 genotypepattern may be related to the Lp(a) level in a subject to determine anodds ratio for occlusive CAD. It is understood that cholesterol istransported in body fluids in the form of lipoprotein particles. Theprotein component of these aggregates have specific cell-targetingcapabilities. Each lipoprotein particle is classified by density andcontains 1) a major species of lipids that is the core, and 2) aspecific apolipoprotein that is the shell of the particle. LDL, forexample, has a cholesterol core with an apolipoprotein B-100 shell.Lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] is a lipoprotein that contains LDL and a proteinchain that mimics plasminogen. Lp(a) appears to have atherogenic andprothrombotic effects that interfere with plasminogen and tPA binding tofibrin and stimulate plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI) synthesis.Studies have shown a relationship between Lp(a) and coronary arterydisease (CAD). A determination of the Il-2 genotype pattern versus theconcentration of Lp(a) shows the relationship between symptomaticcoronary artery stenosis and Lp(a) levels in Pattern 2 patients, arelationship illustrated in FIG. 12. Those patients homozygous forIL-1B(−511) allele 2 have a greatly increased risk for symptomaticstenosis, despite low Lp(a) levels. FIG. 13 shows the relation betweenelevated LDL and the risk for coronary artery occlusion, indicating theinterrelation between Pattern 2 and elevated serum lipid levels.

The methods and kits of the present invention may be used to relate thelevel of C-reactive protein (CRP) to the IL-1 genotype pattern. Over 50%of those pattern 1 subjects who were homozygous for allele 2 atIL-1B(+3954) were found to have a CRP greater than 0.20, while thosepattern 2 subjects homozygous for allele 1 at IL-1B(+3954) had a CRPgreater than 0.20 only about 28% of the time. These data are illustratedin FIG. 14.

4.3 Predictive Medicine

4.3.1. Polymorphisms Associated with Cardio-Vascular Disorders

The present invention is based at least in part, on the identificationof alleles that are associated (to a statistically significant extent)with the development of a cardiovascular disorder in subjects.Therefore, detection of these alleles, alone or in conjunction withanother means in a subject indicate that the subject has or ispredisposed to the development of a cardiovascular disorder. Forexample, as shown in the following examples, IL-1 polymorphic alleleswhich are associated with a propensity for developing a coronary arterydisorder or other vascular disorders caused by vascular occlusioninclude allele 2 of IL-1B (−511), allele 2 of IL-1RN (VNTR), allele 2 ofIL-1RN (+2018), allele 1 of IL-1A (+4845) or allele 1 of IL-1B (+3954)or an allele that is in linkage disequilibrium with one of theaforementioned alleles.

The present invention also discloses IL-1 polymorphic alleles which areassociated with a propensity or a greater risk for cardiovasculardiseases caused due to the rupture of fragile plaques. These includeallele 2 of IL-1A (+4845), allele 2 of IL-1B (+3954), allele 1 of IL-1B(−511), and allele 1 of IL-1RN (+2018) or an allele that is in linkagedisequilibrium with one of the aforementioned alleles. This pattern isalso associated with an increased risk for developing severe adultperiodontitis.

For example, allele 2 of IL-1B (−511) and allele 2 of IL-1RN (VNTR) arein linkage disequilibrium with one another and with a number of otherIL-1 polymorphisms which define the IL-1 (44112332) haplotype (Cox, etal. (1998) Am. J. Hum. Genet. 62: 1180-88). Specifically, the 44112332haplotype comprises the following genotype:

allele 4 of the 222/223 marker of IL-1A allele 4 of the gz5/gz6 markerof IL-1A allele 1 of the −889 marker of IL-1A allele 1 of the +3954marker of IL-1B allele 2 of the −511 marker of IL-1B allele 3 of thegaat.p33330 marker allele 3 of the Y31 marker allele 2 of the VNTRmarker of IL-1RN

Thus, in alternative embodiments of the present invention, genotypinganalysis at the 222/223 marker of IL-1A, the gz5/gz6 marker of IL-1A,the −889 marker of IL-1A, the +3954 marker of IL-1B, the gaat.p33330marker of the IL-1B/IL-1RN intergenic region, or the Y31 marker of theIL-1B/IL-1RN intergenic region is determined, and the presence of allele4 of the 222/223 marker of IL-1A, allele 4 of the gz5/gz6 marker ofIL-1A, allele 1 of the −889 marker of IL-1A, allele 1 of the +3954marker of IL-1B, allele 3 of the gaat.p33330 marker, or allele 3 of theY31 marker is indicative of an increased likelihood of developing acardiovascular disorder, particularly disorders caused by occlusion ofthe arteries. In certain embodiments, diagnosing a propensity for anocclusive disease can lead to modification of lifestyle factorsassociated with increased incidence of occlusive clinical events, or canresult in the introduction of therapeutic modalities to reduce the riskof occlusive symptoms or signs. In other embodiments, diagnosing apropensity for an occlusive disease can alert the clinician toexplanations for otherwise difficult-to-diagnose diseases such asintestinal angina, renovascular hypertension and others, situationswhere arterial stenosis may be responsible for the symptoms and signs.

In addition, allele 2 of the IL-1RN (+2018) polymorphism (Clay et al.(1996) Hum Genet 97: 723-26), also referred to as exon 2 (8006)(GenBank:X64532 at 8006) is known to be in linkage disequilibrium withallele 2 of the IL-1RN (VNTR) polymorphic locus, which in turn is a partof the 44112332 human haplotype. Thus, allele 2 of the IL-1RN (+2018)locus (i.e. C at +2018), is an allelic variant associated with the44112332 haplotype and therefore provides an alternative target forprognostic genotyping analysis to determine an individual's likelihoodof developing a vascular disorder. Similarly, three other polymorphismsin an IL-1RN alternative exon (Exon 1ic, which produces an intracellularform of the gene product) are also in linkage disequilibrium with allele2 of IL-1RN (VNTR) (Clay et al. (1996) Hum Genet 97: 723-26). Theseinclude: the IL-1RN exon 1ic (1812) polymorphism (GenBank:X77090 at1812); the IL-1RN exon 1ic (1868) polymorphism (GenBank:X77090 at 1868);and the IL-1RN exon 1ic (1887) polymorphism (GenBank:X77090 at 1887).Furthermore yet another polymorphism in the promoter for thealternatively spliced intracellular form of the gene, the Pic (1731)polymorphism (GenBank:X77090 at 1731), is also in linkage disequilibriumwith allele 2 of the IL-1RN (VNTR) polymorphic locus (Clay et al. (1996)Hum Genet 97: 723-26). The corresponding sequence alterations for eachof these IL-1RN polymorphic loci is shown below.

Exon 2 Exon 1ic-1 Exon 1ic-2 Exon 1ic-3 Pic (+2018 (1812 of (1868 of(1887 of (1731 of Allele # of IL-1RN) GB: X77090) GB: X77090 GB: X77090)GB: X77090) 1 T G A G G 2 C A G C AFor each of these polymorphic loci, the allele 2 sequence variant hasbeen determined to be in linkage disequilibrium with allele 2 of theIL-1RN (VNTR) locus (Clay et al. (1996) Hum Genet 97: 723-26).

Similarly, the 33221461, which is associated with an increased risk fordeveloping fragile plaque diseases comprises the following genotype:

allele 3 of the 222/223 marker of IL-1A allele 3 of the gz5/gz6 markerof IL-1A allele 2 of the −889 marker of IL-1A allele 2 of the +3954marker of IL-1B allele 1 of the −511 marker of IL-1B allele 4 of thegaat.p33330 marker allele 6 of the Y31 marker allele 1 of +2018 ofIL-1RN allele 2 of +4845 of IL-1A allele 1 of the VNTR marker of IL-1RN

In alternative embodiments of the invention, genotyping analysis at the−889 marker of IL-1A, the gaat.p33330 marker of the IL-1B/IL-1RNintergenic region, the Y31 marker of the IL-1B/IL-1RN intergenic regionis determined, and the presence of allele 1 of the −899 marker of theIL-1A, allele 4 of the gaat.p3330 marker, or allele 6 of the Y31 markeris indicative of cardio-vascular disorders, particularly of an increasedrisk for fragile plaque disorders. These disorders are understood tolead to clinical events via thrombosis and embolization. Often theclinical event is unheralded by previous signs of ischemia. Chronicischemia, as disclosed herein, is associated with occlusivecardiovascular disease rather than with fragile plaque disease. Earlydetection for the propensity for a catastrophic clinical event would bea significant addition to the current diagnostic armamentarium. Afragile plaque clinical event in the cerebrovascular circulation cancause a stroke or CVA by blocking cerebral vessels and causing acuteischemia that can lead to irreversible brain infarction. A fragileplaque clinical event in the myocardial circulation can cause amyocardial infarction by blocking coronary vessels and causing acuteischemia that can lead to irreversible myocardial damage. A fragileplaque clinical event in the non-cerebral peripheral vasculature canlead to sudden onset of ischemia leading to gangrene and tissue loss.Since these fragile plaque clinical events may ensue without priorwarning, the identification of the genotype associated with increasedrisk can lead to increased clinical monitoring in these at-risksubjects, with earlier and more extensive diagnostic or therapeuticinterventions. In another embodiment these are also indicative ofincreased risk for developing severe adult periodontitis. In yet anotherembodiment, the presence of severe adult periodontitis is indicative ofan increased risk for fragile plaque disease.

In addition to the allelic patterns described above, as describedherein, one of skill in the art can readily identify other alleles(including polymorphisms and mutations) that are in linkagedisequilibrium with an allele associated with a cardiovascular disorder.For example, a nucleic acid sample from a first group of subjectswithout a cardio vascular disorder can be collected, as well as DNA froma second group of subjects with a cardio vascular disorder. The nucleicacid sample can then be compared to identify those alleles that areover-represented in the second group as compared with the first group,wherein such alleles are presumably associated with a cardio vasculardisorder. Alternatively, alleles that are in linkage disequilibrium witha cardiovascular disorder associated allele can be identified, forexample, by genotyping a large population and performing statisticalanalysis to determine which alleles appear more commonly together thanexpected. Preferably the group is chosen to be comprised of geneticallyrelated individuals. Genetically related individuals include individualsfrom the same race, the same ethnic group, or even the same family. Asthe degree of genetic relatedness between a control group and a testgroup increases, so does the predictive value of polymorphic alleleswhich are ever more distantly linked to a disease-causing allele. Thisis because less evolutionary time has passed to allow polymorphismswhich are linked along a chromosome in a founder population toredistribute through genetic cross-over events. Thus race-specific,ethnic-specific, and even family-specific diagnostic genotyping assayscan be developed to allow for the detection of disease alleles whicharose at ever more recent times in human evolution, e.g., afterdivergence of the major human races, after the separation of humanpopulations into distinct ethnic groups, and even within the recenthistory of a particular family line.

Linkage disequilibrium between two polymorphic markers or between onepolymorphic marker and a disease-causing mutation is a meta-stablestate. Absent selective pressure or the sporadic linked reoccurrence ofthe underlying mutational events, the polymorphisms will eventuallybecome disassociated by chromosomal recombination events and willthereby reach linkage equilibrium through the course of human evolution.Thus, the likelihood of finding a polymorphic allele in linkagedisequilibrium with a disease or condition may increase with changes inat least two factors: decreasing physical distance between thepolymorphic marker and the disease-causing mutation, and decreasingnumber of meiotic generations available for the dissociation of thelinked pair. Consideration of the latter factor suggests that, the moreclosely related two individuals are, the more likely they will share acommon parental chromosome or chromosomal region containing the linkedpolymorphisms and the less likely that this linked pair will have becomeunlinked through meiotic cross-over events occurring each generation. Asa result, the more closely related two individuals are, the more likelyit is that widely spaced polymorphisms may be co-inherited. Thus, forindividuals related by common race, ethnicity or family, the reliabilityof ever more distantly spaced polymorphic loci can be relied upon as anindicator of inheritance of a linked disease-causing mutation.

The oligonucleotides present in one embodiment of a kit according to thepresent invention may be used for amplification of the region ofinterest or for direct allele specific oligonucleotide (ASO)hybridization to the markers in question. Thus, the oligonucleotides mayeither flank the marker of interest (as required for PCR amplification)or directly overlap the marker (as in ASO hybridization). Examples ofappropriate primers for use in the above described detection methods,include:

5′-CTCAGCAACACTCCTAT-3′; (SEQ ID NO. 1) 5′-TCCTGGTCTGCAGGTAA-3′; (SEQ IDNO. 2)

which can be used to amplify and type the human IL-1RN (VNTR)polymorphic locus;

(SEQ ID NO. 3) 5′-CTA TCT GAG GAA CAA CCA ACT AGT AGC-3′; (SEQ ID NO. 4)5′-TAG GAC ATT GCA CCT AGG GTT TGT-3′;

which can be used to amplify and type the human IL-1RN (+2018)polymorphic locus;

5′ TGGCATTGATCTGGTTCATC 3′; (SEQ ID No: 5) 5′ GTTTAGGAATCTTCCCACTT 3′;(SEQ ID No: 6)

which can be used to amplify and type the human IL-1B (−511) polymorphiclocus;

(SEQ ID NO: 7) 5′ CTC AGG TGT CCT CGA AGA AAT CAA A 3′; (SEQ ID NO: 8)5′ GCT TTT TTG CTG TGA GTC CCG 3′;

which can be used to amplify and type the human IL-1B (+3954)polymorphic locus; and

(SEQ ID NO: 9) 5′ ATG GTT TTA GAA ATC ATC AAG CCT AGG GCA 3′ (SEQ ID NO:10) 3′ AAT GAA AGG AGG GGA GGA TGA CAG AAA TGT 3′

which can be used to amplify and type the human IL-1A (+4845)polymorphic locus.

Appropriate probes may be designed to hybridize to a specific gene ofthe IL-1 locus, such as IL-1A, IL-1B or IL-1RN or a related gene.Alternatively, these probes may incorporate other regions of therelevant genomic locus, including intergenic sequences. Indeed the IL-1region of human chromosome 2 spans some 400,000 base pairs and, assumingan average of one single nucleotide polymorphism every 1,000 base pairs,includes some 400 SNPs loci alone. Yet other polymorphisms available foruse with the immediate invention are obtainable from various publicsources. For example, the human genome database collects intragenicSNPs, is searchable by sequence and currently contains approximately2,700 entries (http://hgbase.interactiva.de). Also available is a humanpolymorphism database maintained by the Massachusetts Institute ofTechnology (MIT SNP database(http://www.genome.wi.mit.edu/SNP/human/index.html)). From such sourcesSNPs as well as other human polymorphisms may be found.

For example, examination of the IL-1 region of the human genome in anyone of these databases reveals that the IL-1 locus genes are flanked bya centromere proximal polymorphic marker designated microsatellitemarker AFM220ze3 at 127.4 cM (centiMorgans) (see GenBank Acc. No.Z17008) and a distal polymorphic marker designated microsatellite anchormarker AFM087xa1 at 127.9 cM (see GenBank Acc. No. Z16545). These humanpolymorphic loci are both CA dinucleotide repeat microsatellitepolymorphisms, and, as such, show a high degree of heterozygosity inhuman populations. For example, one allele of AFM220ze3 generates a 211bp PCR amplification product with a 5′ primer of the sequenceTGTACCTAAGCCCACCCTTTAGAGC (SEQ ID No. 14) and a 3′ primer of thesequence TGGCCTCCAGAAACCTCCAA (SEQ ID No. 15). Furthermore, one alleleof AFM087xa1 generates a 177 bp PCR amplification product with a 5′primer of the sequence GCTGATATTCTGGTGGGAAA (SEQ ID No. 16) and a 3′primer of the sequence GGCAAGAGCAAAACTCTGTC (SEQ ID No. 17). Equivalentprimers corresponding to unique sequences occurring 5′ and 3′ to thesehuman chromosome 2 CA dinucleotide repeat polymorphisms will be apparentto one of skill in the art. Reasonable equivalent primers include thosewhich hybridize within about 1 kb of the designated primer, and whichfurther are anywhere from about 17 bp to about 27 bp in length. Ageneral guideline for designing primers for amplification of uniquehuman chromosomal genomic sequences is that they possess a meltingtemperature of at least about 50° C., wherein an approximate meltingtemperature can be estimated using the formula T_(melt)=[2×(# of A orT)+4×(# of G or C)].

A number of other human polymorphic loci occur between these two CAdinucleotide repeat polymorphisms and provide additional targets fordetermination of a cardiovascular disorder prognostic allele in a familyor other group of genetically related individuals. For example, theNational Center for Biotechnology Information web site(www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/genemap/) lists a number of polymorphism markersin the region of the IL-1 locus and provides guidance in designingappropriate primers for amplification and analysis of these markers.

Accordingly, the nucleotide segments of the invention may be used fortheir ability to selectively form duplex molecules with complementarystretches of human chromosome 2 q 12-13 or cDNAs from that region or toprovide primers for amplification of DNA or cDNA from this region. Thedesign of appropriate probes for this purpose requires consideration ofa number of factors. For example, fragments having a length of between10, 15, or 18 nucleotides to about 20, or to about 30 nucleotides, willfind particular utility. Longer sequences, e.g., 40, 50, 80, 90, 100,even up to full length, are even more preferred for certain embodiments.Lengths of oligonucleotides of at least about 18 to 20 nucleotides arewell accepted by those of skill in the art as sufficient to allowsufficiently specific hybridization so as to be useful as a molecularprobe. Furthermore, depending on the application envisioned, one willdesire to employ varying conditions of hybridization to achieve varyingdegrees of selectivity of probe towards target sequence. Forapplications requiring high selectivity, one will typically desire toemploy relatively stringent conditions to form the hybrids. For example,relatively low salt and/or high temperature conditions, such as providedby 0.02 M-0.15M NaCl at temperatures of about 50° C. to about 70° C.Such selective conditions may tolerate little, if any, mismatch betweenthe probe and the template or target strand.

Other alleles or other indicia of a vascular disorder can be detected ormonitored in a subject in conjunction with detection of the allelesdescribed above, for example, identifying vessel wall thickness (e.g. asmeasured by ultrasound), or whether the subject smokes, drinks, isoverweight, is under stress, has elevated cholesterol or lowcholesterol. has elevated Lp(a), or exercises.

4.3.2 Detection of Alleles

Many methods are available for detecting specific alleles at humanpolymorphic loci. The preferred method for detecting a specificpolymorphic allele will depend, in part, upon the molecular nature ofthe polymorphism. For example, the various allelic forms of thepolymorphic locus may differ by a single base-pair of the DNA. Suchsingle nucleotide polymorphisms (or SNPs) are major contributors togenetic variation, comprising some 80% of all known polymorphisms, andtheir density in the human genome is estimated to be on average 1 per1,000 base pairs. SNPs are most frequently biallelic—occurring in onlytwo different forms (although up to four different forms of an SNP,corresponding to the four different nucleotide bases occurring in DNA,are theoretically possible). Nevertheless, SNPs are mutationally morestable than other polymorphisms, making them suitable for associationstudies in which linkage disequilibrium between markers and an unknownvariant is used to map disease-causing mutations. In addition, becauseSNPs typically have only two alleles, they can be genotyped by a simpleplus/minus assay rather than a length measurement, making them moreamenable to automation.

A variety of methods are available for detecting the presence of aparticular single nucleotide polymorphic allele in an individual.Advancements in this field have provided accurate, easy, and inexpensivelarge-scale SNP genotyping. Most recently, for example, several newtechniques have been described including dynamic allele-specifichybridization (DASH), microplate array diagonal gel electrophoresis(MADGE), pyrosequencing, oligonucleotide-specific ligation, the TaqMansystem as well as various DNA “chip” technologies such as the AffymetrixSNP chips. These methods require amplification of the target geneticregion, typically by PCR. Still other newly developed methods, based onthe generation of small signal molecules by invasive cleavage followedby mass spectrometry or immobilized padlock probes and rolling-circleamplification, might eventually eliminate the need for PCR. Several ofthe methods known in the art for detecting specific single nucleotidepolymorphisms are summarized below. The method of the present inventionis understood to include all available methods.

Several methods have been developed to facilitate analysis of singlenucleotide polymorphisms. In one embodiment, the single basepolymorphism can be detected by using a specializedexonuclease-resistant nucleotide, as disclosed, e.g., in Mundy, C. R.(U.S. Pat. No. 4,656,127). According to the method, a primercomplementary to the allelic sequence immediately 3′ to the polymorphicsite is permitted to hybridize to a target molecule obtained from aparticular animal or human. If the polymorphic site on the targetmolecule contains a nucleotide that is complementary to the particularexonuclease-resistant nucleotide derivative present, then thatderivative will be incorporated onto the end of the hybridized primer.Such incorporation renders the primer resistant to exonuclease, andthereby permits its detection. Since the identity of theexonuclease-resistant derivative of the sample is known, a finding thatthe primer has become resistant to exonucleases reveals that thenucleotide present in the polymorphic site of the target molecule wascomplementary to that of the nucleotide derivative used in the reaction.This method has the advantage that it does not require the determinationof large amounts of extraneous sequence data.

In another embodiment of the invention, a solution-based method is usedfor determining the identity of the nucleotide of a polymorphic site.Cohen, D. et al. (French Patent 2,650,840; PCT Appln. No. WO91/02087).As in the Mundy method of U.S. Pat. No. 4,656,127, a primer is employedthat is complementary to allelic sequences immediately 3′ to apolymorphic site. The method determines the identity of the nucleotideof that site using labeled dideoxynucleotide derivatives, which, ifcomplementary to the nucleotide of the polymorphic site will becomeincorporated onto the terminus of the primer.

An alternative method, known as Genetic Bit Analysis or GBA™ isdescribed by Goelet, P. et al. (PCT Appln. No. 92/15712). The method ofGoelet, P. et al. uses mixtures of labeled terminators and a primer thatis complementary to the sequence 3′ to a polymorphic site. The labeledterminator that is incorporated is thus determined by, and complementaryto, the nucleotide present in the polymorphic site of the targetmolecule being evaluated. In contrast to the method of Cohen et al.(French Patent 2,650,840; PCT Appln. No. WO91/02087) the method ofGoelet, P. et al. is preferably a heterogeneous phase assay, in whichthe primer or the target molecule is immobilized to a solid phase.

Recently, several primer-guided nucleotide incorporation procedures forassaying polymorphic sites in DNA have been described (Komher, J. S. etal., Nucl. Acids. Res. 17:7779-7784 (1989); Sokolov, B. P., Nucl. AcidsRes. 18:3671 (1990); Syvanen, A.-C., et al., Genomics 8:684-692 (1990);Kuppuswamy, M. N. et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. (U.S.A.) 88:1143-1147(1991); Prezant, T. R. et al., Hum. Mutat. 1:159-164 (1992); Ugozzoli,L. et al., GATA 9:107-112 (1992); Nyren, P. et al., Anal. Biochem.208:171-175 (1993)). These methods differ from GBA™ in that they allrely on the incorporation of labeled deoxynucleotides to discriminatebetween bases at a polymorphic site. In such a format, since the signalis proportional to the number of deoxynucleotides incorporated,polymorphisms that occur in runs of the same nucleotide can result insignals that are proportional to the length of the run (Syvanen, A.-C.,et al., Amer. J. Hum. Genet. 52:46-59 (1993)).

For mutations that produce premature termination of protein translation,the protein truncation test (PTT) offers an efficient diagnosticapproach (Roest, et. al., (1993) Hum. Mol. Genet. 2:1719-21; van derLuijt, et. al., (1994) Genomics 20:1-4). For PTT, RNA is initiallyisolated from available tissue and reverse-transcribed, and the segmentof interest is amplified by PCR. The products of reverse transcriptionPCR are then used as a template for nested PCR amplification with aprimer that contains an RNA polymerase promoter and a sequence forinitiating eukaryotic translation. After amplification of the region ofinterest, the unique motifs incorporated into the primer permitsequential in vitro transcription and translation of the PCR products.Upon sodium dodecyl sulfate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis oftranslation products, the appearance of truncated polypeptides signalsthe presence of a mutation that causes premature termination oftranslation. In a variation of this technique, DNA (as opposed to RNA)is used as a PCR template when the target region of interest is derivedfrom a single exon.

Any cell type or tissue may be utilized to obtain nucleic acid samplesfor use in the diagnostics described herein. In a preferred embodiment,the DNA sample is obtained from a bodily fluid, e.g, blood, obtained byknown techniques (e.g. venipuncture) or saliva. Alternatively, nucleicacid tests can be performed on dry samples (e.g. hair or skin). Whenusing RNA or protein, the cells or tissues that may be utilized mustexpress an IL-1 gene.

Diagnostic procedures may also be performed in situ directly upon tissuesections (fixed and/or frozen) of patient tissue obtained from biopsiesor resections, such that no nucleic acid purification is necessary.Nucleic acid reagents may be used as probes and/or primers for such insitu procedures (see, for example, Nuovo, G. J., 1992, PCR in situhybridization: protocols and applications, Raven Press, NY).

In addition to methods which focus primarily on the detection of onenucleic acid sequence, profiles may also be assessed in such detectionschemes. Fingerprint profiles may be generated, for example, byutilizing a differential display procedure, Northern analysis and/orRT-PCR.

A preferred detection method is allele specific hybridization usingprobes overlapping a region of at least one allele of an IL-1proinflammatory haplotype and having about 5, 10, 20, 25, or 30nucleotides around the mutation or polymorphic region. In a preferredembodiment of the invention, several probes capable of hybridizingspecifically to other allelic variants involved in a cardiovasculardisorder are attached to a solid phase support, e.g., a “chip” (whichcan hold up to about 250,000 oligonucleotides). Oligonucleotides can bebound to a solid support by a variety of processes, includinglithography. Mutation detection analysis using these chips comprisingoligonucleotides, also termed “DNA probe arrays” is described e.g., inCronin et al. (1996) Human Mutation 7:244. In one embodiment, a chipcomprises all the allelic variants of at least one polymorphic region ofa gene. The solid phase support is then contacted with a test nucleicacid and hybridization to the specific probes is detected. Accordingly,the identity of numerous allelic variants of one or more genes can beidentified in a simple hybridization experiment.

These techniques may also comprise the step of amplifying the nucleicacid before analysis. Amplification techniques are known to those ofskill in the art and include, but are not limited to cloning, polymerasechain reaction (PCR), polymerase chain reaction of specific alleles(ASA), ligase chain reaction (LCR), nested polymerase chain reaction,self sustained sequence replication (Guatelli, J. C. et al., 1990, Proc.Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 87:1874-1878), transcriptional amplification system(Kwoh, D. Y. et al., 1989, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 86:1173-1177), andQ-Beta Replicase (Lizardi, P. M. et al., 1988, Bio/Technology 6:1197).

Amplification products may be assayed in a variety of ways, includingsize analysis, restriction digestion followed by size analysis,detecting specific tagged oligonucleotide primers in the reactionproducts, allele-specific oligonucleotide (ASO) hybridization, allelespecific 5′ exonuclease detection, sequencing, hybridization, and thelike.

PCR based detection means can include multiplex amplification of aplurality of markers simultaneously. For example, it is well known inthe art to select PCR primers to generate PCR products that do notoverlap in size and can be analyzed simultaneously. Alternatively, it ispossible to amplify different markers with primers that aredifferentially labeled and thus can each be differentially detected. Ofcourse, hybridization based detection means allow the differentialdetection of multiple PCR products in a sample. Other techniques areknown in the art to allow multiplex analyses of a plurality of markers.

In a merely illustrative embodiment, the method includes the steps of(i) collecting a sample of cells from a patient, (ii) isolating nucleicacid (e.g., genomic, mRNA or both) from the cells of the sample, (iii)contacting the nucleic acid sample with one or more primers whichspecifically hybridize 5′ and 3′ to at least one allele of an IL-1proinflammatory haplotype under conditions such that hybridization andamplification of the allele occurs, and (iv) detecting the amplificationproduct. These detection schemes are especially useful for the detectionof nucleic acid molecules if such molecules are present in very lownumbers.

In a preferred embodiment of the subject assay, the allele of an IL-1proinflammatory haplotype is identified by alterations in restrictionenzyme cleavage patterns. For example, sample and control DNA isisolated, amplified (optionally), digested with one or more restrictionendonucleases, and fragment length sizes are determined by gelelectrophoresis.

In yet another embodiment, any of a variety of sequencing reactionsknown in the art can be used to directly sequence the allele. Exemplarysequencing reactions include those based on techniques developed byMaxim and Gilbert ((1977) Proc. Natl. Acad Sci USA 74:560) or Sanger(Sanger et al (1977) Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA 74:5463). It is alsocontemplated that any of a variety of automated sequencing proceduresmay be utilized when performing the subject assays (see, for exampleBiotechniques (1995) 19:448), including sequencing by mass spectrometry(see, for example PCT publication WO 94/16101; Cohen et al. (1996) AdvChromatogr 36:127-162; and Griffin et al. (1993) Appl Biochem Biotechnol38:147-159). It will be evident to one of skill in the art that, forcertain embodiments, the occurrence of only one, two or three of thenucleic acid bases need be determined in the sequencing reaction. Forinstance, A-track or the like, e.g., where only one nucleic acid isdetected, can be carried out.

In a further embodiment, protection from cleavage agents (such as anuclease, hydroxylamine or osmium tetroxide and with piperidine) can beused to detect mismatched bases in RNA/RNA or RNA/DNA or DNA/DNAheteroduplexes (Myers, et al. (1985) Science 230:1242). In general, theart technique of “mismatch cleavage” starts by providing heteroduplexesformed by hybridizing (labeled) RNA or DNA containing the wild-typeallele with the sample. The double-stranded duplexes are treated with anagent which cleaves single-stranded regions of the duplex such as whichwill exist due to base pair mismatches between the control and samplestrands. For instance, RNA/DNA duplexes can be treated with RNase andDNA/DNA hybrids treated with S1 nuclease to enzymatically digest themismatched regions. In other embodiments, either DNA/DNA or RNA/DNAduplexes can be treated with hydroxylamine or osmium tetroxide and withpiperidine in order to digest mismatched regions. After digestion of themismatched regions, the resulting material is then separated by size ondenaturing polyacrylamide gels to determine the site of mutation. See,for example, Cotton et al (1988) Proc. Natl. Acad Sci USA 85:4397; andSaleeba et al (1992) Methods Enzymol. 217:286-295. In a preferredembodiment, the control DNA or RNA can be labeled for detection.

In still another embodiment, the mismatch cleavage reaction employs oneor more proteins that recognize mismatched base pairs in double-strandedDNA (so called “DNA mismatch repair” enzymes). For example, the mutYenzyme of E. coli cleaves A at G/A mismatches and the thymidine DNAglycosylase from HeLa cells cleaves T at G/T mismatches (Hsu et al.(1994) Carcinogenesis 15:1657-1662). According to an exemplaryembodiment, a probe based on an allele of an IL-1 locus haplotype ishybridized to a cDNA or other DNA product from a test cell(s). Theduplex is treated with a DNA mismatch repair enzyme, and the cleavageproducts, if any, can be detected from electrophoresis protocols or thelike. See, for example, U.S. Pat. No. 5,459,039.

In other embodiments, alterations in electrophoretic mobility will beused to identify an IL-1 locus allele. For example, single strandconformation polymorphism (SSCP) may be used to detect differences inelectrophoretic mobility between mutant and wild type nucleic acids(Orita et al. (1989) Proc Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 86:2766, see also Cotton(1993) Mutat Res 285:125-144; and Hayashi (1992) Genet Anal Tech Appl9:73-79). Single-stranded DNA fragments of sample and control IL-1 locusalleles are denatured and allowed to renature. The secondary structureof single-stranded nucleic acids varies according to sequence, theresulting alteration in electrophoretic mobility enables the detectionof even a single base change. The DNA fragments may be labeled ordetected with labeled probes. The sensitivity of the assay may beenhanced by using RNA (rather than DNA), in which the secondarystructure is more sensitive to a change in sequence. In a preferredembodiment, the subject method utilizes heteroduplex analysis toseparate double stranded heteroduplex molecules on the basis of changesin electrophoretic mobility (Keen et al. (1991) Trends Genet 7:5).

In yet another embodiment, the movement of alleles in polyacrylamidegels containing a gradient of denaturant is assayed using denaturinggradient gel electrophoresis (DGGE) (Myers et al. (1985) Nature313:495). When DGGE is used as the method of analysis, DNA will bemodified to insure that it does not completely denature, for example byadding a GC clamp of approximately 40 bp of high-melting GC-rich DNA byPCR. In a further embodiment, a temperature gradient is used in place ofa denaturing agent gradient to identify differences in the mobility ofcontrol and sample DNA (Rosenbaum and Reissner (1987) Biophys Chem265:12753).

Examples of other techniques for detecting alleles include, but are notlimited to, selective oligonucleotide hybridization, selectiveamplification, or selective primer extension. For example,oligonucleotide primers may be prepared in which the known mutation ornucleotide difference (e.g., in allelic variants) is placed centrallyand then hybridized to target DNA under conditions which permithybridization only if a perfect match is found (Saiki et al. (1986)Nature 324:163); Saiki et al (1989) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 86:6230).Such allele specific oligonucleotide hybridization techniques may beused to test one mutation or polymorphic region per reaction whenoligonucleotides are hybridized to PCR amplified target DNA or a numberof different mutations or polymorphic regions when the oligonucleotidesare attached to the hybridizing membrane and hybridized with labelledtarget DNA.

Alternatively, allele specific amplification technology which depends onselective PCR amplification may be used in conjunction with the instantinvention. Oligonucleotides used as primers for specific amplificationmay carry the mutation or polymorphic region of interest in the centerof the molecule (so that amplification depends on differentialhybridization) (Gibbs et al (1989) Nucleic Acids Res. 17:2437-2448) orat the extreme 3′ end of one primer where, under appropriate conditions,mismatch can prevent, or reduce polymerase extension (Prossner (1993)Tibtech 11:238. In addition it may be desirable to introduce a novelrestriction site in the region of the mutation to create cleavage-baseddetection (Gasparini et al (1992) Mol. Cell. Probes 6:1). It isanticipated that in certain embodiments amplification may also beperformed using Taq ligase for amplification (Barany (1991) Proc. Natl.Acad. Sci. USA 88:189). In such cases, ligation will occur only if thereis a perfect match at the 3′ end of the 5′ sequence making it possibleto detect the presence of a known mutation at a specific site by lookingfor the presence or absence of amplification.

In another embodiment, identification of the allelic variant is carriedout using an oligonucleotide ligation assay (OLA), as described, e.g.,in U.S. Pat. No. 4,998,617 and in Landegren, U. et al. ((1988) Science241:1077-1080). The OLA protocol uses two oligonucleotides which aredesigned to be capable of hybridizing to abutting sequences of a singlestrand of a target. One of the oligonucleotides is linked to aseparation marker, e.g., biotinylated, and the other is detectablylabeled. If the precise complementary sequence is found in a targetmolecule, the oligonucleotides will hybridize such that their terminiabut, and create a ligation substrate. Ligation then permits the labeledoligonucleotide to be recovered using avidin, or another biotin ligand.Nickerson, D. A. et al. have described a nucleic acid detection assaythat combines attributes of PCR and OLA (Nickerson, D. A. et al. (1990)Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 87:8923-27). In this method, PCR is used toachieve the exponential amplification of target DNA, which is thendetected using OLA.

Several techniques based on this OLA method have been developed and canbe used to detect alleles of an IL-1 locus haplotype. For example, U.S.Pat. No. 5,593,826 discloses an OLA using an oligonucleotide having3′-amino group and a 5′-phosphorylated oligonucleotide to form aconjugate having a phosphoramidate linkage. In another variation of OLAdescribed in To be et al. ((1996) Nucleic Acids Res 24: 3728), OLAcombined with PCR permits typing of two alleles in a single microtiterwell. By marking each of the allele-specific primers with a uniquehapten, i.e. digoxigenin and fluorescein, each OLA reaction can bedetected by using hapten specific antibodies that are labeled withdifferent enzyme reporters, alkaline phosphatase or horseradishperoxidase. This system permits the detection of the two alleles using ahigh throughput format that leads to the production of two differentcolors.

Another embodiment of the invention is directed to kits for detecting apredisposition for developing a cardiovascular disorder, either due tothe occlusion of an artery or due to the formation of fragile plaque, ordue to the formation of restenosis. This kit may contain one or moreoligonucleotides, including 5′ and 3′ oligonucleotides that hybridize 5′and 3′ to at least one allele of an IL-1 locus haplotype. PCRamplification oligonucleotides should hybridize between 25 and 2500 basepairs apart, preferably between about 100 and about 500 bases apart, inorder to produce a PCR product of convenient size for subsequentanalysis.

Particularly preferred primers for use in the diagnostic method of theinvention include SEQ ID Nos. 1-10.

The design of additional oligonucleotides for use in the amplificationand detection of IL-1 polymorphic alleles by the method of the inventionis facilitated by the availability of both updated sequence informationfrom human chromosome 2q13—which contains the human IL-1 locus, andupdated human polymorphism information available for this locus.Suitable primers for the detection of a human polymorphism in thesegenes can be readily designed using this sequence information andstandard techniques known in the art for the design and optimization ofprimers sequences. Optimal design of such primer sequences can beachieved, for example, by the use of commercially available primerselection programs such as Primer 2.1, Primer 3 or GeneFisher (See also,Nicklin M. H. J., Weith A. Duff G. W., “A Physical Map of the RegionEncompassing the Human Interleukin-1α, interleukin-1β, and Interleukin-1Receptor Antagonist Genes” Genomics 19: 382 (1995); Nothwang H. G., etal. “Molecular Cloning of the Interleukin-1 gene Cluster: Constructionof an Integrated YAC/PAC Contig and a partial transcriptional Map in theRegion of Chromosome 2q13” Genomics 41: 370 (1997); Clark, et al. (1986)Nucl. Acids. Res., 14:7897-7914 [published erratum appears in NucleicAcids Res., 15:868 (1987) and the Genome Database (GDB) project at theURL http://www.gdb.org).

For use in a kit, oligonucleotides may be any of a variety of naturaland/or synthetic compositions such as synthetic oligonucleotides,restriction fragments, cDNAs, synthetic peptide nucleic acids (PNAs),and the like. The assay kit and method may also employ labeledoligonucleotides to allow ease of identification in the assays. Examplesof labels which may be employed include radio-labels, enzymes,fluorescent compounds, streptavidin, avidin, biotin, magnetic moieties,metal binding moieties, antigen or antibody moieties, and the like.

The kit may, optionally, also include DNA sampling means. DNA samplingmeans are well known to one of skill in the art and can include, but notbe limited to substrates, such as filter papers, the AmpliCard™(University of Sheffield, Sheffield, England S10 2JF; Tarlow, J W, etal., J. of Invest. Dermatol. 103:387-389 (1994)) and the like; DNApurification reagents such as Nucleon™ kits, lysis buffers, proteinasesolutions and the like; PCR reagents, such as 10× reaction buffers,thermostable polymerase, dNTPs, and the like; and allele detection meanssuch as the HinfI restriction enzyme, allele specific oligonucleotides,degenerate oligonucleotide primers for nested PCR from dried blood.

4.3.3. Pharmacogenomics

Knowledge of the particular alleles associated with a susceptibility todeveloping a cardiovascular disorder, alone or in conjunction withinformation on other genetic defects contributing to a cardiovasculardisorder allows a customization of the prevention or treatment inaccordance with the individual's genetic profile, the goal of“pharmacogenomics”.

One approach to the prevention and treatment of a cardiovascular diseaserelates to the identification of risk factors for the particulardisease.

For example, subjects having an allele 2 of any of the followingmarkers: IL-1A +4845 or IL-1B (+3954), or allele 1 of the followingmarkers: IL-1B (−511) or IL-1RN (+2018) or any nucleic acid sequence inlinkage disequilibrium with any of these alleles may have or bepredisposed to developing a cardiovascular disorder characterized by theformation of fragile plaque, may be predisposed to an increased risk ofmyocardial infarction, stroke, acute peripheral vascular blockage, andaneurysm formation in the mid-size to large arteries. These patients arealso predisposed to developing severe adult periodontitis.

Another approach to the treatment of cardiovascular diseases relates tointerfering with the progression of the underlying disorder,ameliorating the symptoms and signs of the disease, or protecting atarget tissue so that the presence of a cardiovascular disorderaffecting the circulation of the tissue does not result in thedevelopment of clinical symptoms and signs related to that targettissue.

As an example, certain drugs have a stabilizing effect onatherosclerotic plaques or other beneficial effects on the sequelae offragile plaque disease. As examples, β-adrenergic receptor blockersreduce recurrence of myocardial infarction, angiotensin-convertingenzyme inhibitors reduce the incidence of myocardial infarction, certainantibiotics and antioxidants also have been shown to be effective instabilizing plaques. Drugs that have the capability of lowering lipids,such as 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase inhibitors(statins) are also important. Based on the disclosure of the pattern 1IL-1 genotype disclosed herein, these patients may respond better totherapeutics which are aimed at plaque stabilization rather thanrevascularization or other invasive techniques.

At the cellular level, lowering of serum cholesterol leads to a decreasein inflammatory cells within the artherosclerotic plaques. At themolecular level, lipid lowering has been shown to decreasemetalloproteinase activity in these plaques.

In one embodiment techniques such as gene therapy may be used tostabilize vulnerable plaque, for example, this could includeover-expression of tissue inhibitors of matrix metalloproteinases andanti-sense methods to block proinflammatory molecules.

On the other hand, subjects having an allele 1 of any of the followingmarkers: IL-1A +4845 or IL-1B (+3954), or allele 2 of the followingmarkers: IL-1B (−511) or IL-1RN (+2018) may respond better to particularmethods such as revascularization, or those methods that alter theprogression of intimal-medial arterial thickening.

Yet another approach to the management of cardiovascular disorders anddiseases comprises the management of conditions increasing risk forcardiovascular disorders.

Factors associated with the progression of atherosclerosis includeDiabetes Mellitus, high blood pressure, Hypercholesterolemia, Highlipoprotein-a, Obesity, and Smoking. Of these, the factors amenable topharmacological intervention include: i) diabetes, ii) hypertension, andiii) dyslipidemias. Examples of lipid lowering drugs include: Anionexchange resins such as cholestyramine, colestipol; HMG CoA reductaseinhibitors or (statins) such as simvastatin, pracastatin, cerivastatin,fluvastatin, atorvastatin, lovastatin; Fibrates such as fenofibrate,bezafibrate, gemfibrozil, clofibrate, ciprofibrate; Nicotinic acid andanalogues: acipimox, nicofuranose; Probucol which increases non-receptormediated LDL clearance and decreases LDL oxidation; Fish oils such asmaxepa, Omacor; and Cholesterol absorption inhibitors such aspamaqueside, tiqueside.

Accordingly, therapeutics that address the particular molecular basis ofthe disease in the subject may be developed based upon such genotypeanalysis. Thus, comparison of an individual's IL-1 profile to thepopulation profile for a cardiovascular disorder, permits the selectionor design of drugs or other therapeutic regimens that are expected to besafe and efficacious for a particular patient or patient population(i.e., a group of patients having the same genetic alteration).

In addition, the ability to target populations expected to show thehighest clinical benefit, based on genetic profile can enable: 1) therepositioning of drugs already marketed for prevention or treatment ofcardiovascular disorder; 2) the rescue of drug candidates whose clinicaldevelopment has been discontinued as a result of safety or efficacylimitations, which are patient subgroup-specific; and 3) an acceleratedand less costly development for candidate therapeutics and more optimaldrug labeling (e.g. since measuring the effect of various doses of anagent on a vascular disorder causative mutation is useful for optimizingeffective dose).

The treatment of an individual with a particular therapeutic can bemonitored by determining protein (e.g. IL-1α, IL-1β, or IL-1Ra), mRNAand/or transcriptional level. Depending on the level detected, thetherapeutic regimen can then be maintained or adjusted (increased ordecreased in dose). In a preferred embodiment, the effectiveness oftreating a subject with an agent comprises the steps of: (i) obtaining apreadministration sample from a subject prior to administration of theagent; (ii) detecting the level or amount of a protein, mRNA or genomicDNA in the preadministration sample; (iii) obtaining one or morepost-administration samples from the subject; (iv) detecting the levelof expression or activity of the protein, mRNA or genomic DNA in thepost-administration sample; (v) comparing the level of expression oractivity of the protein, mRNA or genomic DNA in the preadministrationsample with the corresponding protein, mRNA or genomic DNA in thepostadministration sample, respectively; and (vi) altering theadministration of the agent to the subject accordingly.

Cells of a subject may also be obtained before and after administrationof a therapeutic to detect the level of expression of genes other thanan IL-1 gene to verify that the therapeutic does not increase ordecrease the expression of genes which could be deleterious. This can bedone, e.g., by using the method of transcriptional profiling. Thus, mRNAfrom cells exposed in vivo to a therapeutic and mRNA from the same typeof cells that were not exposed to the therapeutic could be reversetranscribed and hybridized to a chip containing DNA from numerous genes,to thereby compare the expression of genes in cells treated and nottreated with the therapeutic.

4.4 Therapeutics for Cardiovascular Disorders and Diseases

Modulators of IL-1 (e.g. IL-1α, IL-1β or IL-1 receptor antagonist) or aprotein encoded by a gene that is in linkage disequilibrium with an IL-1gene can comprise any type of compound, including a protein, peptide,peptidomimetic, small molecule, or nucleic acid. Preferred agonistsinclude nucleic acids (e.g. encoding an IL-1 protein or a gene that isup- or down-regulated by an IL-1 protein), proteins (e.g. IL-1 proteinsor a protein that is up- or down-regulated thereby) or a small molecule(e.g. that regulates expression or binding of an IL-1 protein).Preferred antagonists, which can be identified, for example, using theassays described herein, include nucleic acids (e.g. single (antisense)or double stranded (triplex) DNA or PNA and ribozymes), protein (e.g.antibodies) and small molecules that act to suppress or inhibit IL-1transcription and/or protein activity.

4.4.1. Effective Dose

Toxicity and therapeutic efficacy of such compounds can be determined bystandard pharmaceutical procedures in cell cultures or experimentalanimals, e.g., for determining The LD 50 (the dose lethal to 50% of thepopulation) and the Ed₅₀ (the dose therapeutically effective in 50% ofthe population). The dose ratio between toxic and therapeutic effects isthe therapeutic index and it can be expressed as the ratio LD₅₀/ED₅₀.Compounds which exhibit large therapeutic indices are preferred. Whilecompounds that exhibit toxic side effects may be used, care should betaken to design a delivery system that targets such compounds to thesite of affected tissues in order to minimize potential damage touninfected cells and, thereby, reduce side effects.

The data obtained from the cell culture assays and animal studies can beused in formulating a range of dosage for use in humans. The dosage ofsuch compounds lies preferably within a range of circulatingconcentrations that include the ED₅₀ with little or no toxicity. Thedosage may vary within this range depending upon the dosage formemployed and the route of administration utilized. For any compound usedin the method of the invention, the therapeutically effective dose canbe estimated initially from cell culture assays. A dose may beformulated in animal models to achieve a circulating plasmaconcentration range that includes the IC₅₀ (i.e., the concentration ofthe test compound which achieves a half-maximal inhibition of symptoms)as determined in cell culture. Such information can be used to moreaccurately determine useful doses in humans. Levels in plasma may bemeasured, for example, by high performance liquid chromatography.

4.4.2. Formulation and Use

Compositions for use in accordance with the present invention may beformulated in a conventional manner using one or more physiologicallyacceptable carriers or excipients. Thus, the compounds and theirphysiologically acceptable salts and solvates may be formulated foradministration by, for example, injection, inhalation or insufflation(either through the mouth or the nose) or oral, buccal, parenteral orrectal administration.

For such therapy, the compounds of the invention can be formulated for avariety of loads of administration, including systemic and topical orlocalized administration. Techniques and formulations generally may befound in Remmington's Pharmaceutical Sciences, Meade Publishing Co.,Easton, Pa. For systemic administration, injection is preferred,including intramuscular, intravenous, intraperitoneal, and subcutaneous.For injection, the compounds of the invention can be formulated inliquid solutions, preferably in physiologically compatible buffers suchas Hank's solution or Ringer's solution. In addition, the compounds maybe formulated in solid form and redissolved or suspended immediatelyprior to use. Lyophilized forms are also included.

For oral administration, the compositions may take the form of, forexample, tablets or capsules prepared by conventional means withpharmaceutically acceptable excipients such as binding agents (e.g.,pregelatinised maize starch, polyvinylpyrrolidone or hydroxypropylmethylcellulose); fillers (e.g., lactose, microcrystalline cellulose orcalcium hydrogen phosphate); lubricants (e.g., magnesium stearate, talcor silica); disintegrants (e.g., potato starch or sodium starchglycolate); or wetting agents (e.g., sodium lauryl sulfate). The tabletsmay be coated by methods well known in the art. Liquid preparations fororal administration may take the form of, for example, solutions, syrupsor suspensions, or they may be presented as a dry product forconstitution with water or other suitable vehicle before use. Suchliquid preparations may be prepared by conventional means withpharmaceutically acceptable additives such as suspending agents (e.g.,sorbitol syrup, cellulose derivatives or hydrogenated edible fats);emulsifying agents (e.g., lecithin or acacia); non-aqueous vehicles(e.g., ationd oil, oily esters, ethyl alcohol or fractionated vegetableoils); and preservatives (e.g., methyl or propyl-p-hydroxybenzoates orsorbic acid). The preparations may also contain buffer salts, flavoring,coloring and sweetening agents as appropriate.

Preparations for oral administration may be suitably formulated to givecontrolled release of the active compound. For buccal administration thecompositions may take the form of tablets or lozenges formulated inconventional manner. For administration by inhalation, the compounds foruse according to the present invention are conveniently delivered in theform of an aerosol spray presentation from pressurized packs or anebuliser, with the use of a suitable propellant, e.g.,dichlorodifluoromethane, trichlorofluoromethane,dichlorotetrafluoroethane, carbon dioxide or other suitable gas. In thecase of a pressurized aerosol the dosage unit may be determined byproviding a valve to deliver a metered amount. Capsules and cartridgesof e.g., gelatin for use in an inhaler or insufflator may be formulatedcontaining a powder mix of the compound and a suitable powder base suchas lactose or starch.

The compounds may be formulated for parenteral administration byinjection, e.g., by bolus injection or continuous infusion. Formulationsfor injection may be presented in unit dosage form, e.g., in ampoules orin multi-dose containers, with an added preservative. The compositionsmay take such forms as suspensions, solutions or emulsions in oily oraqueous vehicles, and may contain formulating agents such as suspending,stabilizing and/or dispersing agents. Alternatively, the activeingredient may be in powder form for constitution with a suitablevehicle, e.g., sterile pyrogen-free water, before use.

The compounds may also be formulated in rectal compositions such assuppositories or retention enemas, e.g., containing conventionalsuppository bases such as cocoa butter or other glycerides.

In addition to the formulations described previously, the compounds mayalso be formulated as a depot preparation. Such long acting formulationsmay be administered by implantation (for example subcutaneously orintramuscularly) or by intramuscular injection. Thus, for example, thecompounds may be formulated with suitable polymeric or hydrophobicmaterials (for example as an emulsion in an acceptable oil) or ionexchange resins, or as sparingly soluble derivatives, for example, as asparingly soluble salt. Other suitable delivery systems includemicrospheres which offer the possibility of local noninvasive deliveryof drugs over an extended period of time. This technology utilizesmicrospheres of precapillary size which can be injected via a coronarycatheter into any selected part of the e.g. heart or other organswithout causing inflammation or ischemia. The administered therapeuticis slowly released from these microspheres and taken up by surroundingtissue cells (e.g. endothelial cells).

Systemic administration can also be by transmucosal or transdermalmeans. For transmucosal or transdermal administration, penetrantsappropriate to the barrier to be permeated are used in the formulation.Such penetrants are generally known in the art, and include, forexample, for transmucosal administration bile salts and fusidic acidderivatives. In addition, detergents may be used to facilitatepermeation. Transmucosal administration may be through nasal sprays orusing suppositories. For topical administration, the oligomers of theinvention are formulated into ointments, salves, gels, or creams asgenerally known in the art. A wash solution can be used locally to treatan injury or inflammation to accelerate healing.

The compositions may, if desired, be presented in a pack or dispenserdevice which may contain one or more unit dosage forms containing theactive ingredient. The pack may for example comprise metal or plasticfoil, such as a blister pack. The pack or dispenser device may beaccompanied by instructions for administration.

4.5 Assays to Identify Therapeutics for Cardiovascular Disorders andDiseases

Based on the identification of mutations that cause or contribute to thedevelopment of a vascular disorder, the invention further featurescell-based or cell free assays, e.g., for identifying vascular disordertherapeutics. In one embodiment, a cell expressing an IL-1 receptor, ora receptor for a protein that is encoded by a gene which is in linkagedisequilibrium with an IL-1 gene, on the outer surface of its cellularmembrane is incubated in the presence of a test compound alone or in thepresence of a test compound and another protein and the interactionbetween the test compound and the receptor or between the protein(preferably a tagged protein) and the receptor is detected, e.g., byusing a microphysiometer (McConnell et al. (1992) Science 257:1906). Aninteraction between the receptor and either the test compound or theprotein is detected by the microphysiometer as a change in theacidification of the medium. This assay system thus provides a means ofidentifying molecular antagonists which, for example, function byinterfering with protein-receptor interactions, as well as molecularagonist which, for example, function by activating a receptor.

Cellular or cell-free assays can also be used to identify compoundswhich modulate expression of an IL-1 gene or a gene in linkagedisequilibrium therewith, modulate translation of an mRNA, or whichmodulate the stability of an mRNA or protein. Accordingly, in oneembodiment, a cell which is capable of producing an IL-1, or otherprotein is incubated with a test compound and the amount of proteinproduced in the cell medium is measured and compared to that producedfrom a cell which has not been contacted with the test compound. Thespecificity of the compound vis a vis the protein can be confirmed byvarious control analysis, e.g., measuring the expression of one or morecontrol genes. In particular, this assay can be used to determine theefficacy of antisense, ribozyme and triplex compounds.

Cell-free assays can also be used to identify compounds which arecapable of interacting with a protein, to thereby modify the activity ofthe protein. Such a compound can, e.g., modify the structure of aprotein thereby effecting its ability to bind to a receptor. In apreferred embodiment, cell-free assays for identifying such compoundsconsist essentially in a reaction mixture containing a protein and atest compound or a library of test compounds in the presence or absenceof a binding partner. A test compound can be, e.g., a derivative of abinding partner, e.g., a biologically inactive target peptide, or asmall molecule.

Accordingly, one exemplary screening assay of the present inventionincludes the steps of contacting a protein or functional fragmentthereof with a test compound or library of test compounds and detectingthe formation of complexes. For detection purposes, the molecule can belabeled with a specific marker and the test compound or library of testcompounds labeled with a different marker. Interaction of a testcompound with a protein or fragment thereof can then be detected bydetermining the level of the two labels after an incubation step and awashing step. The presence of two labels after the washing step isindicative of an interaction.

An interaction between molecules can also be identified by usingreal-time BIA (Biomolecular Interaction Analysis, Pharmacia BiosensorAB) which detects surface plasmon resonance (SPR), an opticalphenomenon. Detection depends on changes in the mass concentration ofmacromolecules at the biospecific interface, and does not require anylabeling of interactants. In one embodiment, a library of test compoundscan be immobilized on a sensor surface, e.g., which forms one wall of amicro-flow cell. A solution containing the protein or functionalfragment thereof is then flown continuously over the sensor surface. Achange in the resonance angle as shown on a signal recording, indicatesthat an interaction has occurred. This technique is further described,e.g., in BIAtechnology Handbook by Pharmacia.

Another exemplary screening assay of the present invention includes thesteps of (a) forming a reaction mixture including: (i) an IL-1 or otherprotein, (ii) an appropriate receptor, and (iii) a test compound; and(b) detecting interaction of the protein and receptor. A statisticallysignificant change (potentiation or inhibition) in the interaction ofthe protein and receptor in the presence of the test compound, relativeto the interaction in the absence of the test compound, indicates apotential antagonist (inhibitor). The compounds of this assay can becontacted simultaneously. Alternatively, a protein can first becontacted with a test compound for an appropriate amount of time,following which the receptor is added to the reaction mixture. Theefficacy of the compound can be assessed by generating dose responsecurves from data obtained using various concentrations of the testcompound. Moreover, a control assay can also be performed to provide abaseline for comparison.

Complex formation between a protein and receptor may be detected by avariety of techniques. Modulation of the formation of complexes can bequantitated using, for example, detectably labeled proteins such asradiolabeled, fluorescently labeled, or enzymatically labeled proteinsor receptors, by immunoassay, or by chromatographic detection.

Typically, it will be desirable to immobilize either the protein or thereceptor to facilitate separation of complexes from uncomplexed forms ofone or both of the proteins, as well as to accommodate automation of theassay. Binding of protein and receptor can be accomplished in any vesselsuitable for containing the reactants. Examples include microtitreplates, test tubes, and micro-centrifuge tubes. In one embodiment, afusion protein can be provided which adds a domain that allows theprotein to be bound to a matrix. For example, glutathione-S-transferasefusion proteins can be adsorbed onto glutathione sepharose beads (SigmaChemical, St. Louis, Mo.) or glutathione derivatized microtitre plates,which are then combined with the receptor, e.g. an ³⁵S-labeled receptor,and the test compound, and the mixture incubated under conditionsconducive to complex formation, e.g. at physiological conditions forsalt and pH, though slightly more stringent conditions may be desired.Following incubation, the beads are washed to remove any unbound label,and the matrix immobilized and radiolabel determined directly (e.g.beads placed in scintillant), or in the supernatant after the complexesare subsequently dissociated. Alternatively, the complexes can bedissociated from the matrix, separated by SDS-PAGE, and the level ofprotein or receptor found in the bead fraction quantitated from the gelusing standard electrophoretic techniques such as described in theappended examples. Other techniques for immobilizing proteins onmatrices are also available for use in the subject assay. For instance,either protein or receptor can be immobilized utilizing conjugation ofbiotin and streptavidin. Transgenic animals can also be made to identifyagonists and antagonists or to confirm the safety and efficacy of acandidate therapeutic. Transgenic animals of the invention can includenon-human animals containing a cardiovascular disorder causativemutation under the control of an appropriate endogenous promoter orunder the control of a heterologous promoter.

The transgenic animals can also be animals containing a transgene, suchas reporter gene, under the control of an appropriate promoter orfragment thereof. These animals are useful, e.g., for identifying drugsthat modulate production of an IL-1 protein, such as by modulating geneexpression. Methods for obtaining transgenic non-human animals are wellknown in the art. In preferred embodiments, the expression of thecardiovascular disorder causative mutation is restricted to specificsubsets of cells, tissues or developmental stages utilizing, forexample, cis-acting sequences that control expression in the desiredpattern. In the present invention, such mosaic expression of a proteincan be essential for many forms of lineage analysis and can additionallyprovide a means to assess the effects of, for example, expression levelwhich might grossly alter development in small patches of tissue withinan otherwise normal embryo. Toward this end, tissue-specific regulatorysequences and conditional regulatory sequences can be used to controlexpression of the mutation in certain spatial patterns. Moreover,temporal patterns of expression can be provided by, for example,conditional recombination systems or prokaryotic transcriptionalregulatory sequences. Genetic techniques, which allow for the expressionof a mutation can be regulated via site-specific genetic manipulation invivo, are known to those skilled in the art.

The transgenic animals of the present invention all include within aplurality of their cells a cardiovascular disorder causative mutationtransgene of the present invention, which transgene alters the phenotypeof the “host cell”. In an illustrative embodiment, either the crelloxPrecombinase system of bacteriophage P1 (Lakso et al. (1992) PNAS89:6232-6236; Orban et al. (1992) PNAS 89:6861-6865) or the FLPrecombinase system of Saccharomyces cerevisiae (O'Gorman et al. (1991)Science 251:1351-1355; PCT publication WO 92/15694) can be used togenerate in vivo site-specific genetic recombination systems. Crerecombinase catalyzes the site-specific recombination of an interveningtarget sequence located between loxP sequences. loxP sequences are 34base pair nucleotide repeat sequences to which the Cre recombinase bindsand are required for Cre recombinase mediated genetic recombination. Theorientation of loxP sequences determines whether the intervening targetsequence is excised or inverted when Cre recombinase is present(Abremski et al. (1984) J. Biol. Chem. 259:1509-1514); catalyzing theexcision of the target sequence when the loxP sequences are oriented asdirect repeats and catalyzes inversion of the target sequence when loxPsequences are oriented as inverted repeats.

Accordingly, genetic recombination of the target sequence is dependenton expression of the Cre recombinase. Expression of the recombinase canbe regulated by promoter elements which are subject to regulatorycontrol, e.g., tissue-specific, developmental stage-specific, inducibleor repressible by externally added agents. This regulated control willresult in genetic recombination of the target sequence only in cellswhere recombinase expression is mediated by the promoter element. Thus,the activation of expression of the causative mutation transgene can beregulated via control of recombinase expression.

Use of the crelloxP recombinase system to regulate expression of acausative mutation transgene requires the construction of a transgenicanimal containing transgenes encoding both the Cre recombinase and thesubject protein. Animals containing both the Cre recombinase and thecardio-vascular disorder causative mutation transgene can be providedthrough the construction of “double” transgenic animals. A convenientmethod for providing such animals is to mate two transgenic animals eachcontaining a transgene.

Similar conditional transgenes can be provided using prokaryoticpromoter sequences which require prokaryotic proteins to be simultaneousexpressed in order to facilitate expression of the transgene. Exemplarypromoters and the corresponding trans-activating prokaryotic proteinsare given in U.S. Pat. No. 4,833,080.

Moreover, expression of the conditional transgenes can be induced bygene therapy-like methods wherein a gene encoding the transactivatingprotein, e.g. a recombinase or a prokaryotic protein, is delivered tothe tissue and caused to be expressed, such as in a cell-type specificmanner. By this method, the transgene could remain silent into adulthooduntil “turned on” by the introduction of the transactivator.

In an exemplary embodiment, the “transgenic non-human animals” of theinvention are produced by introducing transgenes into the germline ofthe non-human animal. Embryonal target cells at various developmentalstages can be used to introduce transgenes. Different methods are useddepending on the stage of development of the embryonal target cell. Thespecific line(s) of any animal used to practice this invention areselected for general good health, good embryo yields, good pronuclearvisibility in the embryo, and good reproductive fitness. In addition,the haplotype is a significant factor. For example, when transgenic miceare to be produced, strains such as C57BL/6 or FVB lines are often used(Jackson Laboratory, Bar Harbor, Me.). Preferred strains are those withH-2^(b), H-2^(d) or H-2^(q) haplotypes such as C57BL/6 or DBA/1. Theline(s) used to practice this invention may themselves be transgenics,and/or may be knockouts (i.e., obtained from animals which have one ormore genes partially or completely suppressed).

In one embodiment, the transgene construct is introduced into a singlestage embryo. The zygote is the best target for microinjection. In themouse, the male pronucleus reaches the size of approximately 20micrometers in diameter which allows reproducible injection of 1-2 pl ofDNA solution. The use of zygotes as a target for gene transfer has amajor advantage in that in most cases the injected DNA will beincorporated into the host gene before the first cleavage (Brinster etal. (1985) PNAS 82:4438-4442). As a consequence, all cells of thetransgenic animal will carry the incorporated transgene. This will ingeneral also be reflected in the efficient transmission of the transgeneto offspring of the founder since 50% of the germ cells will harbor thetransgene.

Normally, fertilized embryos are incubated in suitable media until thepronuclei appear. At about this time, the nucleotide sequence comprisingthe transgene is introduced into the female or male pronucleus asdescribed below. In some species such as mice, the male pronucleus ispreferred. It is most preferred that the exogenous genetic material beadded to the male DNA complement of the zygote prior to its beingprocessed by the ovum nucleus or the zygote female pronucleus. It isthought that the ovum nucleus or female pronucleus release moleculeswhich affect the male DNA complement, perhaps by replacing theprotamines of the male DNA with histones, thereby facilitating thecombination of the female and male DNA complements to form the diploidzygote. Thus, it is preferred that the exogenous genetic material beadded to the male complement of DNA or any other complement of DNA priorto its being affected by the female pronucleus. For example, theexogenous genetic material is added to the early male pronucleus, assoon as possible after the formation of the male pronucleus, which iswhen the male and female pronuclei are well separated and both arelocated close to the cell membrane. Alternatively, the exogenous geneticmaterial could be added to the nucleus of the sperm after it has beeninduced to undergo decondensation. Sperm containing the exogenousgenetic material can then be added to the ovum or the decondensed spermcould be added to the ovum with the transgene constructs being added assoon as possible thereafter.

Introduction of the transgene nucleotide sequence into the embryo may beaccomplished by any means known in the art such as, for example,microinjection, electroporation, or lipofection. Following introductionof the transgene nucleotide sequence into the embryo, the embryo may beincubated in vitro for varying amounts of time, or reimplanted into thesurrogate host, or both. In vitro incubation to maturity is within thescope of this invention. One common method in to incubate the embryos invitro for about 1-7 days, depending on the species, and then reimplantthem into the surrogate host.

For the purposes of this invention a zygote is essentially the formationof a diploid cell which is capable of developing into a completeorganism. Generally, the zygote will be comprised of an egg containing anucleus formed, either naturally or artificially, by the fusion of twohaploid nuclei from a gamete or gametes. Thus, the gamete nuclei must beones which are naturally compatible, i.e., ones which result in a viablezygote capable of undergoing differentiation and developing into afunctioning organism. Generally, a euploid zygote is preferred. If ananeuploid zygote is obtained, then the number of chromosomes should notvary by more than one with respect to the euploid number of the organismfrom which either gamete originated.

In addition to similar biological considerations, physical ones alsogovern the amount (e.g., volume) of exogenous genetic material which canbe added to the nucleus of the zygote or to the genetic material whichforms a part of the zygote nucleus. If no genetic material is removed,then the amount of exogenous genetic material which can be added islimited by the amount which will be absorbed without being physicallydisruptive. Generally, the volume of exogenous genetic material insertedwill not exceed about 10 picoliters. The physical effects of additionmust not be so great as to physically destroy the viability of thezygote. The biological limit of the number and variety of DNA sequenceswill vary depending upon the particular zygote and functions of theexogenous genetic material and will be readily apparent to one skilledin the art, because the genetic material, including the exogenousgenetic material, of the resulting zygote must be biologically capableof initiating and maintaining the differentiation and development of thezygote into a functional organism.

The number of copies of the transgene constructs which are added to thezygote is dependent upon the total amount of exogenous genetic materialadded and will be the amount which enables the genetic transformation tooccur. Theoretically only one copy is required; however, generally,numerous copies are utilized, for example, 1,000-20,000 copies of thetransgene construct, in order to insure that one copy is functional. Asregards the present invention, there will often be an advantage tohaving more than one functioning copy of each of the inserted exogenousDNA sequences to enhance the phenotypic expression of the exogenous DNAsequences.

Any technique which allows for the addition of the exogenous geneticmaterial into nucleic genetic material can be utilized so long as it isnot destructive to the cell, nuclear membrane or other existing cellularor genetic structures. The exogenous genetic material is preferentiallyinserted into the nucleic genetic material by microinjection.Microinjection of cells and cellular structures is known and is used inthe art.

Reimplantation is accomplished using standard methods. Usually, thesurrogate host is anesthetized, and the embryos are inserted into theoviduct. The number of embryos implanted into a particular host willvary by species, but will usually be comparable to the number of offspring the species naturally produces.

Transgenic offspring of the surrogate host may be screened for thepresence and/or expression of the transgene by any suitable method.Screening is often accomplished by Southern blot or Northern blotanalysis, using a probe that is complementary to at least a portion ofthe transgene. Western blot analysis using an antibody against theprotein encoded by the transgene may be employed as an alternative oradditional method for screening for the presence of the transgeneproduct. Typically, DNA is prepared from tail tissue and analyzed bySouthern analysis or PCR for the transgene. Alternatively, the tissuesor cells believed to express the transgene at the highest levels aretested for the presence and expression of the transgene using Southernanalysis or PCR, although any tissues or cell types may be used for thisanalysis.

Alternative or additional methods for evaluating the presence of thetransgene include, without limitation, suitable biochemical assays suchas enzyme and/or immunological assays, histological stains forparticular marker or enzyme activities, flow cytometric analysis, andthe like. Analysis of the blood may also be useful to detect thepresence of the transgene product in the blood, as well as to evaluatethe effect of the transgene on the levels of various types of bloodcells and other blood constituents.

Progeny of the transgenic animals may be obtained by mating thetransgenic animal with a suitable partner, or by in vitro fertilizationof eggs and/or sperm obtained from the transgenic animal. Where matingwith a partner is to be performed, the partner may or may not betransgenic and/or a knockout; where it is transgenic, it may contain thesame or a different transgene, or both. Alternatively, the partner maybe a parental line. Where in vitro fertilization is used, the fertilizedembryo may be implanted into a surrogate host or incubated in vitro, orboth. Using either method, the progeny may be evaluated for the presenceof the transgene using methods described above, or other appropriatemethods.

The transgenic animals produced in accordance with the present inventionwill include exogenous genetic material. Further, in such embodimentsthe sequence will be attached to a transcriptional control element,e.g., a promoter, which preferably allows the expression of thetransgene product in a specific type of cell.

Retroviral infection can also be used to introduce the transgene into anon-human animal. The developing non-human embryo can be cultured invitro to the blastocyst stage. During this time, the blastomeres can betargets for retroviral infection (Jaenich, R. (1976) PNAS 73:1260-1264).Efficient infection of the blastomeres is obtained by enzymatictreatment to remove the zona pellucida (Manipulating the Mouse Embryo,Hogan eds. (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press, Cold Spring Harbor,1986). The viral vector system used to introduce the transgene istypically a replication-defective retrovirus carrying the transgene(Jahner et al. (1985) PNAS 82:6927-6931; Van der Putten et al. (1985)PNAS 82:6148-6152). Transfection is easily and efficiently obtained byculturing the blastomeres on a monolayer of virus-producing cells (Vander Putten, supra; Stewart et al. (1987) EMBO J. 6:383-388).Alternatively, infection can be performed at a later stage. Virus orvirus-producing cells can be injected into the blastocoele (Jahner etal. (1982) Nature 298:623-628). Most of the founders will be mosaic forthe transgene since incorporation occurs only in a subset of the cellswhich formed the transgenic non-human animal. Further, the founder maycontain various retroviral insertions of the transgene at differentpositions in the genome which generally will segregate in the offspring.In addition, it is also possible to introduce transgenes into the germline by intrauterine retroviral infection of the midgestation embryo(Jahner et al. (1982) supra).

A third type of target cell for transgene introduction is the embryonalstem cell (ES). ES cells are obtained from pre-implantation embryoscultured in vitro and fused with embryos (Evans et al. (1981) Nature292:154-156; Bradley et al. (1984) Nature 309:255-258; Gossler et al.(1986) PNAS 83: 9065-9069; and Robertson et al. (1986) Nature322:445-448). Transgenes can be efficiently introduced into the ES cellsby DNA transfection or by retrovirus-mediated transduction. Suchtransformed ES cells can thereafter be combined with blastocysts from anon-human animal. The ES cells thereafter colonize the embryo andcontribute to the germ line of the resulting chimeric animal. For reviewsee Jaenisch, R. (1988) Science 240:1468-1474.

The present invention is further illustrated by the following exampleswhich should not be construed as limiting in any way. The contents ofall cited references (including literature references, issued patents,published patent applications as cited throughout this application) arehereby expressly incorporated by reference. The practice of the presentinvention will employ, unless otherwise indicated, conventionaltechniques that are within the skill of the art. Such techniques areexplained fully in the literature. See, for example, Molecular Cloning ALaboratory Manual, (2nd ed., Sambrook, Fritsch and Maniatis, eds., ColdSpring Harbor Laboratory Press: 1989); DNA Cloning, Volumes I and II (D.N. Glover ed., 1985); Oligonucleotide Synthesis (M. J. Gait ed., 1984);U.S. Pat. No. 4,683,195; U.S. Pat. No. 4,683,202; and Nucleic AcidHybridization (B. D. Hames & S. J. Higgins eds., 1984).

5. EXAMPLES Example 1 Markers for Single Vessel Coronary Artery Disease

The objective of this study was to determine if patients with an earlyform of coronary artery atherosclerosis, i.e., single vessel coronaryartery disease, were more likely to have specific alleles in thefollowing genes: IL-1A (−889 marker), IL-1B (−511 and +3954 markers),IL-1RN (VNTR marker) or TNFα (−308 marker). Multiple vessel diseasegenerally represents a later stage of the disease that may involve manyfactors which could complicate data interpretation. Therefore, patientswho presented with a complaint of chest pain were evaluated by acardiologist, and those with angiographic evidence of significantatherosclerosis in more than one coronary artery were excluded fromanalysis.

Patient Cohorts: Angiography from either the femoral or brachial arterywas performed using conventional techniques. Of the patients examined,eighty-five (85) had no obvious luminal irregularities by angiographyand were classified as controls having angiographically normal coronaryarteries. A patient was classified as having single vessel disease ifone of three epicardial coronary vessels containing an epicardialstenosis causing 50% reduction in luminal diameter, as assessed by eye.Fifty-eight (58) patients were found to have single vessel coronaryartery disease. Patients with multiple vessel disease were excluded.Both control and single vessel disease groups had comparable mean ages,57.6±10.4 years and 56.4±9.4 years; respectively. The male to femaleratio in the control group was 1:1.7 and 2.6:1 in the diseased group.

General Methods: Reactions and manipulations involving nucleic acidtechniques, unless stated otherwise, were performed as generallydescribed in Sambrook, et al., Molecular Cloning: A Laboratory Manual,Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press (1989). Polymerase chain reaction(PCR) was carried out generally as described in PCR Protocols: A Guideto Methods and Applications, Academic Press, San Diego, Calif. (1990).Genotyping methodology was as generally described in U.S. Pat. Nos.4,666,828; 4,683,202; 4,801,531; 5,192,659; and 5,272,057 and McDowell,et al., Arthritis & Rheumatism, 38(2):221-8 (1995).

DNA Preparation: DNA was extracted from whole blood using a modificationof the salt-out method (Nucleon II™, Scotlab, UK).

Genotyping IL-1RN: Alleles associated with the IL-1RN gene werepreviously described by Tarlow, et al., Human Genetics, 91:403-4 (1993).Enzymes used in PCR were from Promega (UK) and thermocyclers were eitherMJ Research DNA Engine or Biometra. The following primers were producedin an ABI DNA synthesizer:

5′ CTCAGCAACACTCCTAT 3′ (SEQ ID No. 1) 5′ TCCTGGTCTGCAGGTAA 3′ (SEQ IDNo. 2)PCR amplification was performed with a final magnesium concentration of1.75 mM and a cycling protocol of 1 cycle at 96° C. for 1 minute; 30cycles of [94° C. for 1 minute, 60° C. for 1 minute, and 70° C. for 1minute]; and 1 cycle at 70° C. for 2 minutes. Following PCR thedifferent alleles were electrophoresed on 2% agarose gel stained withethidium bromide and visualized and identified under uv light. Negativecontrols without DNA were performed in each experiment.

Intron 2 of the IL-1RN gene contains a variable number tandem repeat(VNTR) region that gives rise to five (5) alleles as follows:

-   -   Allele 1 contains four repeats and displays a 412 bp PCR        product;    -   Allele 2 contains two repeats and displays a 240 bp PCR product;    -   Allele 3 contains three repeats and displays a 326 bp PCR        product;    -   Allele 4 contains five repeats and displays a 498 bp PCR        product; and    -   Allele 5 contains six repeats and displays a 584 bp PCR product.

Genotyping IL-1B (−511)

The −511 marker of IL-1B was described by diGiovine, Hum. Molec. Genet.,1(6):450 (1992). The single base variation (C/T) marker at IL-1B base−511 was identified on the basis of an AvaI site on allele 1 (C), and aBsu36I site on allele 2(T). PCR was performed with 1 cycle at 95° C. for2 minutes, 35 cycles at [95° C. for 1 minute, 53° C. for 1 minute, and74° C. for 1 minute] and 1 cycle at 74° C. for 4 minutes. Analysis ofthe PCR products was by restriction enzyme digestion with AvaI andBsu36I at 37° C. for 8 hours followed by size analysis with 8% PAGE. Thefollowing primers were produced in an ABI DNA synthesizer (Clark, etal., Nucl. Acids. Res., 14:7897-7914 (1986) [published erratum appearsin Nucleic Acids Res., 15(2):868 (1987)]; GENBANK X04500):

(SEQ ID No: 5) 5′ TGGCATTGATCTGGTTCATC 3′ (-702/-682) (SEQ ID No: 6) 5′GTTTAGGAATCTTCCCACTT 3′ (-417/-397)

Results: There was no significant difference between the control anddiseased patients in the frequency of different alleles in the genes forIL-1A (−889 marker), IL-1B (+3954 marker) or TNFα (−308 marker).However, allele 2 of the VNTR marker in the IL-1RN gene wassignificantly over-represented in the single vessel disease patients,41% versus 22% in controls. It is estimated that individuals with atleast one copy of allele 2 are 2.44 times as likely to have singlevessel coronary artery disease than those who are negative for allele 2(odds Ratio=2.44, p=0.003, 95% confidence interval=1.35-4.43).

In addition, individuals who had two copies, i.e., were homozygous forallele 2 in IL-1RN, were 5.36 times as likely to have single vesselcoronary artery disease than those who were negative for allele 2 (oddsRatio=5.36, p=0.005, 95% confidence interval=1.6-17.97).

Carriage of one copy of allele 2 of the −511 marker of the IL-1B genewas increased in single vessel coronary disease to 52% compared with 38%in controls. It is estimated that individuals with at least one copy ofallele 2 are 1.74 times as likely to have single vessel disease thanthose who are negative for allele 2 (Odds Ratio=1.74, p=0.1, 95%confidence interval=0.86-3.52).

These findings indicate that allele 2 of the IL-1RN gene is a marker forsusceptibility to the development of coronary artery occlusive disease,manifested as single-vessel stenosis. This allele is associated with anincreased risk of coronary artery disease of 2.4 to 5.4 times, dependingon whether there in one copy (heterozygous) or two copies (homozygous)of the disease-associated allele. The influence of this allele on riskfor coronary artery disease is shown in Table 1 relative to other commonrisk factors.

Additionally, an allele for the IL-1B gene was discovered to beassociated with single vessel coronary artery disease. This allele isassociated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease of 1.74times.

TABLE 1 Increased Risk for Coronary Risk Factor Artery Disease Smoking(1 pack/day) 2.5 Sedentary lifestyle 1.9 Severe obesity (women) 3.3Hypertension 2.1 High cholesterol (>240) 2.4 IL-1RN (VNTR) allele 2 -heterozygous 2.4 IL-1RN (VNTR) allele 2 - homozygous 5.4 IL-1B (−511)allele 2 1.74-1.92

Example 2 Markers for Multiple Vessel Coronary Artery Disease

The objective of this study was to determine if patients with a later ormore diffuse form of coronary artery atherosclerosis, i.e., multiplevessel coronary artery disease, were more likely to have specificalleles in the genes of the IL-1 gene cluster or TNFα.

Patient Cohorts Patient cohorts were determined as in Example 1, exceptthat a patient was classified as having multiple vessel disease if morethan one epicardial coronary vessel contained an epicardial stenosiscausing >50% reduction in luminal diameter, as assessed by eye. Of thepatients examined, 86 were classified as controls havingangiographically normal coronary arteries and 315 patients were found tohave multiple vessel coronary artery disease. Both controls and singlevessel disease groups had comparable mean ages, 57.6±10.4 years and60.8±1.13 years respectively. The male to female ratio in the controlgroup was 1:1:7 and 3.7:1 in the diseased group.

General Methods: Reactions and methods were as in Example 1.

Results: There was no significant difference between the control anddiseased patients in the frequency of different alleles in the genes forIL-1A (−889 marker), IL-1B (+3954 marker), and IL-1RN (VNTR marker).However, carriage of one copy of the Bsu36I allele (allele 2) of the−511 marker of the IL-1B gene was increased in the multiple vesseldisease patients, 54% versus 38% in controls. It is estimated thatindividuals with at least one copy of allele 2 of the −511 marker are1.92 times as likely to have multiple vessel coronary artery diseasethan those who are negative for allele 2 (Odds Ratio+1.92, p=0.009, 95%confidence interval=1.17-3.16). There appears to be no dose effect, inthis population at least, for the −511 marker.

In summary, an allele for the IL-1B gene was discovered to be associatedwith multiple vessel coronary artery disease. This allele is associatedwith an increased risk of coronary artery disease of 1.92 times.

Single vessel and multiple vessel coronary artery disease each appear tobe linked with different genes of the IL-1 gene cluster. This may ariseas a true biological distinction, where IL-1 RA modulates IL-1β effectsin such a way as to produce the single vessel phenotype. Alternatively,it may be that both genes are, in fact, associated with coronary arterydisease as a whole and that the associations observed here result fromthe way this particular population exhibited coronary artery disease.With either interpretation, a strong association between IL-1 biologyand coronary artery disease has been established.

Example 3 Association of Interleukin-1 Gene Variants and CarotidArterial Wall Thickness

The association between carotid intimal medial wall thickness (IMT) andfour basic biallelic markers (IL-1A (+4845), IL-1B (+3954), IL-1RN(+2018)) in the interleukin-1 (IL-1) gene cluster on chromosome 2 wasinvestigated among participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk inCommunities (ARIC) Study, a cohort of 15,792 men and women 45-64 yearsof age selected from four U.S. communities. Far wall thickness wasmeasured by B-mode ultrasound and analyzed using a cutpoint for elevatedaverage IMT (≧1 mm) chosen a priori to identify individuals at greatestrisk of cardiovascular disease. After excluding those with a history ofcardiovascular disease, a stratified random sample of 252 AfricanAmericans and 924 Caucasians was genotyped. Among African Americans,carriers of the less common allele (allele 2) of IL-1RN (+2018) weremore likely than non-carriers to have average IMT≧1 mm (16% vs 5%p=0.04) in a basic model adjusting for age, gender and study center.Among Caucasians, the adjusted proportion of individuals with elevatedIMT was also higher in those carrying IL-1RN (+2018) allele 2 (9% vs.6%), but this difference was not statistically significant (p=0.10).There were no associations between the IL-1A (+4845), IL-1B (+3954) orIL-1B (−511) variants and carotid IMT in either ethnic group.

Example 4 IL-1 Genotypes Associated with Plaque Formation and IncreasedPlaque Fragility

Polymorphisms in the gene for IL-1 receptor antagonist and the linkedIL-1B(−511) gene are strongly associated with the presence of large(>50% occlusion of the vessel) plaques in the coronary arteries andearly atherosclerotic changes in the carotid artery wall (ARIC data).These data suggest that the genetic polymorphism pattern that involvesIL-1RN(+2018) allele 2 and/or IL-1B(−511) allele 2 is predictive oflarge, occluding plaques.

Certain IL-1 genotypes are associated with increased risk for clinicalevents such as thrombosis and embolism. We propose that allele 2 ineither or both of the loci IL-1A(+4845) and IL-1B(+3954) would beexpected to increase the inflammatory response and therefore increaseplaque fragility and risk for clinical events such as thrombosis andembolism. This risk may be greatest in individuals with low levels ofcholesterol, since higher levels would be expected to activate themaximal inflammatory response even in IL-1 wild-types (e.g.IL-1A(+4845)=1.1 and IL-1B(+3954)=1.1).

We propose that the genotypes associated with larger occlusive plaques,i.e. IL-1RN(+2018) allele 2 or IL-1B(−511) allele 2, would be predictiveof lower risk for plaque fragility.

Out of approximately 15,000 healthy individuals followed longitudinallyfor clinical events (ARIC), 370 thrombotic or embolic events weredocumented. A group of approximately 900 randomized stratified controlswere selected for comparison.

Allele 2 at IL-1A(+4845) and IL-1B(+3954) Influence FragilePlaque-Related Clinical Events:

-   -   For cases with LDL<130 (n=535)    -   IL-1A(+4845) genotype 2.2:Odds ratio (OR+95% CI) for clinical        event=3.03 (0.96-9.1); p=0.059    -   For cases with Total Cholesterol<200 (n=425)    -   IL-1A(+4845) genotype 2.2: OR=6.25 (1.69-20.00); p=0.006    -   IL-1B(+3954) genotype 1.2 or 2.2: OR=2.58 (1.25-5.31); p=0.010

Allele 2 at IL-1RN(+2018) is Inversely Related to Fragile Plaque-RelatedClinical Events, Thereby Suggesting a Stabilization of AtheroscleroticPlaque:

-   -   For all cases (n=1214)    -   IL-1RN(+2018) genotype 1.2 or 2.2: OR=0.65 (0.43-0.96); p=0.031    -   For LDL>160 (n=343)    -   IL-1RN(+2018) genotype 1.2 or 2.2: OR=0.33 (0.14-0.73); p=0.058    -   For Total Cholesterol>240 (n=307)    -   IL-1RN(+2018) genotype 1.2 or 2.2: OR=0.28 (0.11-0.68); p=0.054

Example 5 The IL-1 Composite Genotype that is Consistent with HaplotypePattern 1 is Associated with Periodontitis and the IL-1 Genotype that isConsistent with Haplotype Pattern 2 is Associated with OcclusiveCardiovascular Disease

The association between periodontitis, cardiovascular disease and fourbasic biallelic markers (IL-1A (+4845), IL-1B (+3954), IL-1B (−511), andIL-1RN (+2018)) in the interleukin-1 (IL-1) gene cluster on chromosome 2was investigated.

Two haplotype patterns may be defined by four polymorphic loci in theIL-1 gene cluster as shown in Table 2 (IL-1A(+4845), IL-1B (+3954),IL-1B (−511), IL-1RN(+2018)). One pattern includes allele 2 at both theIL-1A (+4845) and at the IL-1B (+3954) loci. The other pattern includesallele 2 at both the IL-1B(−511), and at the IL-1RN(+2018) loci.

TABLE 2 IL-1B IL-1RN Haplotypes IL-1A (+4845) IL-1B (+3954) (−511)(+2018) Pattern 1 Allele 2 Allele 2 Allele 1 Allele 1 Pattern 2 Allele 1Allele 1 Allele 2 Allele 2The haplotype pattern indicates that when allele 2 is found at onelocus, it is highly likely that it will be found at other loci. Previousdata (Cox et al. (1998) Am. J. Hum. Genet. 62:1180-1188) indicate thatwhen allele 2 is found at the IL-1A (+4845) locus allele 2 will also bepresent at the IL-1B (+3954) locus approximately 80% of the time.Haplotype patterns are relevant only for a single copy of a chromosome.Since there are two copies of chromosome 2 and standard genotypingprocedures are unable to identify on which chromosome copy a specificallele is found, special statistical programs are used to inferhaplotype patterns from the genotype pattern that is determined.

The distribution of these genetic patterns was evaluated in a newpopulation that was part of a study of atherosclerosis (Pankow et al.(1999) The ARIC study. European Atherosclerosis Society Annual Meeting,Abstract, #646). In this population (N=1,368), IL-1A(+4845) genotype 2.2was found in 10.2% of the subjects. However, in the subjects withgenotype IL-1B (+3954)=2.2 (N=95), the IL-1A (+4845) genotype 2.2 wasfound in 71.6% of the subjects. This indicates that allele 2 at IL-1A(+4845) is inherited together with allele 2 at IL-1B (3954) at a muchhigher rate than one would expect given the distribution of each ofthese markers in the population. Similar data exists for allele 2 at the2 loci that are characteristic of Pattern 2. In addition, when genotypePattern 1 is found it is highly unlikely that allele 2 will be presentat either of the loci that are characteristic of the other pattern.

The two genotype patterns are also associated with specific differencesin the functional biology of interleukin-1. For example, peripheralmonocytes from individuals with one or two copies of allele 2 at IL-1B(+3954) produced 2 to 4 times as much IL-1□ when stimulated with LPS asmonocytes from individuals who have the genotype pattern IL-1B(+3954)=1.1 (DiGiovini, F S et al. (1995) Cytokine, 7:606). Similar datahave recently been reported for peripheral blood polymorphonuclearleukocytes isolated from individuals with severe periodontitis (Gore, EA et al. (1998) J. Clin. Periodontol., 25:781). In addition gingivalcrevice fluid (GCF) from subjects with the composite genotypesindicative of Pattern 1 have 2 to 3 times higher levels of IL-1□ thanGCF from individuals who are negative for those genotypes (Engelbretson,S P et al. (1999) J. Periodontol., in press). There are also dataindicating that for Pattern 2, allele 2 at IL-1RN+2018 is associatedwith decreased levels of IL-1 receptor antagonist protein. Thus, Pattern1 genotypes appear to be associated with increased IL-1 agonists, andPattern 2 appears to be associated with decreased levels of IL-1receptor antagonist.

The composite IL-1 genotypes that are consistent with Pattern 1 areassociated with increased susceptibility to severe adult periodontitis(Kornman, K S et al. (1997), supra; Gore, E A et al. (1998), supra;McGuire, M K et al. (1999) J. Periodontol., in press; McDevitt, M J etal. (1999) J. Periodontol., in press). One aspect of the IL-1 genotypeinfluence on periodontitis appears to be an enhancement of thesubgingival levels of specific bacterial complexes that include acceptedperiodontal pathogens (Socransky, S S et al. (1999) IADR Annual Meeting,Abstract#3600). Pattern 1 genotypes were not, however, associated withincreased risk for occlusive cardiovascular disease. In data from theAtherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study that was presented byPankow and co-workers (see Pankow et al., supra), individuals withultrasound measurements of carotid wall intima-medial thickness (IMT)that were indicative of occlusive cardiovascular disorders were comparedto a stratified random control population for IL-1 gene polymorphisms.Neither IL-1A (+4845) or IL-1B (+3954) showed any association with riskfor high IMT.

Genotypes that are characteristic of pattern 2 have recently beenassociated with increased susceptibility to occlusive coronary arterydisease, but not increased risk for periodontitis. In a report oncoronary artery disease, patients with angiographic evidence of coronarystenoses were significantly more likely to be carriers of allele 2 ateither the IL-1RN (+2018) locus or the IL-1B (−511) locus (see Franciset al., supra). Both loci are characteristic of the haplotype Pattern 2.In the ARIC study, as discussed above, carriage of IL-1RN (+2018) allele2 in African-Americans with high IMT measurements was significantlyhigher than ethnically matched controls. In Caucasians with high IMTmeasurements the carriage of one copy of allele 2 at IL-1RN (+2018) wassignificantly greater than in controls, however individuals homozygousat this locus were not different from controls. It should be noted thatthe prevalence of individuals homozygous for allele 2 at IL-1RN (+2018)in Caucasians in the study was substantially lower than that observed inother populations.

When individuals with periodontitis and gingival health were evaluatedfor genotype patterns consistent with Pattern 1 and Pattern 2,individuals with severe adult periodontitis were found to have apredominance of genotypes consistent with Pattern 1, whereas individualswith a healthy periodontal condition had genotype patterns that weredominated by neither Pattern 1 nor Pattern 2. It appears therefore thatIL-1 genotypes consistent with the haplotype Pattern 1 are associatedwith severe periodontitis and plaque fragility disorders and notocclusive cardiovascular diseases whereas IL-1 genotypes consistent withthe haplotype Pattern 2 are associated with occlusive cardiovasculardiseases but not periodontitis or plaque fragility. One mechanism may bethat IL-1 genotype Pattern 1 directly influences plaque fragility;another mechanism may be that Pattern 1 influences periodontitisdirectly, which may lead to indirect influences on cardiovasculardisease through the periodontal microorganisms found as part of the oralchronic inflammatory process. Another mechanism may be that IL-1genotype Pattern 2 directly influences cardiovascular occlusivedisorders but has no influence on periodontitis. It is thus likely thatIL-1 genetic polymorphisms can influence both cardiovascular disease andsevere periodontitis, by a common underlying mechanism that directlyalters the immunoinflammatory responses in both diseases in an identicalfashion and by an indirect mechanism that enhances the oral bacterialload and then influences cardiovascular disease. The IL-1 genotypes thatare consistent with haplotype Pattern 1 may influence the associationbetween periodontidis and cardiovascular disease in one segment of thepopulation by amplifying both the immuno-inflammatory response and thesubgingival bacterial load.

Example 5 The Mayo Clinic Study

Study design. Patients 18 to 75 years of age undergoingclinically-indicated coronary angiography at Mayo Clinic, Rochester,Minn. were considered for this study. Patients were ineligible forinclusion if they had diabetes mellitus requiring therapy, a smokinghistory >50 pack years, prior or planned organ transplantation,pregnancy, prior percutaneous or surgical coronary revascularization,active bleeding or hemoglobin less than 8 g/dL, receipt of a bloodtransfusion within 30 days, hemodynamic instability, infection withhuman immunodeficiency virus, renal failure requiring dialysis, and ahistory of radiation therapy to the chest. The 504 patientsrepresent >90% of patients eligible for this study who underwentcoronary angiography during this period.Angiographic analysis. Coronary angiograms were analyzed with hand-heldcalipers or visual analysis and divided into those revealing normalcoronaries (smooth arteries with either no stenosis or withstenosis≦10%), mild disease (coronary arteries with a reduction inluminal diameter between 10% and 50%), single vessel disease (≧50% in asingle coronary artery or its major branches), two vessel coronaryartery disease (≧50% lumenal diameter stenosis in two coronary arteries)and three vessel disease (≧50% lumenal diameter stenosis in threecoronary arteries). Angiograms were analyzed blinded to patients' riskfactors and genetic analyses.Laboratory analyses. Apolipoprotein A₁, apolipoprotein B, Lp (a) andfibrinogen assays were performed on the COBAS MIRA system. Normal rangesfor these assays are apolipoprotein A1, 115-190 mg/dL; apolipoprotein B,70-160 mg/dL; and Lp (a), 2.5-7.0 mg/dL; a normal range of fibrinogen isnot reported. Total plasma homocysteine was measured.Definitions. A family history of coronary disease was considered to bepresent if a first degree relative of the patient that did not smoke orhave diabetes mellitus developed coronary disease when ≦55 years of age.Hyperlipidemia was defined as a total cholesterol≧250 mg/dL or anLDL≧150 mg/dL, or ongoing treatment with lipid-lowering agents inpatients in whom pre-treatment lipid values were unknown. Angina andheart failure were classified according to the Canadian HeartAssociation and New York State classification schemes, respectively.Statistical methods. Values are expressed as percentages and asmeans±one standard deviation. For odds ratios, 95% confidence intervalsare presented in parentheses.

In preliminary analyses to determine correlates of coronary disease,chi-square tests and one-way ANOVAs were first performed to test theassociation of various traditional and emerging risk factors, as well asallelic variants among the IL-1 cluster genes, among patients with nodisease, mild disease, one-vessel disease, two-vessel disease, andthree-vessel disease. Coronary artery disease was then reclassified tocompare patients with no disease or mild disease to patients with one-,two-, or three-vessel stenosis. Patients with some blockage but withcoronary stenosis<50% were considered to have mild coronary disease andwere grouped with those patients with no blockage (no disease), whilepatients with stenosis≧50% in one, two, or three coronary arteries weregrouped together for further analysis since these patients wereconsidered to have a significant degree of coronary artery stenosis. Theexact test for trends was used to test for trends in the proportion ofpatients with the polymorphisms.

Logistic regression models were fitted for the various risk factorsaccording to quartiles and tertiles with the odds ratios reported forincreasing quartile and tertile levels given. To analyze further theassociation of allelic variants of the IL-1 cluster genes with coronaryartery disease, multiple logistic regression models were fitted withstatistically significant confounders included in each model. Alltraditional and emerging risk factors were considered for inclusion inthe model, and the model was fitted in a stepwise fashion to obtain thebest fitting model where all factors included in the model werestatistically significant. In addition, potential effect modifiers wereconsidered for inclusion in the model. The response for the multiplelogistic regression models was the presence or absence of significantcoronary artery stenosis defined above.

In addition to analyzing all subjects included in the study, furtherstatistical analyses were performed on subjects≦£60 years of age andsubjects>60 years of age separately. The analysis by age was consideredto be appropriate since age has been shown to be a strong risk factorfor coronary artery disease, and because genetic influences inmultifactorial diseases are believed to be most evident in early onsetcases. In addition, since epistasis may determine that geneticinfluences have different outcomes on males and females, subset analysesby gender was also considered to be important and males and femalestreated separately in some of the analyses.

Example 6 The Munich Study Methods Patients

The study included 1850 consecutive Caucasian patients with symptomaticcoronary artery disease who underwent coronary stent implantation atDeutsches Herzzentrum Müinchen and 1. Medizinische Klinik rechts derIsar der Technischen Universität Müinchen. All patients were scheduledfor angiographic follow-up at 6 months. All patients participating inthis study gave written informed consent for the intervention, follow-upangiography, and genotype determination. The study protocol conformed tothe Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the institutional ethicscommittee.

TABLE 1 Baseline clinical characteristics. IL-1RN 1/2 or 2/2 IL-1RN 1/1(n = 896) (n = 954) P Age - yr 63.4 ± 10.0 62.6 ± 10.0 0.11 Women - %22.4 19.9 0.19 Arterial hypertension - % 67.2 68.9 0.44 Diabetes - %22.7 19.4 0.08 Current or former smoker - % 38.7 41.2 0.28 Elevatedtotal cholesterol - % 42.5 43.1 0.81 Acute myocardial infarction - %20.3 20.2 0.97 Unstable angina - % 27.9 27.8 0.95 Prior bypass surgery -% 10.6 11.5 0.53 Reduced left ventricular function - % 31.3 27.7 0.09Number of diseased coronary vessels 0.39 1 vessel - % 29.2 27.3 2vessels - % 32.9 31.9 3 vessels - % 37.8 40.9 Periprocedural abciximab19.8 19.6 0.93 therapy - % Data are proportions or meanSDThe protocol of stent placement and poststenting therapy is familiar topractitioners in the arts. Most of the stents were implantedhand-mounted on conventional angioplasty balloons. Postproceduraltherapy consisted of aspirin (100 mg twice daily, indefinitely) andticlopidine (250 mg twice daily for 4 weeks). Patients with suboptimalresults due to residual thrombus or dissection with flow impairmentafter stent implantation received additional therapy with abciximabgiven as bolus injection during stent insertion procedure and as a12-hours continuous infusion thereafter. The decision to give abciximabwas taken at the operator's discretion.

Determination of the IL-1RN Genotype

Genomic DNA was extracted from 200 ml of peripheral blood leukocyteswith the QIAamp Blood Kit (Qiagen, Hilden, Germany) and the High PurePCR Template Preparation Kit (Boehringer Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany).

IL-1RN genotyping was performed with the ABI Prism Sequence DetectionSystem (PE Applied Biosystems, Weiterstadt, Germany). The use ofallele-specific fluorogenic probes in the 5′ nuclease reaction combinesDNA amplification and genotype determination into a single assay 33.IL-1RN (+2018), a single base pair polymorphism in exon 2, was thepolymorphism typed for this study 26. The nucleotide sequences ofprimers and probes were as follows: forward primer 5′ GGG ATG TTA ACCAGA AGA CCT TCT ATC T 3′, reverse primer 5′ CAA CCA CTC ACC TTC TAA ATTGAC ATT 3′, allele 1 probe 5′ AAC AAC CAA CTA GTT GCT GGA TAC TTG CAA3′, allele 2 probe 5′ ACA ACC AAC TAG TTG CCG GAT ACT TGC 3′. The probesfor allele 1 were labeled with the fluorescent dye 6-carboxy-fluorescein(FAM) and for allele 2 with the fluorescent dyetetrachloro-6-carboxy-fluorescein (TET) at the 5′ end. Both probes werelabeled with the quencher 6-carboxy-tetramethyl-rhodamine (TAMRA) attheir 3′ ends. The thermocycling protocol consisted of 40 cycles ofdenaturation at 95 C for 15 seconds and annealing/extension at 64 C for1 minute. Genotype validation was performed by repeating thedetermination in 20% of the patients using a duplicate DNA sample with anovel subject code unrelated to the original subject code. There was a100% matching between the 2 results.

Angiographic Assessment

Coronary lesions were classified according to the modified AmericanCollege of Cardiology/American Heart Association grading system. Leftventricular function was assessed qualitatively on the basis of biplaneangiograms using a 7 segment division; the diagnosis of reduced leftventricular function was established in the presence of at least twohypokinetic segments in the contrast angiogram. Quantitativecomputer-assisted angiographic analysis was performed off-line onangiograms obtained just before stenting, immediately after stenting,and at follow up using the automated edge-detection system CMS (MedisMedical Imaging Systems, Nuenen, The Netherlands). Operators wereunaware of the patient's IL-1RN genotype. Identical projections of thetarget lesion were used for all assessed angiograms. Minimal lumendiameter, interpolated reference diameter, diameter stenosis, lesionlength and diameter of the maximally inflated balloon were theangiographic parameters obtained with this analysis system. Acute lumengain was calculated as the difference between minimal lumen diameter atthe end of intervention and minimal lumen diameter before theintervention. Late lumen loss was calculated as the difference betweenminimal lumen diameter at the end of intervention and minimal lumendiameter at the time of follow-up angiography. Loss index was calculatedas the ratio between late lumen loss and acute lumen gain.

DEFINITIONS AND STUDY ENDPOINTS

Primary endpoint of the study was restenosis. Two measures of restenosiswere assessed: the incidence of angiographic restenosis defined as adiameter stenosis of 50% at 6-month follow-up angiography, and the needfor target vessel revascularization (PTCA or aortocoronary bypasssurgery [CABG]) due to symptoms or signs of ischemia in the presence ofangiographic restenosis at the stented site over 1 year after theintervention. Other major adverse events evaluated were: death from anycause and myocardial infarction. All deaths were considered due tocardiac causes unless an autopsy established a noncardiac cause. Thediagnosis of acute myocardial infarction was based on the criteriaapplied in the EPISTENT trial (new pathological Q waves or a value ofcreatine kinase [CK] or its MB isoenzyme at least 3 times the upperlimit) 35. CK was determined systematically over the 48 hours followingstenting procedure. Clinical events were monitored throughout the 1-yearfollow-up period. The assessment was made on the basis of theinformation provided by hospital readmission records, referringphysician or phone interview with the patient. For all those patientswho revealed cardiac symptoms during the interview, at least oneclinical and electrocardiographic check-up was performed at theoutpatient clinic or by the referring physician.

Statistical Analysis

Discrete variables are expressed as counts or percentages and comparedwith Chi-square or Fisher's exact test, as appropriate. Continuousvariables are expressed as mean SD and compared by means of theunpaired, two-sided t-test or analysis of variance for more than 2groups. Risk analysis was performed calculating the odds ratio and the95% confidence interval. The main analysis consisted in comparingcombined heterozygous and homozygous carriers of the IL-11RN*2 allelewith homozygous carriers of the IL-11RN*1 allele. Moreover, theassociation between IL-1RN genotype and restenosis was assessed in amultivariate logistic regression model including also those clinical andlesion-related characteristics for which the comparison between carriersand noncarriers of the IL-1RN*2 allele showed a P-value 0.30. In thismultivariate model, we tested for the possible interaction betweenIL-1RN genotype and age. Since the relative contribution of geneticfactors to multifactorial processes such as restenosis may decrease withthe age, we carried out an additional analysis for a prespecifiedsubgroup of patients<60 years. Successively, we used test for trend forassessing gene dose effect, i.e. a stepwise increasing phenotypicresponse with the presence of 0, 1 or 2 putative alleles. Statisticalsignificance was accepted for P-values 0.05.

Results Patients Characteristics

The observed IL-1RN genotypes in the study population were 1/1 in 954(51.6%), 1/2 in 742 (40.1%) and 2/2 in 154 (8.3%). Thus, allele 2frequency was 0.28. The observed distribution complied withHardy-Weinberg equilibrium. Main baseline characteristics of thepatients are listed in Table 1 and compared between carriers andnoncarriers of the IL-1RN*2 allele. There was a trend to a higherfrequency of diabetes and reduced left ventricular function amongcarriers of the IL-1RN*2 allele. The other characteristics were evenlydistributed between the 2 groups. The angiographic and proceduralcharacteristics at the time of intervention are listed in Table 2 andshow no significant differences between carriers and noncarriers of theIL-1RN*2 allele.

TABLE 2 Lesion and procedural characteristics at the time ofintervention. IL-1RN 1/2 or 2/2 IL-1RN 1/1 (n = 896) (n = 954) P Targetcoronary vessels 0.89 Left main - % 1.3 1.6 LAD - % 40.1 39.3 LCx - %19.9 20.0 RCA - % 32.6 31.9 Venous bypass graft - % 6.1 7.2 Complexlesions - % 75.2 74.1 0.58 Restenotic lesions - % 25.3 23.3 0.30 Beforestenting Reference diameter, mm 3.02 ± 0.53 3.05 ± 0.54 0.29 Diameterstenosis - % 79.1 ± 14.9 78.7 ± 15.7 0.57 Lesion length - mm 12.1 ± 6.9 12.1 ± 6.6  0.98 Procedural data Measured balloon diameter - 3.2 ± 0.53.2 ± 5   0.45 mm Maximal balloon pressure - atm 13.9 ± 3.3  13.8 ± 3.2 0.20 Stented segment length - mm 20.0 ± 14.3 20.3 ± 13.6 0.70Immediately after stenting Diameter stenosis - % 5.2 ± 9.1 5.4 ± 7.60.47 Data are proportions or meanSD LAD indicates left anteriordescending coronary artery; LCx, left circumflex coronary artery; RCA,right coronary artery; complex lesions were defined as ACC/AHA lesiontypes B2 and C, according to the American College of Cardiology/AmericanHeart Association grading system.IL-1ra Polymorphism, Mortality and Myocardial Infarction after Stenting

Table 3 shows the adverse clinical events observed within the first 30days after coronary stenting in carriers and noncarriers of the IL-1RN*2allele. There was no association between the presence of the IL-1RN*2allele and death, myocardial infarction or target vesselrevascularization, showing no significant influence of the polymorphismin the IL-1ra gene in the risk for early thrombotic events aftercoronary stenting.

TABLE 3 Incidence of adverse events recorded during the early 30 daysIL-1RN 1/2 or 2/2 IL-1RN 1/1 (n = 896) (n = 954) P Death - % 0.9 0.90.91 Nonfatal myocardial infarction - % 3.3 2.6 0.52 Q-wave - % 1.1 0.70.39 non-Q-wave - % 2.2 1.9 0.60 Target vessel revascularization - % 3.02.3 0.34

One-year follow-up indicated also that there is no correlation betweenthe presence of the IL-1RN*2 allele and mortality or incidence ofmyocardial infarction after the intervention. During the 1-year period,mortality rate was 2.8% in the combined group of IL-1RN 1/2 and IL-1RN2/2 patients and 2.2% in IL-1 1/1 patients (P=0.42), yielding an oddsratio of 1.28 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-2.29). The incidence ofnonfatal myocardial infarction was 3.5% in IL-1RN*2 allele carriers and3.9% in homozygous carriers of the IL-1RN*1 allele (P=0.54), and therespective odds ratio was 0.86 (0.53-1.4).

IL-1ra Polymorphism and Restenosis after Stenting

Control angiography was performed in 84% of the patients after a medianof 188 days (interquartile range, 171-205 days). The proportion ofpatients with control angiography was similar in the 2 groups defined bythe presence or absence of the IL-1RN*2 allele. Table 4 lists theresults of the quantitative assessment of 6-month angiograms.

TABLE 4 Results at follow-up angiography. IL-1RN 1/2 or IL-1RN 1/1 2/2(n = 758) (n = 798) P Late lumen loss - mm 1.160.82 1.240.86 0.07 Lossindex 0.530.38 0.590.45 0.009 Diameter stenosis - % 41.826.2 45.228.70.015 Restenosis rate - % 30.2 35.6 0.024 Data are proportions or meanSDOf note, loss index which reflects the hyperplastic response afterstenting was significantly lower in patients who carried the IL-1RN*2allele. The incidence of angiographic restenosis was also significantlylower in carriers of the IL-1RN*2 allele, with 30.2% vs. 35.6% inpatients of the IL-1RN 1/1 genotype. Thus, the presence of the IL-1RN*2allele was associated with a 22% decrease in restenosis rate (oddsratio, 0.78 [0.63-0.97]). Clinical restenosis expressed as the need fortarget vessel revascularization was also significantly lower, with 17.7%in IL-1RN*2 allele carriers vs. 22.7% in homozygous patients for theIL-1RN*1 allele (P=0.026), yielding an odds ratio of 0.73 (0.58-0.92).

Age, gender, the presence or absence of diabetes, smoking habit, reducedleft ventricular function and restenotic lesions, vessel size (allvariables differing in univariate analysis by a P-value 0.30) wereentered into the multivariate model for angiographic restenosis alongwith the presence or absence of the IL-1RN*2 allele. Older age(P=0.005), the presence of diabetes (P<0.001), restenotic lesion(P<0.001) and small vessel size (P<0.001) were independently correlatedwith an increased risk of restenosis. On the opposite, the presence ofthe IL-1RN*2 allele was independently (P<0.001) correlated with adecreased risk for restenosis with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.81(0.71-0.92). In addition, there was a significant interaction betweenthe presence of the IL-1RN*2 allele and age (P=0.009) as reflected by aprogressively stronger protective effect of this allele in youngerpatients.

The results of the analysis in the prespecified subgroup of patients<60years (n=696) are presented in Table 5. During the 1-year follow-upperiod, 17.1% of the IL-1RN*2 allele carriers and 24.9% of thehomozygous IL-1RN*1 allele carriers needed target vesselrevascularization (P=0.013). Thus, the presence of the IL-1RN*2 allelewas associated with a 37% reduction (odds ratio: 0.63 [0.43-0.91]) ofthe need of ischemia-driven reinterventions. Quantitative angiographicdata obtained for the control study at 6 months (performed in 590 or 85%of patients<60 years) are displayed in Table 5.

TABLE 5 Results at follow-up angiography in patients <60 years. IL-1RN1/2 or IL-1RN 1/1 2/2 (n = 273) (n = 317) P Late lumen loss - mm1.080.77 1.270.93 0.008 Loss index 0.490.35 0.590.48 0.003 Diameterstenosis - % 39.324.1 46.730.5 0.001 Restenosis rate - % 25.6 38.5<0.001 Data are proportions or meanSDThe incidence of angiographic restenosis was 25.6% in the combined groupof IL-1RN 1/2 and IL-1RN 2/2 patients and 38.5% among IL-1RN 1/1patients (P<0.001), which corresponds to a 45% reduction (odds ratio:0.55 [0.39-0.78]). The incidence of restenosis decreased progressivelywith heterozygosity and homozygosity for the IL-1RN*2 allele. The rateof angiographic restenosis was 38.5% in IL-1RN 1/1 patients, 26.3% inIL-1RN 1/2 patients and 22.4% in IL-1RN 2/2 patients (P=0.001, test fortrend). The target vessel revascularization rate was 24.9% in IL-1RN 1/1patients, 17.9% in IL-1RN 1/2 patients and 13.2% in IL-1RN 2/2 patients(P=0.01, test for trend).

Example 7 Association of Composite IL-1 Genotypes with Predisposition toCardiovascular Disease

A study was performed that correlated IL-1 composite genotypes with theexpression of inflammatory mediators and the risk for adverse cardiacevents. Identified are composite genotypes and their relationship torisk of increased or, conversely, decreased, predisposition tocardiovascular disease. Also identified are the genotype prevalences inthe ethnic populations. The IL-1 gene cluster composite genotypes areuseful to differentiate an individual's expression of inflammatoryfactors in the presence of environmental challenges, such as LDL (“bad”)cholesterol, thereby assisting healthy individuals by identifying agenetic risk for heart disease and allowing the making of personalizedhealth decisions (such as nutrition and lifestyle) to preserve hearthealth.

Data were obtained from clinical studies that evaluated the associationbetween IL-1 gene cluster genetic variations and biochemical or clinicaloutcomes, and the data support the impact of IL-1 genetic variations onbiological/molecular mechanisms, disease/clinical outcome associations,and responses to anti-inflammatory supplementation as measured bybiomarker changes or disease risk.

Table 7-1 provides the predominant IL-1 haplotypes in Caucasian andAsian (here, Korean) populations.

The data provided in Table 7-2 demonstrate that individuals with one ofthree different composite genotype patterns will be classified as IL-1genotype “positive” for over-expression of inflammation and increasedrisk of CVD, while individuals with one of two different compositegenotype patterns will be classified as IL-1 genotype “negative” forover-expression of inflammation and decreased risk of CVD.

Table 7-3 provides the prevalence of the risk patterns shown in Table7-2 by ethnicity.

TABLE 7-1 Predominant IL-1 Haplotypes Gene SNP Locus IL-A IL-1BCaucasian Korean Haplotype +4845 +3954 +3877 −511 −1464 FrequencyFrequency 1 1 1 2 1 1 31.1 39.6 2 1 1 1 2 2 21.7 23.6 3 2 2 1 1 1 16.53.3 4 1 1 2 2 2 1.4 15.8 5 1 1 1 1 1 12.7 4.8 6 1 1 1 2 1 4.1 4.1 7 2 11 2 2 2.4 1.5 8 2 1 1 2 1 1.6 2.4 9 2 1 2 1 1 2.6 0.5 10 1 2 1 1 1 2.3 011 1 1 2 2 1 0 2.8 12 2 2 1 2 2 1.8 0 13 2 1 1 1 1 0.6 0.7 98.80% 99.10%

TABLE 7-2 IL-1 Composite Genotypes that are Associated with increased ordecreased CVD Risk: Gene IL-A IL-1B Test SNP Locus +4845 +3954 +3877−511 Result Additional information Risk Patterns 1a 2* 2* 1.1 1.1Positive Increased risk for CVD and first heart attack 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1Positive at younger age in combination with increased expression ofIL-1β and CRP biomarkers. 1b 1.1 2* 2* 1.1 Positive Increased risk forCVD and first heart attack 2* 1.1 2* 1.1 Positive at younger age incombination with 1.1 1.1 2* 1.1 Positive increased expression of IL-1βbiomarker. 1c 2* 2* 1.1 1.2 Positive Increased risk for CVD and firstheart attack 2* 1.1 1.1 1.2 Positive at younger age in combination with1.1 2* 1.1 1.2 Positive increased expression of CRP biomarker. 1.1 1.11.1 1.2 Positive Non-Risk Negative Patterns 1c′ 2* 1.1 2* 1.2 NegativeDecreased risk for CVD and first heart 1.1 2* 2* 1.2 Negative attack atyounger age. 1.1 1.1 2* 1.2 Negative 1d 2* 2* 1.1 2.2 Negative Decreasedrisk for CVD and first heart 1.1 2* * 2.2 Negative attack at youngerage. 2* 1.1 * 2.2 Negative 1.1 1.1 * 2.2 Negative “*” indicates thatonly one allele is required to be present for this genotype.

TABLE 7-3 Prevalence of the Risk Patterns by Ethnicity Pattern CaucasianJapanese Chinese Korean Black Increased risk 1a   21%  5%  2%  2%  5% 1b23.5% 30% 26% 19% 15% 1c 14.5%  3%  1%  4%  8% Pattern 1   59% 38% 29%25% 28% “At Increased Risk” Totals Decreased 40.5% 62% 72% 75% 72% riskTotals 99.5% 100%  101%  100%  100% Association of Increased Inflammatory Mediators with Composite GenotypePatterns Associated with Increased Risk of Cardiovascular Disease.

A DARIC (dental atherosclerotic risk in communities) study was performedto demonstrate the correlation between increased risk for CVD and firstheart attack at younger age and increased expression of IL-1β and CRPbiomarkers.

Composite genotype 1a patterns were associated with a 32% increase ofGCF IL-1β (p=0.01) and a 24% increase of CRP in serum (p=0.087).

Composite genotype 1b patterns were associated with a 28% increase ofGCF IL-1β (p=0.02) but were not significantly associated with increasedlevels of CRP in serum.

Composite genotype 1c patterns were not significantly associated withincreased levels of GCF IL-1β but were associated with a 54% increase ofCRP in serum (p=0.01).

Another study generated similar results, showing that pattern 1a isassociated with an 81% increase of CRP in serum (p=0.0001), pattern 1bis not significantly associated with increased CRP in serum, and pattern1c associated with a 32% increase of CRP in serum (p=0.04).

Additional studies relating to IL-1 gene variations and inflammatorymediators are described in Table 7-4.

TABLE 7-4 Summary of IL-1 Gene Variations and Inflammatory MediatorsIL-1 polymorphisms Disease associated with Mediator exposure elevatedMediator Source (note 1) mediator levels Reference Comments IL-1β PBMCsNone IL-1B − 511 1* Iacoviello(1) LPS stimulated protein (note 2)Results: 1.1 = 4500 pg/ml Association 1.2 = 2100 pg/ml 2.2 = 800 pg/mlNon- PBMCs None IL-1B − 511 2* Hall 2004(2) Due to the complicated invitro Association design it is unclear what it was really being measuredso this article is noted but the data not useful. CRP Serum CoronaryIL-1B + 3954 2* Berger Single SNP analysis as opposed to AssociationHeart IL-1A + 4845 2* 2002 (3) composite genotype-components Diseaseconsistent with 1a and 1c. Serum None IL-1B − 511 1* Eklund Single SNPanalysis as opposed to IL-1B + 3954 2* 2003 (4) composite genotype SerumCoronary IL-1B + 3954 2* Latkovskis(5) Single SNP analysis as opposed toHeart composite genotype Disease (note 1) Subjects in the study had thelisted condition (note 2) PMBCs are peripheral blood mononuclear cellsReferences for Table 7-4. (1) Iacoviello et al. Arterioscler Thromb VascBiol 2005; 25: 222-227. (2) Hall et al. Arthritis Rheum 2004; 50(6):1976-1983. (3) Berger et al. Cytokine. 2002; 17: 171-174. (4) Eklund etal. Eur Cytokine Netw 2003 Jul-Sep; 14(3): 168-171. (5) Latkovskis etal. Eur J Immunogenet 2004; 31 (5): 207-213.

Of particular interest is the Iacoviello study, that demonstrated thatthe IL-1B (−511) 1.1 genotype is associated with increased risk for MIat younger age (for males<45 yrs and for females<50 yrs. (OR-2.2)).Further, the IL-1B (−511) 1.2 genotype is associated with increased riskfor MI at younger age (for males<45 yrs and for females<50 yrs.(OR=1.8)).

Also of interest is a study performed with the Mayo clinic, which foundthat individuals with coronary artery disease were at greater risk forMI than those without disease, that those patients with multi-vesseldisease (MVD) were at greater risk for MI than those with single vesseldisease (SVD), and that, independent of the extent of coronary arterydisease, those individuals positive for the CVD genotype at IL-1A +4845and IL-1B +3954 (consistent with patterns 1a and 1c) were at added riskfor MI than those who tested negative. The Mayo study also found thatpositive CVD genotypes at IL-1A (+4845) and IL-1B (+3954) (consistentwith patterns 1a and 1c) were also significantly associated with ayounger age at time of cardiac catheterization (2 years younger) and attime of presenting with typical and atypical chest pain (2 yearsyounger). Finally, this study found that in individuals with coronaryartery disease who tested positive for the CVD test (i.e., risk patterns1a, 1b or 1c), there was a significant association with an increasedrisk for a documented prior heart attack.

The association of the CVD patterns with myocardial infarction was alsodetermined, and provided below in Table 7-5.

TABLE 7-5 CVD Pattern 1 Association with Heart Attack Pattern 1 “atrisk” genotypes P-value Odds ratio 1a 0.01 4.3 1b 0.02 4.1 1c 0.003 7.0

Example 8 Association of Composite IL-1 Genotypes with Predisposition toCardiovascular Disease in Korean Men

A study was performed that correlated IL-1 composite genotypes presentin Korean men with the expression of inflammatory mediators and the riskfor adverse cardiac events. Identified was a new genetic marker, theIL-1B (+3877) allele, and a composite genotype containing two copies ofthe IL-1B (+3877) allele 1, one copy of the IL-1B (−511) allele 1, andone copy of the IL-1B (−511) allele 2. Table 8-1 shows the pattern ofIL-1 genotypes linked to CVD and the association of these alleles withother IL-1 gene cluster alleles.

TABLE 8-1 Pattern LD Block 1 (1) LD Block 2 (2) 1a + 1.1 1b − 1.1 1c +1.2 1c′ − 1.2 1d + 1.2 Reference − 2.2 (1). Markers in Caucasiansinclude IL-1A (+4845) allele 2 plus IL-1B (+3954) allele2; markers inAsians (e.g., Koreans) include IL-1B(+3877) 1.1. (2) Markers offunctional haplotypes in the IL-1B promoter, including IL-1B (−511)

A study was performed comparing Caucasian and Korean male subjects. Thesample population was as follows: n=133 subjects that were CAD+ with MI(most ≦55 yrs), n=169 CAD+ without MI (most ≦55 yrs), and n=302controls. The mean age was 54 yrs. C-reactive protein (CRP) measurementswere as follows. The tertiles were distributed as follows: <0.37;0.37-1.08; >1.08 mg/l. A CRP≧3 mg/l was found in 12% of cohort.

CRP levels were associated with genotypes associated with CVD, as shownin Table 8-2. As in Table 8-1, markers in Caucasians includeIL-1A(+4845) allele 2 plus IL-1B(+3954) allele2; markers in Asians(e.g., Koreans) include IL-1B(+3877) 1.1. Markers of functionalhaplotypes in the IL-1B promoter, include IL-1B(−511).

TABLE 8-2 Caucasian Korean LD Block LD Block 2 phenotype phenotypePattern 1 (1) (2) (risk of CVD) (risk of CVD) 1a + 1.1 Increased(uncommon genotype) 1b − 1.1 1c + 1.2 Increased Increased 1c′ − 1.2 1d +1.2 (uncommon Increased genotype) Reference − 2.2

The relative distribution of CVD-associated genotypes is provided inTable 8-3. As in Table 8-1, markers in Caucasians include IL-1A(+4845)allele 2 plus IL-1B(+3954) allele2; markers in Asians (e.g., Koreans)include IL-1B(+3877) 1.1.

TABLE 8-3 % of % of LD LD Caucasian Caucasian Korean Korean PatternBlock 1 Block 2 subjects phenotype subjects phenotype 1a + (−511) 1.1 21Early MI, CAD (1) 1 1b − (−511) 1.1 23.5 Early MI, CAD (1) 20 Early MIvs CAD 1c + (−511) 1.2 14.5 Early MI 7 Early MI vs CAD; early MI vs.Controls 1c′ − (−511) 1.2 30 Early MI 50 Early MI 1d + (−511) 1.2 1 10Early MI vs CAD; early MI vs. Controls Reference − (−511) 2.2 10Reference 12 Reference group group (2) (1) indicates the increased riskof coronary artery disease in presence of a challenge such as oxPL; (2)indicates the increased risk of coronary artery disease in absence of achallenge such as oxPL.

In this study, subjects having myocardial infarction (MI) were comparedto control subjects. There were 133 CAD+MI+ and 302 controls; the datawere adjusted for age, BMI, and smoking. It was determined that agenotype pattern indicative of a risk of MI contains two copies of IL-1B(−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B (+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1d;p=0.01). Another genotype pattern indicative of a risk of MI contains anIL-1B (−511) allele 1, an IL-1B (−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B(+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1c; p=0.09).

In further analysis, younger (55 years or less) subjects having MI werecompared to older (56 years or older) controls. There were 97CAD+MI+subjects with an onset ≦55 yrs, and 132 controls, age 56 yrs orolder. Data were adjusted for BMI and smoking. It was determined that agenotype pattern indicative of a risk of MI contains two copies of IL-1B(−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B (+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1d;p=0.01). Another genotype pattern indicative of a risk of MI contains anIL-1B (−511) allele 1, an IL-1B (−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B(+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1c; p=0.05).

Additionally, subjects having an MI were compared with non-MI controls.There were 133 MI positive subjects and 169 MI negative subjects.Generally, MI negative subjects were older, lighter, and had a higheralcohol intake. Data were adjusted for age, BMI, smoking, andmedications that treat serum lipid levels. It was determined that agenotype pattern indicative of a risk of MI contains two copies of IL-1B(−511) allele 1 and an IL-1B (+3877) allele 2 (pattern 1b; p=0.15).Another genotype pattern indicative of a risk of MI contains an IL-1B(−511) allele 1, an IL-1B (−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B(+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1c; p=0.02). Another genotype patternindicative of a risk of MI contains two copies of IL-1B (−511) allele 2and two copies of IL-1B (+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1d; p=0.02).

In further analysis, subjects aged 55 years or younger having CAD and MIwere compared to controls having CAD without MI. There were 77 MI+subjects and 79 MI-subjects. MI negative subjects tended to be older,lighter, and had a higher alcohol intake. Data were adjusted for BMI,smoking, and HDL content. It was determined that a genotype patternindicative of a risk of MI contains two copies of IL-1B (−511) allele 1and an IL-1B (+3877) allele 2 (pattern 1b; p=0.04). Another genotypepattern indicative of a risk of MI contains an IL-1B (−511) allele 1, anIL-1B (−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B (+3877) allele 1 (pattern1c; p=0.01). Another genotype pattern indicative of a risk of MIcontains two copies of IL-1B (−511) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B(+3877) allele 1 (pattern 1d; p=0.02).

Another aspect of the study compared HDL levels and risk of MI. Therewere 156 subjects having CAD aged 55 yrs or less. It was determined thatin subjects having an HDL≦40 mg/dl, there was no associated IL-1 risk ofMI. For subjects having an HDL>40 mg/dl (n=95), the following MI riskpatterns were observed. Pattern 1b (p=0.05); pattern 1c (p=0.04) andpattern 1d (p=0.02).

Further, CRP levels were determined in healthy control subjects. 302subjects having a mean age of 54 yrs were analyzed. CRP tertiles were asfollows: <0.37; 0.37-1.08; >1.08 mg/l. It was found that 12% of thecohort had CRP levels≧3 mg/l. A genotype containing two copies of theIL-1B (+3877) allele 1 were associated with a 40% increase in CRP(p=0.03). This result was confirmed with all genotype combinations ofIL-1B (−511).

1. A method for determining a Caucasian subject's predisposition toincreased risk for myocardial infarction, comprising the steps of: (a)providing a biological sample comprising genomic DNA from the subject;(b) typing said DNA at IL-1B (+3877) loci and IL-1B (−511) loci; and (c)determining whether said subject has a composite genotype comprising theallelic pattern of: (i) two copies of allele 1 of IL-1B (−511) and twocopies of allele 2 of IL-1B (+3877); (ii) one copy of allele 1 of IL-1B(−511), one copy of allele 2 of IL-1B (−511), and two copies of allele 1of IL-1B (+3877); or (iii) two copies of allele 2 of IL-1B (−511) andtwo copies of allele 1 of IL-1B (+3877); and wherein the presence of anyone of said allelic patterns indicates that said subject is predisposedto developing myocardial infarction.
 2. The method of claim 1, whereinthe determining step comprises determining whether the subject has acomposite genotype comprising the allelic pattern of two copies ofallele 1 of IL-1B (−511) and two copies of allele 2 of IL-1B (+3877),wherein the presence of said allelic pattern indicates that said subjectis predisposed to developing myocardial infarction.
 3. The method ofclaim 1, wherein the determining step comprises determining whether thesubject has a composite genotype comprising the allelic pattern of onecopy of allele 1 of IL-1B (−511), one copy of allele 2 of IL-1B (−511),and two copies of allele 1 of IL-1B (+3877), wherein the presence ofsaid allelic pattern indicates that said subject is predisposed todeveloping myocardial infarction.
 4. The method of claim 1, wherein thedetermining step comprises determining whether the subject has acomposite genotype comprising the allelic pattern of two copies ofallele 2 of IL-1B (−511) and two copies of allele 1 of IL-1B (+3877),wherein the presence of said allelic pattern indicates that said subjectis predisposed to developing myocardial infarction.
 5. The method ofclaim 1, wherein said subject has increased expression of IL-1β andC-reactive protein.
 6. The method of claim 2, wherein said subject hasincreased expression of IL-1β and C-reactive protein.
 7. The method ofclaim 3, wherein said subject has increased expression of IL-1β andC-reactive protein.
 8. The method of claim 4, wherein said subject hasincreased expression of IL-1β and C-reactive protein.
 9. A method fordetermining a Caucasian subject's predisposition to cardiovasculardisease, comprising detecting an IL-1A (+4845) allele 2 and an IL-1B(+3954) allele 2, wherein the presence of said alleles indicates thatsaid subject is predisposed to cardiovascular disease.
 10. The method ofclaim 9, further comprising identifying an IL-1B (+3877) allele 1 or anIL-1B (−511) allele
 1. 11. A method for determining an Asian subject'spredisposition to cardiovascular disease, comprising detecting twocopies of an IL-1B (+3877) allele 1, wherein the presence of saidalleles indicates that said subject is predisposed to cardiovasculardisease.
 12. The method of claim 11, wherein said subject is Korean,Chinese or Japanese.
 13. The method of claim 11, further comprisingidentifying an IL-1B (−511) allele
 2. 14. A method for determining anAsian male subject's predisposition to cardiovascular disease whereinsaid subject is 55 or more years of age, comprising detecting an IL-1B(+3877) allele 2 and two copies of IL-1B (−511) allele 1, wherein thepresence of said alleles indicates that said subject is predisposed tocardiovascular disease.
 15. The method of claim 14, wherein said subjectis Korean, Chinese or Japanese.
 16. A method for determining a Koreanmale subject's predisposition to cardiovascular disease, comprisingdetecting two copies of IL-1B (+3877) allele 1 and two copies of IL-1B(−511) allele 2, wherein the presence of said alleles indicates thatsaid subject is predisposed to cardiovascular disease.
 17. The method ofclaim 16, wherein said subject has increased expression of C-reactiveprotein.